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Showing posts with label shanghai. Show all posts
Showing posts with label shanghai. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Growing spreads between London and Shanghai means that very soon China will take control over gold pricing

Two weeks ago, Deutsche Bank publicly admitted that they and several other banks have been manipulating the price of both gold and silver for several years now.  And yet despite these admissions, both London and the Comex have been smashing down the price of each to the point now where the markets can no longer even facilitate a break even cost for companies producing the metals.

“The analysis of FCF breakeven price suggests that 50% of the gold miners generate free cash flow below $1,150/oz gold with an average FCF breakeven gold price of US$1,135/oz for 2016E,” BMO said. “Excluding dividends, the FCF breakeven gold price for the miners declines to $1,070/oz in 2016E. 
Silver miners may be “less prepared,” however, after enduring a deeper correction in the price of silver relative to gold, BMO said. Three out of 11 companies report FCF breakeven costs for 2016 that are estimated below $15 an ounce, BMO said. - Kitco
As of Dec. 20, the current spot price for gold in London was $11.25, which according to the above study means that the manipulated 'fix' price at the Comex is now $10 below the average cost necessary for 50% of the miners just to break even.

However, as noted in an article published over the weekend here, spot prices out of Shanghai are at least $50 more than what is set in either London or New York, and premiums for metals are even higher than this when purchased in large quantities by investors, stackers, or speculators.

This dislocation in prices between Eastern and Western markets is now creating a nexus point where according to long-time bullion analyst Jim Sinclair, as well as by the CEO of Matterhorn Capital out of Switzerland, China is growing ever closer to being the primary market for determining gold and silver prices, and leaving London and New York with little metal to back their paper contracts.
For those distraught over the COMEX paper futures price of gold plunging towards $1,000/oz, Switzerland’s Egon von Greyerz has some information for you: 
I am not upset because I know one day, COMEX will default. The futures market will default. The banks will not be able to deliver the paper gold they have issued. One day people will come in and try to get their gold, and there won’t be any gold when they ask for it. How can you be nervous (holding gold)? The truth will eventually come out, and that truth will be very painful for all the paper holders of gold.” - Greg Hunter via Silver Doctors

Thursday, December 15, 2016

Following the Fed rate hike and spike in the dollar, the gold price spread between London and China soars to $50

Gold prices were once again beaten down in the United States following the Federal Reserves decision on Dec. 14 to raise rates by .25 bps in only the second move by the central bank in the last decade.  And while gold was sold off on Wednesday as well as early Thursday morning in New York, markets in Shanghai have not followed the same path as those in London and the Comex.

In fact with the London AM Fix coming out just a few hours ago, the price spread between the physical and paper markets have now spiked to a record $50 difference.

Shanghai Price Fix


London Price Fix


As mentioned earlier this week in another article, the divergence in official prices are also being expanded by record amounts of premiums placed upon gold by the market makers in China.  In fact, according to analyst and statistician Dr. Jim Willie, the premiums necessary to purchase large quantities of gold have forced prices right now to exceed $2000 per ounce in the physical markets.

As the dollar continues to strengthen the price of gold in nearly all other currencies and markets will continue to rise, and in some cases break through record levels.  And what we are seeing right now in the price of gold out of both London and the Comex is not indicative of the record demand being created all across the world which is the primary basis between the spreads in price we are seeing between the London fix and the one coming out of Shanghai.

Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Gold spread between London and Shanghai now $36 as premiums in India and China reach 50% over price

The gold price spread between the London paper markets and the Shanghai physical markets continues to climb as the divergence between China's PM fix and London's AM fix reached $36 on Dec. 13.

Shanghai Gold Fix

London Gold Fix

Yet these prices are not truly indicative of what is really going on in the physical markets since the bullion banks crushed down the spot price following the election of Donald Trump back on Nov. 8.  This is because geo-political and economic events in both India and China have caused demand to surge immensely over the past month, and dealers and jewelers in both countries are incorporating premiums sometimes as high as 50% over the designated price.

