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Showing posts with label silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label silver. Show all posts

Sunday, June 4, 2017

Despite gold and silver prices being below their 2016 highs, each has done better than the S&P; 500 in 2017

With all eyes being on both cryptocurrencies and equity markets here at the halfway point of 2017, gold and silver have themselves proven to also be a positive investment despite the fact that they have not even reached their 2016 highs.  And while the three primary equity markets have all reached historic all-time highs at some point this year, it is interesting to note that both gold and silver have actually done better than the returns one would have received from investing in the S&P 500.

Since the U.S. presidential election, the stock market has remained strong, but what has surprised some financial analysts has been that the precious metals complex has been ever stronger, says Blanchard President and CEO David Beahm. 
“What is notable through the end of May is that gold and silver continue to outpace the strength in the stock market, leaving both precious metals very well-positioned for strong new rally waves if stocks turn lower in a seasonal correction phase or a bear cycle move,” Beahm says. “Typically, gold and silver perform well during periods of stock market weakness, but the fact that metals are climbing alongside the strength in stocks is notable from a historical perspective. It reveals that there is a strong safe-haven bid for metals and a desire to diversify away from stocks in the current environment.” 
The Blanchard Index 
Here’s how the market performance stacks up through late May: 
  • Gold +9.45%
  • Silver +8.13%
  • S&P 500 +7.91% - Seeking Alpha
Yet perhaps the most important technical indicator to look at going forward between the two markets is the fact that the P/E ratios for the S&P 500 are at nearly double their historic averages while gold and silver are more than 40 and 65% respectively below their all-time highs.  And this means that the far better investment right now is in the precious metals, especially as sovereign debt levels and currencies begin to show immense signs of weakness, and underlying supplies for the metals are reaching critical levels.

Friday, June 2, 2017

Deutsche Bank scapegoat thrown to the wolves in conviction over manipulating and rigging gold and silver prices

Last year, the German regulatory agency BAFIN found smoking gun evidence on Deutsche Bank that they had been rigging markets, and manipulating the price of gold and silver.  Now on June 2, a scapegoat has been offered to the courts as a 'lone wolf' trader pled guilty to rigging the price of gold and silver through spoofing.


The Deutsche Bank trader, David Liew, pleaded guilty in federal court in Chicago to conspiring to spoof gold, silver, platinum and palladium futures, according to court papers. Bloomberg notes that spoofing involves traders placing orders that they never intend to fill, in an attempt to manipulate the price. 
Between in or around December 2009 and in or around February 2012 (the "Relevant Period"), in the Northern District of Illinois, Eastem Division, and elsewhere, defendant DAVID LIEW did knowingly and intentionally conspire and agree with other precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and palladium) traders to: (a) knowingly execute, and attempt to execute, a scheme and artifice to defraud, and for obtaining money and property by means of materially false and fraudulent pretenses, representations, and promises, and in furtherance of the scheme and artifice to defraud, knowingly transmit, and cause to be transmitted, in interstate and foreign commerce, by means of wire communications, certain signs, signals and sounds, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1343,which scheme affected a financial institution; and (b) knowingly engage in trading, practice, and conduct, on and subject to the rules of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange ("CME"), that was, was of the character of, and was commonly known to the trade as, spoofing, that is, bidding or offering with the intent to cancel the bid or offer before execution, by causing to be transmitted to the CME precious metals futures contract orders that LIEW and his coconspirators intended to cancel before execution and not as part of any legitimate, good-faith attempt to execute any part of the orders, in violation of Title 7, United States Code, Sections 6c(a)(5)(C) and 13(a)(2); all in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371. - Zerohedge

Thursday, June 1, 2017

Silver demand in 2016 was greater than supply as production output declined for first time since 2002

For those individuals who have been fretting over why silver prices have been depressed for so long, the answer is not because of oversupply.  In fact, for the first time in 14 years silver production declined in 2016, and demand for the metal was actually higher than supplies.

No the primary reason that silver has not soared higher despite the fact that it is both an industrial metal as well as a monetary metal, is because of the vast manipulation in the futures and derivatives markets which are used by the banks to protect sovereign currencies from being exposed by the metals.

