The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Showing posts with label trend. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trend. Show all posts

Saturday, March 11, 2017

Fed gold cycle number three: Severe pullback and selloffs before next rate hike on March 15

As we enter into the coming week of expected turmoil and potential extreme chaos in the economic and geo-political worlds, one asset appears to be following the same path it did just prior to Federal Reserve rate hikes that took place in December of both 2015 and 2016.

Leading up to the first rate hike in nearly a decade back in Dec. of 2015, the gold price was taken down under the expectation that higher interest rates would be an anathema for the precious metal.  And for a short time following the hike in rates, gold did indeed drop to a multi-year low of $1048 before subsequently skyrocketing to $1250, and later $1380 in 2016.

Image result for gold price chart 2015 fed rate hike

Then following the 2016 Presidential elections in November we began to see this same cycle occur as expectations of a another interest rate hike by the Fed in December rise in probability.  And sure enough gold was taken down into the $1100's before moving back up near the beginning of 2017.

Image result for gold price chart december 2016

And now in March of 2017 we stand on the cusp of another rate hike by the Fed, expected to occur from their meeting on March 15.  And like clockwork since the probability of an increase in interest rates shot up in late February, gold has been slowly declining for a month leading up to the decision.


Three cycles all occurring with the same price action for gold.  Which means that if the historic trends continue as they have for the two previous rate hikes in December of 2015 and 2016 respectively, we can expect the gold price to rebound within a couple of weeks after the March 15 decision.

Thursday, February 2, 2017

Entering into February of 2017, gold following same trek upward as it did in first two months of 2016

Back in January we published an article showing how the gold price was following the same path here in 2017 that it did last year following rate hikes made by the central bank during each of the past two Decembers.

And as we enter into February, that trend appears to be continuing like clockwork with the gold price having risen 3% and 5% respectively in each of the past two Januaries.

January 2016


January 2017


The one difference however between January of 2016 and the same month in 2017 is that the price started off the month $80 higher this year, and ended $100 greater than what it closed out at on January 31 of last year.

As we begin the month of February, expectations of this trend continuing are just as prevalent as they were last year when the price made even greater moves than they did in January.  In fact, at the end of the second month of 2016 gold had climbed another $110, or 9% on top of the 3% rise the month before, and set the stage for gold climbing to its highest level since 2011.

February 2016


 Projecting this same percentage gain for February of 2016 forward into 2017, at the end of this month we could expect to see a gold price of around $1326, or a gain of $109 above what it started out the month.

Monday, July 11, 2016

Web bots call for large surge in gold, silver, and bitcoin prices through July And August

Most people who study alternative monetary technicals know about Cliff High and his Web bot project, which scours the net to find trends based on the frequency of what people are thinking and talking about.  And while web bot forecasts are never 100% correct, for the most part they have predicted future trends with uncanny accuracy.

Over the weekend, Cliff High published his latest web bot trend and it has to deal specifically with gold, silver, and bitcoin, and where prices for these physical and crypto-currencies are headed over the next month and a half.  And for stackers, the trend they have already seen since the beginning of the year is expected to continue, and even soar much higher once certain resistance levels are surpassed.

Live New York Gold Chart [Kitco Inc.]

Friday, July 1, 2016

Gold rises over $20 as the second half of 2016 begins just like the start of the year

As the second half of 2016 began today on July 1, gold moved up and continued the trend set back in early January of this year.  In fact, with the gold price closing up over $20 to end the week at $1342.90, it solidified the bull trend upward and closed out above four year old resistance levels.

Live New York Gold Chart [Kitco Inc.]
Gold futures continue to see more inflows as we start the second half of the year. Both technical buyers and hedge funds put new money to work in a busy pre-July 4 Friday.
We had been worried about about a rally in gold futures causing a rush for a wing vol, a way out of a call with high volatility. The upward spike in gold futures prices on Friday (to a high of $1,344.30 for the August contract traded at the Comex) kept implied volatility of options muted as some market participants sold call options against the underlying length. That meant that traders sold calls against futures that they already purchased 
Futures contract trading volume on the Comex on Friday was equivalent to 20 million ounces, and volume in front month call options are picking up. 
The GCQ $1360 calls have been the main option interest with close to 2,000 contracts being bought and sold down .5% vol. - The Street
In addition to gold spiking higher, the one asset class that did much better was its brother metal, silver.  In fact, just as gold spiked by more than $100 on Brexit day last week, silver rose by nearly $2 over the past two days as expectations of central bank money printing and historic short covering rocketed the white metal to nearly over $20 an ounce.

Monday, May 18, 2015

German economists jump on the ‘end of cash’ bandwagon

They say that when something occurs a single time it is a coincidence. Then if it happens a second time it is a pattern.  But if the same event or philosophy occurs, or is promoted by numerous sources and from several different locations, then that thing has expanded fully into a trend.
The war against cash, and in particular, the call to end the use of cash, has now emerged into a full fledged trend, and one that appears to be propagated by the very banking system that was originally built to service the use of cash, money, and legal tender.  The question of course to ask is why would financial institutions, a university professor, and now, a think tank economist all call for an end of the use of physical cash?
The answer lies in a conclusion none in the financial system want to accept, with their response instead to seek a solution that would impose draconian restrictions on the freedoms of all people in their right to choose how they spend or save their money.
 
Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Realtors moving from home sales to rental property management

As we enter into the 4th year of the bursting of the housing bubble, a change in the paradigm of property management is being forged as Americans move away from home ownership and back to renting.

Just as the U.S. housing boom gave birth to such homebuyer websites as Zillow Inc. and Redfin Corp., services for rental properties are thriving following a surge in foreclosures and stiffening of mortgage standards. Membership in the National Association of Residential Property Managers has almost doubled in five years to a record 3,400 members, according to the Chesapeake, Virginia-based trade group.
“We are riding this sea change in how housing is changing in the U.S.,” said Reggie Brown, chief executive officer of All Property Management LLC, a Seattle-based Web service that sells property managers leads on homeowners who want to lease out their properties. “The only growth is rentals.”
Renter household formation surpassed new owner-occupied homes in 2007 for the first time since 1985 and has held the lead since, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. An average of 718,500 renter households a year were formed from 2007 to 2010, while owner-occupied households decreased at an average annual rate of 147,250 during the same period.  - Bloomberg

More than anything, this trend proves the failure of a government policy which attempted to open up home ownership to a sector of Americans who could not afford to buy, and by doing so, created a housing bubble and credit crisis that may take a decade or more to sort out.  The good side of all of this, is there are millions of new homes, some which are in the McMansion categories, that are available all around the country for a relatively decent lease rate.