Last week saw news of reported gold import curbs in China (and looming capital controls) has sent gold premiums in China near three-year highs amid limited supply of the precious metal (as Reuters reports)... 
The import curbs may be part of China's efforts to limit outflows of the yuan after the currency's slide to its weakest in more than eight years, traders say. China allows only 15 banks to import gold, including three foreign lenders. 
"There is severe restriction on the banks' quota to import gold into China. Each one of them have to justify their need," a Hong Kong-based banker said. 
Gold was sold in China at about $24 an ounce above the international spot benchmark this week. Premiums went as high as $30 last week, the most since January 2014, according to Thomson Reuters data. - Zerohedge
Over in India the shortages and demand are much more extreme, with premiums skyrocketing as government officials threaten consumers and dealers with cuts to imports, and even outright confiscation.
In November the country's gold imports jumped to around 100 tonnes, the highest in 11 months. 
Jewellers and bullion dealers are deferring purchases and gold imports in December could fall to 30 tonnes, down from 107 tones in the same month a year ago, said a Mumbai-based dealer. 
It is estimated that one-third of India's annual demand of around 800 tonnes is paid for in "black money" - the local term for untaxed funds held in cash by citizens that do not appear in any official accounts. 
And this has sparked a surge in physical demand (amid limited supply concerns)... (as Reuters reports) 
There have also been reports of people rushing to buy gold by paying as much as a 50 percent premium above official prices using their unaccounted money to skirt the note ban.

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Spread between London paper gold price and Shanghai physical price now at $15

Over the past 35 days the spread between the daily AM and PM gold price fixes set in London and in Shanghai have steadily moved apart as the physical markets in China break away from the prices set in the Western paper markets.

Back in late October we began to see the difference in price grow to around $5, with the spread then moving to a difference of $7 just two weeks later.  But with the London and Comex paper markets crushing the paper spot price back under $1200 per ounce since the Presidential elections on Nov. 8, the physical markets in Shanghai have not seen fit to accept these prices based on the actual rising demand in their own exchanges, and are reflecting it in price as the spread on Nov. 25 is now a whopping $15 difference.

The gold premium on the Shanghai Gold Exchange soared as high as $30 Thursday before easing back to a still historically high level of around $15 on Friday, reports MKS (Switzerland) S.A. On Thursday, the “feature of the day was the SGE premium, which rose to an amazing $30 over the loco London gold price, the loftiest levels seen since 2013,” says Sam Laughlin, precious-metals trader with MKS. “The difference between then and now, however, is now the high premium seems to be more a factor of a supply shortage in mainland China as opposed to outright demand. As a result, despite the high premiums this week, the turnover has not been anything enormous.” The premium fell by roughly half on Friday, he continues. “While still elevated, we did some fatigue creeping into the Shanghai premium today, 'easing' to around $15 relative to loco London gold.” - Kitco
London Gold Fix, November 25, 2016

Shanghai Gold Exchange Gold Fix, November 25, 2016

As central and bullion banks in the West continue to beat down the price of gold in their paper derivative markets, the spread between the Asian physical and Western paper gold prices will continue to widen.  And at a certain point, producers of gold will find it much more profitable to simply ship their metals directly to China rather than to continue to supply the Comex or LBMA, who's manipulation of the spot price using 100's of naked short contracts no longer reflects the true price of the precious metal.

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

China may finally be making its move to clean out the physical gold from the U.S. Comex

One of the more interesting dichotomies regarding the U.S. Commodities Exchange (Comex) is that for several years now, the institution has been selling futures contracts on precious metals like gold and silver and rarely ever delivering anything when the monthly expirations came due.  In fact, according to statistician and financial analyst Dr. Jim Willie, the Comex had only performed cash settlements for gold futures contracts and hasn't actually delivered any metal for more than two years.

But this may be changing.

Entering into the June delivery month, Chinese gold contracts at the Comex have suddenly shifted into the deliverable category, rather than simply being rolled over at the time of expiration like they have for the past few years, and it could very well mean that the time for China to drain the Comex of all its gold is finally at hand.

The June gold contract is an active contract and the second biggest delivery month of the year following December. Friday night, the bankers first day delivery issuance to our longs to be settled on June 1 was huge: the number was  3,508 gold notices for 350,800 oz or 10.9 tonnes of gold. On day two, we had another huge number of gold notices filed at 2281 for 228100 oz or 7.09 tonnes of gold. 
On day 3,THURSDAY, we had another whopper of 1969 notices for 196,900 oz or 6.12 tonnes. 
FRIDAY, saw another huge 1026 notices filed for 102600 oz (3.19 tonnes). Then on 
Friday night we had a whopping 2981 notices filed for Monday totaling 2981 contracts for 298,100 oz. 
Thus in 5 days a total of 11,765 notices have been filed for 1,176,500 oz or 36.59 tonnes. WHAT IS MORE FASCINATING WAS THE FRONT JUNE MONTH  INCREASED IN NET OI BY 678  CONTRACTS ON THURSDAY(67,800 OZ).  ON FRIDAY IT INCREASED BY 78 CONTRACTS OR 7800 OZ AND TODAY IT INCREASED BY 264 CONTRACTS OR 26400 OZ. THE ENTITY STANDING DOES NOT WANT FIAT AND IT SURE LOOKS LIKE A SOVEREIGN (CHINA) IS STANDING FOR GOLD. - Silver Doctors
The significance of this move is that according to the Comex, there are demands for delivery of 48 tons where the registered total available inside the exchange is only 50 tons.
We thus have 48.11 tonnes of gold standing for JUNE and 50.61 tonnes of registered gold for sale, waiting to serve upon those standing.  The bankers are still doing their best in cash settling as there is not enough registered gold to satisfy those that are standing.
Does this sudden demand for delivery after years of rolling over gold contracts now signal a move by China to drain the Comex and begin the transition to Shanghai to control the pricing of the precious metal?  I believe we shall soon find out.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Got Karatbars? China cornering global gold market as return to gold standard their final long game