Last week, the Silver Institute and the research team from GFMS at Thomson Reuters said that silver mine production declined in 2016 for the first time since 2002.  The gap between supply and demand also turned negative with 1,007.1 million ounces of supply and 1,027.8 million ounces of demand, creating a 20.7 million-ounce deficit, which puts upward pressure on silver prices.  The largest five silver producers, in order, last year were Mexico, Peru, China, Chile and Russia.  On the demand side, industrial fabrication made up over half (55%) of the demand - 562 million ounces. Jewelry was a distant second at 207 million ounces (20%), while coins and bars accounted for another 206.8 million ounces (20%).  The final 52 million ounces (5%) of demand came primarily from silverware and other decorative uses. 
Unlike gold, silver is an industrial metal as well as a precious and decorative metal, so the new industrial applications for silver provide the biggest boost in the demand curve.  Last year, for instance, demand for silver in photovoltaic applications rose 34% to over 76 million ounces, driven mostly by a 49% increase in solar panel installations last year.  At one time, investors feared what would happen to silver when the photographic process no longer demanded so much silver, but technology always moves forward, not backward, so these new industrial applications of silver have taken the place of photographic demand. - Townhall

Saturday, May 27, 2017

Gold ends week above key resistance level and at highest price in a month

On May 26 gold ended market trading at the highest price in a month, and with positive gains over the past three weeks.  But even more important was the fact that the gold price closed above a key resistance level that signals a bullish move going forward for the precious metal.

End of day analysis for Gold 26-05-2017
Chart courtesy of Economies.com
Gold price ended today and this week trading above 1263.00 level, which confirms the continuation of the bullish trend in the upcoming sessions, waiting for more gains that reach to 1295.37 on the near term basis, reminding you that holding above 1249.94 is important to keep the chances of continuing the expected rise. - Economies
Ever since gold and silver prices were beat down severely in the early part of May with a record streak of 14 straight days of declining prices in the white metal alone, gold has recovered more than $40 from its lows and is now overall positive for the month.  But this has not been the only alternative monetary class to see positive gains in May as both silver and Bitcoin have done extremely well at the same time the dollar has fallen over 200 bps on the dollar index.



Friday, May 26, 2017

Crowd funded ICO on Etherium Blackchain working to establish a silver backed cryptocurrency

Last week we published an article on a new ICO (Initial Coin Offering) called ZenGold which is working towards the creation of a cryptocurrency backed by physical gold.  Now on May 25 we discovered an ongoing ICO on the Etherium blockchain that is in the process of using gold's sister metal silver to back a new crowd funded cryptocurrency.
What if we started backing the value of cryptocurrency with some tangible commodity? How would that change the way we view this market? Many of the innovative projects in the cryptosphere are based on the Ethereum Blockchain. One of these projects is called Ethereum Link. It hopes bring the blockchain solutions of Ethereum into the world of business and have it fit seamlessly. 
For many who buy into the Cryptocurrency mindset, precious metals may only be worthwhile as the components of the miners and devices on which they access and operate within the Blockchain. However, the idea that some investments are not backed by anything tangible can be worrying, and an obstacle to entering the market. 
Here is where Ethereum Link really stands out. It acts as the connection between the Blockchain and the international silver market. The project developers hope for it to become a large, but decentralized platform for trading silver certificates. Ethereum Link will use tokens as representations of various shares of silver bullion. 
Link’s LNK Silver project is crowd funded via their public ICO. The choice to crowd fund this helps keep the spirit of decentralization, while also providing the public to buy into this exciting new potential. 
At the time of writing this article, the ICO’s funds boasts an impressive 431.11 BTC (~ $1,062,638.72) which is the equivalent of just over 30,000 LNKs. The exchange rate of one LNK is .01620 Bitcoin. LNK tokens being sold on the ICO receives 0.19% fee tradign as well. - Merkle
Backing cryptocurrencies with physical assets such as gold and silver could be the springboard towards making decentralized digital money part of the mainstream, and one where a critical mass of individuals and businesses are willing to transition into this new frontier at a time when sovereign currencies are racing towards the bottom in a flight to devaluation and loss of purchasing power.

Monday, May 22, 2017

Silver strongly regains $17 handle with a 1.5% Monday morning move

On May 22 silver is up over 1.5% to $17.20 as it finally breaks through the $17 resistance barrier after three attempts in the past seven days.

In fact silver is up over $1.00 since its May 9 lows of $16.20, and has alot of steam behind it with many of the open shorts on the Comex being covered this month.



