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Showing posts with label q1. Show all posts
Showing posts with label q1. Show all posts

Friday, May 5, 2017

As gold demand comes down 18% globally for Q1, China and India are still buying like crazy

On May 4 the World Gold Council reported their year over year Q1 numbers for gold demand and saw a huge global decline of 18% from the prior first quarter in 2016.  However, this drop only appears to be primarily in the West as both China and India saw large spikes in buying during the same period.
A slower pace of central bank buying helped push gold demand down 18% year-on-year in the first quarter, according to the World Gold Council
Gold Demand Trends quarterly report showed global gold demand was 1,034.5 tonnes, with the year-on-year decline reflecting the strength of the first quarter of 2016 (which was the strongest ever first quarter). - Barrons
Chinese Q1 numbers:

China's demand for gold bars and coins soared 30 percent year-on-year to 105.9 metric tons in the first quarter of this year, the fourth strongest quarter on record, according to a report released by the World Gold Council on Thursday. 
Overall demand for gold in the Chinese market grew 8 percent year-on-year to 282.4 tons, making China the world's top gold consumer, according to WGC data.
Global demand for gold in the quarter was 1,034.5 tons, an 18 percent year-on-year decrease from the record high level recorded for the first quarter of 2016. - China Post
Indian Q1 numbers:
Gold demand in India increased by 15 per cent during the first quarter of 2017 to 123.5 tonne, signalling a return of optimism in the industry, according to World Gold Council (WGC). 
The total gold demand in the country stood at 107.3 tonne in the January-March of 2016, impacted by jewellers' strike over excise duty introduction. - India Times

Monday, May 30, 2016

Canadian mint sales of gold up 20% in Q1 while U.S. buyers of Comex gold contracts soar at record pace

For those obsessed with the current slam downward in gold prices, realize that this is a short-term paper driven anomaly by the U.S. central bank to protect the dollar from falling below 92 on the currency index.  And the primary reason to feel decent despite the $100 drop in the price is because demand continues to soar at record levels in both the physical and paper markets.

On May 28, the Canadian Mint released their sales numbers for gold maple leaf coins and for the quarter of 2016, purchases were up nearly 20% from the same quarter in 2015.

The Royal Canadian Mint Sold 212,600 Ounces of Gold in the First Quarter of 2016.
First quarter 2016 Canadian Mint gold sales rose 18.7% year over year in Q1 2016 from 179,100 ounces sold in the same quarter in 2015. First quarter 2016 gold sales put the Royal Canadian Mint on Track to sell One Milion ounces in 2016. 
The Royal Canadian Mint released its first quarter 2016 report this week. 
The report showed that Royal Canadian Mint first quarter 2016 gold sales increased 18.7% year over year from the first quarter of 2015. (212,600 ounces vs. 179,100 ounces) - SGT Report
Additionally, there was an interesting and historic anomaly last week in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report that shows open interest on the U.S. Comex market.  In it, speculators were leaving the gold futures market while at the same time the number of commercial traders going long in the metal did so at the fastest rate in the report's history.
Summary 
Speculative traders abandoned gold positions at a tremendous rate over the past week. 
While speculative bulls were dropping their gold contracts, larger commercial traders were buying up gold long contracts at the fastest rate in the report's history. 
While we have been bearish on gold for the past few weeks, we now think it is a good time for investors to start re-establishing gold positions. 
In the latest Commitment of Traders report (COT), we saw something very unusual happen but it wasn't on the speculative side. Speculative traders did what we expected them to do with the price downturn - longs sold hand over fists while shorts increased their own positions. But what was unusual was that Commercial traders (the big buyers of gold) increased their positions by the largest weekly amount in the history of the new COT report. - Seeking Alpha

Saturday, April 9, 2016

Economic growth falling fast as Atlanta Fed revises GDP estimates for 3rd time in less than a month

On April 8, the Atlanta Fed downgraded their Q1 GDP estimates for the second time in less than a week, and for the third time within the past 30 days.  And this comes just as earnings season for Wall Street companies are about to begin next week.
Since beginning the year with an announcement that GDP growth for the first quarter of 2016 would be above 1%, and calling for growth as high as 2.6% as recently as February, the Atlanta Fed has changed course immensely since March 15 and has called for growth estimates of .7%, .4%, and now .1% respectively since that date.
gdp q1
Read more on this article here...