Over the past decade, news of China's purchasing of gold from the Western banks has grown to the point where not only have they opened the world's largest physical gold market, but they also have accumulated a stockpile larger than most Western economies have combined.  And while this can be seen or attributed by some as a financial play to backstop their ever increasing debt bubble, the fact of the matter is this has always been the first step in a long game of controlling the financial system, and returning it back to one of sound money.

And while many wait breathlessly for April 19th when China is expected to announce its own competitive gold price, other steps are being taken under the surface which signify a move to corner the gold market entirely.

The headlines for gold these last few years have all focused on physical gold accumulation by China, Russia and Eastern central banks… but what they have missed is a 7,000 year old strategy that China is doubling down on… According to data compiled by Bloomberg, in 2013 asset purchases by Honk Kong and mainland miners increased by $2.2 billion. China is buying gold mines at a record. 
…By August of this year Chinese influence will have infiltrated the biggest financial institutions in the world with China only revealing their physical bullion above ground while saying nothing about their mine acquisitions. This explains their long-term strategy to implement some form of gold-backed currency. - Silver Doctors

In 1980 when the Hunt Brothers sought to corner the silver market, it drove the price up 20 fold to levels that were not seen again until 2010.  So imagine what gold will do today in this much more inflated money system where debts are measured not in the trillions, but in the quadrillions?

This leaves you and I with some tough choices, and ones that are difficult to get our heads around since we have all mostly lived in a period where the dollar has been king, and the U.S. has been the most dominant economy in history.  But just as most people, financiers, and economists never saw the 2008 crash coming, even fewer will see the usurpation of the American dream by Eurasia when it comes riding in on a golden horse.

So how can you protect what you and your generations have accumulated when the trumpet sounds for a new paradigm shift to a gold backed system, and policies that may emanate out of Shanghai and Hong Kong rather than from Wall Street and the City of London?

You can do this with a company called Karatbars




Buying gold through Karatbars is one of the easiest things on the net.  In fact, the business model of Karatbars is to sell gold in affordable quantities, such as 1, 2.5, and 5 gram increments, and allow customers to get into the metal without having to shell out $1200+ for a single ounce coin.

And as added perks to signing up with Karatbars, as a customer or affiliate, Karatbars is working on a new e-wallet system that functions just like an offshore bank account, and is outside the authority of the banking system.  From there, you can take your fiat currency in any denomination... dollars, euros, yen, etc... and purchase physical gold which can either be delivered directly to you, or stored for free at one of Karatbar's vaults.

Additionally, any gold that you buy can easily be sold back to Karatbars, or any metals dealer, and if with Karatbars it is then exchanged for currency that is uploaded to you through a pre-loaded debit Mastercard which is connected directly to your e-wallet.  And as we know, MasterCard is recognized in nearly every country around the world, and usable in any currency that accepts it.

But perhaps the best feature with Karatbars is their affiliate program, where you can earn money off commissions from getting others to sign up and become a customer or affiliate.  Not only do you receive commissions from their purchasing of physical gold, but you also earn commissions from anyone who buys a commission package, with that money going directly into your debit MasterCard when you have enough units to cycle.

Imagine the ability to earn the money in which to buy your gold savings simply by purchasing a commission affiliate package one time, and then getting others to sign up and do the same thing.

How many businesses or entrepreneurs can build an infinite business with spending less than $400 of their own money?  And there is never a mandatory requirement to buy beyond what you desire, on your own schedule.  And there is nothing to lose, because you're using money (paper dollars) to buy gold (physical money) and in the end you don't lose a thing.



The global financial system, along with dozens of respected economists, are telling us that now is the time for the end of our current form of money, and the beginning of the transition into a new monetary system that is expected to be backed by gold.  And with banks, governments, and even Harvard professors mandating that central banks have no choice but to eliminate cash from usage by the people to stave off collapse, will you wait until it is too late to make a decision on how you will protect your wealth, and be able to function within the coming new monetary system?

To learn more about Karatbars, you can contact the individual who sent you this article, and click on their referral link to open a free account and begin buying, or building your own gold savings or business with the company of the future.