For 14 consecutive days, the amount standing for physical has risen.  On First day notice 16.8 million oz were standing; tonight 22.94 million oz. It looks to me that sovereign China wants its silver back as it looks like we have a determined player with deep pockets willing to take silver away from the COMEX… - Silver Doctors

Thursday, May 18, 2017

As gold continues to move up faster than silver, the gold to silver ratio has jumped to over 75:1

With yesterday's nearly 2% move up in the gold price, coupled with a .5% pullback on May 18, the yellow metal has been the primary driver for precious metal prices moving higher since last Thursday when the historic beatdown of the metals in the paper markets appeared to end.

And because gold has been rising much faster than its sister metal silver during this recent bounce back move, the gold to silver ratio has subsequently jumped to over 75:1, which is the highest difference between the metals since May of last year.


Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold climbs 1.5% overnight to cross back over $1250 an ounce as silver also regains $17 level

Last week we published an article where we showed that gold and silver prices had likely bottomed out after their historic 17 straight days of closing lower in the markets.  And sure enough since that time gold and silver have been moving steadily up over the past five days.

And as always it took just one political event to spur a solid move higher in the prices of the metals as on May 17 gold opened up over 1.5% to cross back over an important technical level of $1250, and silver regained the $17 level with its own nearly 1% gain.

Gold



Silver


Saturday, May 13, 2017

Gold and silver appear to have reached a bottom as record amount of short covering has taken place

The recent beatdown in the prices of both gold and silver has been relatively historic as up until Thursday, the metals had seen 14-17 straight days of declines.  And the reasons for this have been a combination of fewer buyers, negative sentiment, and massive short covering.

Bullion banks used this demise in sentiment as the means to smash down the price using tens of thousands of naked short contracts, and relied upon the predicted reactions of commercial buyers to close out their long positions when margins grew too high.  And once prices fell below not only the recent achievement of their 200 day moving average but also their 100 day MA, these banks began covering their shorts en masse leading to what appears to be a bottom for the metals at around $1215 for gold, and $16.25 for silver.

kwn-sentimentrader-iii-5122017

Thursday, May 11, 2017

Arizona officially removes taxation on gold and silver purchases and sales

On May 10 the Arizona state legislature completed its approval of Bill 2014 which removes the state taxation on the sale and purchase of physical gold and silver.

This move is also the first step by the state to once again recognize gold and silver as Constitutional money, and to begin the process towards one day allowing the precious metals to be used in commerce within its borders.

Arizona also joins Utah, Idaho, Texas, Oklahoma, and Virginia in either proposing or passing legislation to work towards the legalization of gold and silver as money.

Sound money advocates scored a major victory today when the Arizona state senate voted 16-13 to remove all income taxation of precious metals at the state level. The measure heads to Governor Doug Ducey, who is expected to sign it into law. 
Under House Bill 2014, introduced by Representative Mark Finchem (R-Tucson), Arizona taxpayers will simply back out all precious metals “gains” and “losses” reported on their federal tax returns from the calculation of their Arizona adjusted gross income (AGI). 
Dr. Ron Paul noted, “HB 2014 is a very important and timely piece of legislation. The Federal Reserve’s failure to reignite the economy with record-low interest rates since the last crash is a sign that we may soon see the dollar’s collapse. It is therefore imperative that the law protect people’s right to use alternatives to what may soon be virtually worthless Federal Reserve Notes.” - Goldseek

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

China owned metals exchange to apply to take over London Silver Fix

Yesterday we wrote about the fact that the London Metals Exchange (LME), a Hong Kong based subsidiary, was in the process of opening its own gold and silver futures market in London with the intention of providing both cash and physical settlement of precious metals.

Now on May 10 the news just dropped that the LME was applying to take over and run the London Silver Fix, and replace the group (Thompson-Reuters + CME Group) that had cancelled their contract with the LBMA just a few months ago.

The London Metal Exchange (LME) will submit a proposal to take over the London silver fix, a senior executive said on Wednesday, the first company to publicly express interest in replacing the current operators of the price benchmark. 
James Proudlock, managing director and head of market development for the exchange and its clearing business, said the exchange would take part in the process after a request for proposals (RFP) was recently issued to find a replacement for CME Group and Thomson Reuters. 
Those companies said in March they would step down from providing the silver price benchmark auction less than three years after successfully bidding to provide the process.
"There is a silver RFP for the silver benchmark. As a metal exchange, we will participate in the RFP," said Proudlock. - Reuters
China already controls the world's largest physical gold market out of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and this potential takeover of the West's futures market could see the Far Eastern economy achieve a dominating position in both the paper and physical global markets.

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

China to challenge both the LBMA and Comex through the creation of a new gold and silver futures trading platform

The London Metals Exchange, which is a Hong Kong owned subsidiary out of London, is ready to take on the Western futures markets by introducing their own gold and silver trading platform starting on July 10.

This new program by the LME will function on the London markets and provide a fully functional futures trading market in which investors can settle for both cash, or physical gold and silver delivery.

London Metal Exchange, a subsidiary of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, will launch gold and silver spot and futures trading in London on July 10 in a bid to capture the increasing demand for trading of precious metals in London, the exchange said on Monday. 
The LME gold and silver product will launch at a time when HKEX is planning to introduce gold futures in the third quarter of this year should it secure approval from the Securities and Futures Commission. The trading in the two markets however, would remain separate, and there will be no cross trading. 
“The HKEX and the LME gold products would be traded in different markets and different time zone,” said Kate Eded, LME head of precious metals who was speaking at a workshop in Hong Kong on Monday. 
The gold and silver contracts to be launched at the LME would be traded in US dollar which will include spot trading and trading of future contracts with a maturity of up to five years. Investors could choose cash or physical settlement. Five banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs would help quote prices to maintain liquidity of the markets. - South China Morning Post
Unlike the LBMA, and especially with the U.S. based Comex, these markets are primarily used for derivative paper trading and rarely perform any actual metal deliveries.  And with the LME being tied to both Hong Kong and London, the potential for China to eventually usurp control over the global price for gold and silver from the LBMA and the Comex moves another step closer as true metals investors will find it more favorable to migrate to an exchange that deals with physical deliveries of actual metals.

Monday, May 1, 2017

Silver, not gold, was the basis for monetary systems across the world including the U.S. and China

Despite the fact that the United States was primarily on a gold backed monetary system until 1973, and where it was also the foundation for a global monetary system through the Bretton Woods accords of 1946, an interesting piece of history shows that not only was the dollar originally created using the auspices of silver, but so was the Yuan, the Yen, British Pound, and most currencies used in Latin America.

When the Spanish owned claim to the entire new world thanks to Christopher Columbus and an agreement signed by the Pope, the output of silver generated from North, Central, and South America was so great that it usurped gold's longstanding position as the basis for money, and spread across the globe to become the foundation for many of Europe and Asia's currencies.

US-Trade$ 1873-1878
Hong Kong was a British colony from its founding in 1841 until its handover to China in 1997. But the Hong Kong dollar isn't derived from the British pound. It doesn't even come from the U.S. dollar. In fact, the Hong Kong dollar and the U.S. dollar are both derived from the same source: the Mexican or “Spanish” dollar. So were the yuan, the yen and most of the currencies of Latin America. 
The Mexican or “Spanish” dollar was in wide use from the 1500s until the middle of the nineteenth century. If not the first global currency, the Mexican dollar was at least the first Pacific currency. Divided into pieces of eight, it is the currency of pirate legends and songs. It was minted in Mexico starting in 1536 from silver mined in Central Europe, in northwestern Mexico, but most of all in the “silver mountain” of Potosí in today's Bolivia. 
For four hundreds of years the Mexican dollar was, if not quite “the world’s first global currency,” then at least the key lubricant that greased the wheels of the world's trade. Most world histories are written from an Anglo-American perspective, as if the Americas suddenly sprang onto the stage in 1776 and China in the 1840s. In reality, as Gordon and Morales write, Latin America and East Asia were already important parts of the global economy in the 1600s. 
Even if there is some truth to the claim that Britannia ruled the waves, the Mexican dollar ruled the ports—on both sides of the Pacific. The British couldn't even get their own colonists to use the pound. Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia and Canada (to say nothing of the United States and Latin America) all used the Mexican dollar. And after the Mexican dollar finally slipped from the scene in the nineteenth century, it was the U.S. dollar that replaced it, not the pound. 
But the key to it all, then and now, was China. For the hundred years from 1540-1640 China was the vast sink into which the world's silver drained. The newly globalizing world—Europeans, but also Ottomans, Indians and especially Americans—all wanted what China had to offer, porcelains and silks most of all. But Chinese merchants wanted only one thing from the rest of the world: money. And in sixteenth century China, money meant silver. - National Interest
So the next time an analyst suggests that the world's currencies need to return to a gold standard for monetary stability, remember that the greatest economic growth in history took place when much of the globe was using silver rather than gold as it primary form of money.

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Gold and silver price diverges even more last week as ratio is now over 71:1

While there were at least two distinct attacks on gold by the bullion banks last week as the amount of paper short contracts on the Comex has reached record levels, the price was able to stay relatively stable as it ended the week around $1285.

But unfortunately the same cannot be said for silver as it was hit much harder than its more valuable monetary brother, and by the end of the week the ratio between gold and silver prices reached over 71:1.


Silver has always carried much greater volatility since the metals were removed from the U.S.'s monetary system, however this extreme divergence in price is primarily due to the amount of manipulation allowed in the futures markets where unlimited amounts of shorting are accepted to help protect the dollar and reserve currency.

Historically, the price ratio between gold and silver was at best 5:1 at times, and on average between 10:1 and 16:1.  And when you take into consideration the fact that silver is now an intrinsic necessity for most of the electronics and technology we rely upon to run our daily lives, then at some point even the manipulation will cease as demand for the metal will override even the central bank's ability to control its price.


When gold and silver ratio's reach extreme levels on either side, then it is very profitable to conduct a swap of one metal for the other dependent upon how big or small that ratio is.  And at 71:1, exchanging gold for silver is a great way to make future profits without having to spend a great deal more than the premium costs that might be required by local and online coin shops who can easily do this exchange.

Sunday, April 16, 2017

Ted Butler wants metals owners to join in mail campaign to the Comex to end silver manipulation once and for all

Long time precious metals analyst Ted Butler has started a campaign to try to end price manipulation in the silver markets by asking everyone to copy and paste a letter he wrote to two new top executives taking over at the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

In the letter, Mr. Butler points out the years of allowed fraud and price manipulation that has gone on in the futures markets of precious metals, and in particular silver, and cites information from the Comex and CFTC's own websites that validate the manipulation going back more than a decade.

So, for anyone with an interest in higher silver prices or who is a believer that free markets, not controlled by large traders gaming the system, is the right way, then there is something you might consider doing. Now is an ideal time to raise these very important issues about concentration and manipulation in COMEX silver. The two officials most responsible for uncovering manipulation at the CFTC just started in this capacity on Monday and should be more open to the facts than otherwise. I can understand how many might feel that contacting these officials and others might be a waste of time, given the agency’s failed record over the years in this regard. Still, I’m not talking about any burdensome effort, just sending a few emails or letters to get straight answers to some very good questions. 
I’ve already written to the two new officials (both by email and hard copy) and feel free to use what I sent. I would ask you not to improvise and include other issues, such as gold manipulation. Besides, nothing would impact gold prices more than having the silver manipulation terminated. The best approach is in being as specific and factual as possible so as to pin the agency down. They may refuse to answer and one way of insuring maximum pressure is to write to them through your elected officials. Here’s the letter I wrote that you are free to copy. I’ll include pertinent emails address at the end. - Silver Seek
And here is the letter to copy, paste, and email to the addresses and commissioners below.

April 10, 2017

Andrew B. Busch via Email
Chief Market Intelligence Officer

James McDonald
Director - Enforcement Division

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

1155 21st Street NW
Washington, DC 20581

Dear Sirs,

Congratulations and best wishes on your appointments to key positions at the Commission at this critical time in market history.
I’m writing concerning a matter that the Commission has considered on a number of past occasions - allegations of a silver price manipulation on the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). The reason the Commission has considered the issue of a silver price manipulation several times in the past is because the agency’s own public data and guidelines point strongly to such a manipulation. Never have the data been more convincing than what was just published Friday, in the Commission’s release of its weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) Report, for positions held as of April 4, 2017.

That report indicates that the concentrated net short position held by the four largest traders in COMEX silver futures hit an all-time extreme in numbers of contracts of 78,021, the equivalent of 390 million oz. of silver. The concentrated net short position of the eight largest traders was indicated at 104,978 contracts or the equivalent of nearly 525 million oz., or more than 60% of world annual mine production. No other commodity comes close to COMEX silver futures in terms of a larger concentrated short position when compared to real world production. On its face, the large concentrated short position in COMEX silver futures would appear to be an artificial price depressant.

As you know, the Commission monitors and publishes concentration data in all regulated futures markets as the prime front line defense against price manipulation. After all, it would be nearly impossible to manipulate any market without a concentrated position. But not only do COMEX silver futures stand out as having the largest concentrated short position of any commodity, in terms relative to real world production, consumption and existing inventories, the concentrated short position in COMEX silver futures is notable for other reasons.
For one reason, the big short traders do not appear to be engaged in any sort of legitimate hedging, since there are no signs they represent actual producers or hedgers of physical holdings. Separate agency data, contained in the monthly Bank Participation Report, indicate that the largest shorts are mostly domestic and foreign banks essentially operating as speculators, in a pseudo-market making capacity against other speculators. Publicly-owned mining companies are required to disclose any hedge activity and few, if any have disclosed any hedging in silver. The big short sellers in COMEX silver futures are financial firms, mostly banks, speculating against other big speculators and have no legitimate economic or hedging purpose in dealing in COMEX silver in the first place. As I’m sure you know, Congress allows futures trading for the purpose of encouraging legitimate hedging, not to encourage excessive speculation.

The largest COMEX silver short seller for the past nine years is JPMorgan. That has been the case ever since it acquired the failing investment bank Bear Stearns, the former largest COMEX silver short seller, according to Commission data and its correspondence with lawmakers. The special manipulative twist here is that since 2011, JPMorgan has engaged in an epic accumulation of physical silver at prices much lower than would have existed if the bank had not also been the largest silver short seller on the COMEX. In the recently completed COMEX March silver futures delivery period, JPMorgan stopped (accepted) 2689 contracts in its own proprietary trading account, plus another 739 contracts on behalf of a client(s), considerably more than the 1500 contracts allowed according to exchange regulations. This while JPMorgan was the largest short holder in COMEX silver futures. It is not possible to imagine a more compelling motive or intent for manipulation than to acquire a massive amount of any commodity at depressed prices, where the acquirer is responsible for the depressed prices.

Almost without fail, on every past occasion where the concentrated short position in COMEX silver futures reached extreme levels, it was only a matter of time before the price of silver gets rigged lower by these big shorts to induce speculative selling from traders operating on technical price signals. In fact, COT report data indicate that JPMorgan has never taken a loss, only profits on every silver short position it has added over the past nine years. Such results would not be possible in a market that wasn’t manipulated in price. In essence, speculators have taken over the price discovery process in silver because there are so few real hedgers trading on the COMEX, only speculating banks betting against other speculative traders. Even assuming the current extreme concentrated short position leads yet again to a sharp selloff in silver, there is another issue that goes to the core of regulatory concern.
In addition to the clear agency data pointing to a silver price manipulation, the presence of such a large and non-economic short position necessarily enhances the likelihood of disorderly market conditions once it becomes clear to enough market participants that unbacked concentrated short positions on the COMEX have been the reason why silver prices are so depressed.

I have communicated all this to the Commission, JPMorgan and the CME Group (owner-operator of the COMEX) for many years, with hardly any acknowledgement or rebuttal. I am hoping you will consider this matter differently and act to finally end the manipulation. I’m sure how you handle this matter will define your tenure. If I can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to call on me.
Sincerely yours,

Ted Butler

Andrew B. Busch - [email protected]
James McDonald - [email protected]
Acting Chairman J. Christopher Giancarlo - [email protected]
Commissioner Sharon Y. Bowen - [email protected]

Let me close by telling you that I am very thankful for the unique opportunity created by the new senior appointments at the CFTC, along with the simultaneous publication of the most concentrated data in silver shorting in history. I assure you that I am not holding my breath waiting for the CFTC to finally step up to the plate and do the right thing; not after 30 years of denial and obfuscation. I know full well that the agency’s denials up through today have only hardened it to maintain the façade that nothing is wrong in COMEX silver, despite glaring and growing evidence to the contrary. Still, it would be a waste not take advantage of an unexpected opportunity.

Ted Butler
April 12, 2017

www.butlerresearch.com

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

Maine legislator wants state to join AZ, TX, UT, and ID by removing sales tax from purchase of gold and silver

On April 11 a state Senator from Maine is seeking to follow the growing trend of other states in recognizing gold and silver as money once again by calling for the removal of state sales tax from the purchase of precious metals.

Speaking this week with the state's Committee on Taxation, Senator Eric Brakey is pushing a measure to have state taxes removed from the buying and selling of gold and silver bullion since many dealers and buyers are simply going across the border to states which currently do not have tax impositions on precious metal transactions.

If Sen. Eric Brakey gets his way, buying silver and gold may get cheaper for Mainers.
State Sen. Eric Brakey, R-Auburn, is pushing a measure to exempt gold and silver coins and bullion from the state sales tax. 
Brakey, an Auburn Republican, is pushing a measure to exempt gold and silver coins and bullion from the state sales tax. 
Douglas Carnrick of Winslow told lawmakers that many coin collectors and investors simply buy their gold and silver out of state — and then forget that they’re still required to pay the sales tax on their own later. 
Since about half of the states don’t impose sales tax on gold and silver purchases, it’s not hard for buyers to avoid shelling out for sales tax online or by traveling to nearby states that exempt precious metals sales. 
“The reason for this is, gold and silver coinage and bullion are not normal goods like everything else we charge a sales tax on,” Brakey told the Committee on Taxation this week. He said they are a form of currency for many. - Sun Journal

Friday, April 7, 2017

Fed jawboning kills gold and silver rally one day after each crossed their 200 day moving average

Following last night's U.S. missile attack in Syria as a punitive response for the perceived use of sarin gas against civilians, gold and silver both rose more than 1% to end overnight trading above their 200 day moving averages, and above hard resistance levels that had taken five months to recover to.

Gold:



Silver:


Yet while these levels stayed above their 200 day moving averages for a few hours after U.S. markets opened, a sudden and mysterious move in the dollar and yen following some minor comments from NY Fed President Bill Dudley were enough to crush all the gains gold and silver had from last night, and end the week well below the resistance levels that could have opened up the next leg for gold and silver prices.


It was not clear what was the catalyst for the sharp move, however shortly before the move Bill Dudley spoke, discussing the future of the Fed's balance sheet: 
  • FED'S DUDLEY: RATES WILL BE PRIMARY POLICY TOOL, NOT 'GRADUAL' BALANCE SHEET REDUCTION
  • FED'S DUDLEY: PORTFOLIO RUN OFF WILL NOT BE 'ACTIVE' TOOL OF MONETARY POLICY
  • FED'S DUDLEY: ONE REASON TO SHED BONDS IS TO LEAVE OPEN OPTION TO EXPAND BALANCE SHEET IN FUTURE
  • FED'S DUDLEY: LIKELY WON'T RETURN TO PRE-CRISIS SIZE BOND PORTFOLIO
  • FED'S DUDLEY: PREFERS RETAINING CURRENT 'FLOOR' POLICY MECHANISM IN FUTURE, WITH PERHAPS $500 BLN - $1 TRLN IN EXCESS RESERVES
  • FED'S DUDLEY: REPEATS EXPECTS TO BEGIN SHEDDING BONDS LATER THIS YEAR OR NEXT YEAR
in which he pointed out that balance sheet normalization would likely lead to only a "little pause" in rate hikes to avoid concurrent policy moves. 
FED'S DUDLEY: SHEDDING BONDS MAY LEAD ONLY TO 'LITTLE PAUSE' IN RATE HIKES; PERHAPS AVOID SIMULTANEOUS POLICY MOVES - Zerohedge

Thursday, April 6, 2017

Gold and silver soar in overnight trading as U.S. and Trump begin shelling Syria

President Donald Trump followed through with his about-face on April 6 as the U.S. changed course in the Syrian conflict and began to shell the Middle Eastern nation with Tomahawk Missiles.

In the wake a horrific gas attack that has all the earmarks of a previous one done by 'moderate rebels' back in 2013 to try to scapegoat on President Bashir Assad, the White House did not wait for any official confirmation this evening and instead fell victim to what again appears to be a false flag propaganda effort to bring about a war that could escalate against both Russia and China.

As previewed earlier tonight, the United States fired a barrage of cruise missiles into Syria on Friday morning in retaliation for this week's alleged chemical weapons attack against civilians by the Assad regime, U.S. officials said. It was the first direct American assault on the Syrian government and Donald Trump's most dramatic military order since becoming president. According to NBC, only tomahawks missiles fired, no fixed wing aircraft involved, for now. 
As AP notes, the surprise strike marked a striking reversal for Trump, who warned as a candidate against the U.S. getting pulled into the Syrian civil war, now in its seventh year. But the president appeared moved by the photos of children killed in the chemical attack, calling it a "disgrace to humanity" that crossed "a lot of lines."
The president did not announce the attacks in advance, though he and other national security officials ratcheted up their warnings to the Syrian government throughout the day Thursday. 
The strike early Friday morning in Syria targeted hangars, planes and fuel tanks at one Syrian military airfield, according to a U.S. official. The U.S. attacked with about 60 Raytheon Co. Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from two Navy destroyers.
About 60 U.S. Tomahawk missiles, fired from warships in the Mediterranean Sea, targeted an air base in retaliation for a chemical weapons attack that American officials believe Syrian government aircraft launched with a nerve agent; hangars, planes and fuel tanks were targeted, a U.S. official sais. Two Navy destroyers launched Raytheon missiles against Syria two days after Bashar al-Assad’s regime used poison gas to kill scores of civilians. - Zerohedge
In the meantime global markets are in chaos over the escalation of the conflict in Syria, and both gold and silver prices have soared more than 1% in overnight trading.


Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Texas now joins in on the rebellion as legislature submits bill to make gold and silver legal tender

2017 has been a watershed year so far for states desiring to break away (rebel) from irresponsible fiscal policies out of Washington, and diabolical monetary policies issued by the central bank.  By this we mean that more and more states are looking hard at the potential of having gold and silver as money in the wake of rising inflation and a devaluing dollar.

So far three states have either submitted or passed legislation allowing for the metals to once again be recognized and accepted as Constitutional money, and now we can add a fourth as the great state of Texas is currently debating a new bill to allow gold and silver to become once again legal tender.

A bill introduced in the Texas Senate would establish gold and silver as legal tender in Texas. Passage of the bill would create currency competition in the state and serve to undermine the Federal Reserve’s monopoly on money. 
Sen. Bob Hall introduced Senate Bill 2097 (SB2097) on March 10. The bill includes a number of provisions to establish gold and silver as legal tender in Texas. It declares specifically that  certain gold and silver coins are legal tender, and prohibits any tax, charge, assessment, fee, or penalty on any exchange of Federal Reserve notes (dollars) for gold or silver. The bill authorizes the payment of taxes and fees in gold & silver in certain circumstances. It would also prohibit the seizure of gold or silver by state authorities. SB2097 also included provisions relating to gold and silver clauses in contracts, prohibiting payment in dollars if the contract calls for payment in gold and silver. Legally enforcing these contracts through state law would serve to encourage their use. 
Along with the establishment of a Texas gold depository authorized in 2015, passage of SB2097 would set in place all four steps states can take to encourage sound money and take on the Federal Reserve. - 10th Amendment Center
Ironically Texas had already forged ahead with another important step towards allowing gold and silver to be used as legal tender prior to SB2097 when they created a gold depository a few years back, and ordered gold owned by the state's university system to be repatriated from the Federal Reserve.  And in fact they, along with Utah, are the only current states to have either a public or private depository to hold gold for use in commerce.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Gold and silver hitting tough resistance at key levels of $1260 and $18.50

Following the Fed's move two weeks ago to raise interest rates by a mere quarter point, the Dow has fallen seven days in a row, the dollar has dropped over 250 bps, and gold and silver have risen by several percentage points to levels not seen since last November following the Presidential election.  And while the two primary metals have experienced hardly any days of losses since March 15, they are now running up against hard resistance points at $1260 and $18.50 respectively.

Gold traded through one trend-line (August-present) it struggled with just a few days prior, but came very near another trend-line (off the July high). Also, it failed from just above the 200-day MA and below the late February peak. Risk is heightened of a decline from the area between here and 1264. 
Silver is trading very near the July-present trend-line and right around the 200-day MA. Bearish price action has yet to present itself (i.e. - key reversal bar, engulfing bar, etc.), but the stance is neutral to bearish at this juncture with resistance at hand in both gold and silver, along with support for the US dollar. - Daily FX
Should both metals be able to break through these hard resistance levels then it appears technically there will be relatively smooth sailing to $1300 for gold, and potentially $21 for silver as they will both have crossed above their 200 day moving averages.

Right now gold and silver are back to working in tandem against movements from the U.S. dollar.  And if the U.S. currency, which came close to falling below its own 200 day moving average on Monday morning at 98.62, should break through that level with strength, then it will most likely lead to both gold and silver soaring past these hard resistance levels and open up the Bull Market to investors who have been waiting for this to happen on their technical charts.