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Showing posts with label paper gold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label paper gold. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Demand for gold surging as paper gold in the GLD ETF running at levels not seen since 2011

2011 was the year gold reached its all-time high against the dollar when it climbed from $1325 at the end of January to over $1900 by early September.  And during that year investments in the GLD ETF were also at record highs.

Subsequently traders saw the gold price fall over the course of the next four years, ending its bear market run in January of 2016.  But as we enter into a new Presidency in January of 2017, and conditions looking very similar to what occurred last year in the gold markets following the central bank's first rate hike in over a decade, something else is occurring that is sure to spark a run in the gold price and it is happening once again in the paper gold market.

On January 17, the GLD ETF had risen 13 of the last 15 trading days, creating a scenario for gold not seen since it rose to its all-time high back in 2011.

Gold chart for September 2011 when it reached its all-time high 
The popular gold-tracking GLD ETF has risen in 13 of the past 15 sessions through Tuesday, the first time it has done so since summer of 2011. 
Gold has suffered a precipitous drop since peaking in mid-2016, with Donald Trump's election and the Federal Reserve's rate hike serving as two notable bearish catalysts. 
Each of the events sent the dollar surging and yields rising — both of which are bad news for gold. After peaking at nearly $1,380 per troy ounce in July, gold found itself below $1,130 per troy ounce in the middle of December. 
Since then, gold has staged a subdued but nonetheless persistent rise. In the 15 sessions since Dec. 22, gold has risen more than 7 percent. 
The last time the GLD rose as consistently was in the 15 sessions ended July 26, 2011, which similarly saw the ETF rise a bit less than 7 percent. 
To be sure, 2011 is not a year that gold fans remember fondly. The metal topped out just a few months later, in September, at $1,923.7. A gut-wrenching decline was ahead, and the value of the metal has pretty much been declining ever since. - CNBC
Gold price to date for 2017

Thursday, October 27, 2016

What should the real price of gold and silver be with all the paper contracts sold for each bullion ounce

With the rise of the Shanghai Gold Exchange over in Asia, there are now three primary gold markets functioning globally.  But only one is an actual physical gold market since both London (LBMA) and New York (Comex) are paper gold based derivative markets.

For years organizations like GATA have sought to prove price manipulation and the use of bullion banks by the Fed and the U.S. Treasury to keep down the paper spot price to protect these derivative contracts.  And this proof of manipulation was finally validated earlier this year with a public mia culpa by Deutsche Bank that they and others have been purposely manipulating gold prices through the use of naked shorts dumped periodically onto the gold markets.

So even with these new disclosures of price fixing and illegal market trades, one has to ask why are the central banks and government finance agencies still continuing to manipulate markets without a care that they would be prosecuted, and most importantly, is there an underlying purpose behind such mechanisms?

The answer may lie in a new interview discussing data derived from GATA analyst Adrian Douglas who suggests that the real gold price should be well over $50,000 per ounce to backstop the $14 trillion in foreign held debt, and that the 40 -100:1 paper contract to physical gold ratio currently used in the Comex is a means to keep the paper price down while protecting the debt held by foreigners, which are using held gold as collateral denominated at its true value.

Silver Doctors: GATA's Adrian Douglas has done extensive research into the paper manipulation of gold and silver.  But the precious metals world changed overnight when Jeffrey Christian from CPM Group made this startling admission at the CFTC hearing in March. 
Jeffrey Christian: And you've heard people out there saying it today, that there is just not that much physical metal out there.  There isn't.  But as the physical market uses that term, there is much more metal that that... there is a 100 times more metal (paper metal).
Precious metals are financial assets, and like currencies and T-Bills and T-Bonds, they trade in multiples of 100 times the underlying physical. 
Silver Doctors:  Adrian Douglas's research leads him to conclude that the outstanding paper metals manipulation in gold is 45:1.  Meaning there are 45 paper ounces of gold sold for every one ounce of physical gold in the vault.
Which multiplies the 'apparent' gold supply 45 times.  Therefore suppressing price to what we see today. 
Adrian Douglas:  The Supply of gold is artificially increased by this paper gold about 45 times the actual supply.  So that means when that is exposed, and people are asking for gold that isn't there, the potential is that gold's purchasing power will be multiplied by 45 times. 
Silver Doctors:  There are 45 times the amount of gold sold as there is in the bullion banks, so what is the price of gold for the bullion banker?  $56,000 an ounce.
That is because they sold 45 ounces total (at approx. $1245 per ounce) for every physical ounce they owned.  In essence, they received $56,000 for every physical ounce sold.
Now the U.S. government claims they have 261.5 million ounces of gold held in reserves, so let's take them at face value and assume the gold isn't encumbered.  People say the dollar is backed by nothing, but it actually is backed by the gold reserves they claim they have. 
Now let's consider the dollar.  We've issued $14 trillion in (debt held by foreigners) against 261.5 million ounces.  If you do the division ($14 trillion / 261.5 million) the price comes out to... 
Approximately between $53,500 - $56,000 per ounce.  The exact same amount as the LBMA and Comex selling 45 times in paper gold the number of actual physical gold held in their vaults.
It appears that the paper gold manipulation is purposely being done to protect the dollar during this era of massive money expansion, and increase in debt.  And they are using the paper derivatives markets of the Comex and LBMA to suppress the TRUE VALUE of physical gold since if it were to run free to achieve its actual value it would collapse the dollar as well as the rest of the world's fiat currency mechanisms.

Wednesday, October 5, 2016

London dumps 1,000 tons worth of gold contracts on Oct. 4 to allow pre-Brexit shorts to cover before price explosion

On Oct. 4 gold fell by more than $40, and nearly $100 over the past few days as the Chinese holiday provided the perfect environment for London to dump 1,000 tons of gold contracts onto the market to drive down the price.

According to long-time gold analyst Andrew Maguire, the London gold cartel facilitated a massive shorting of gold futures contracts to drop the price back down to pre-Brexit levels so that bullion banks and other insiders could cover their short positions still open after gold spiked $100 back on June 24.

Eric King:  “Andrew, we’re seeing a massive takedown in the gold and silver markets today along with the shares, what’s really happening here?  What is really taking place?” 
Andrew Maguire:  “Close to a staggering 1,000 tonnes of paper gold has been rinsed out in the paper gold markets today…. 
Andrew Maguire continues:  “That’s just below the targeted 100-day moving average that was taken out earlier today.  Before this is finished today, this will exceed over a shocking 1,000 tonnes of paper gold that will have been rinsed. 
This takedown is a complete joke, and the wholesale market is all over (on the buy side of) this paper takedown.  This is a desperate effort by Western officials to cover massive offside pre-Brexit over-the-counter short positions put on by their agent bullion banks near the $1,275 level. - King World News
Each year approximately 2500 tons of gold are produced, making this paper contract dump equivalent to 40% of the world's entire gold production for 2016.

With the European banking system standing on the precipice of another liquidity crisis, and the Chinese beginning their new paradigm as a member of the IMF's SDR global currency, expectations of gold skyrocketing upward in the coming weeks or months left the bullion banks with little choice but to try to pull off a massive manipulation play to cover their several billion dollar short position that had left them vulnerable when they had bet against a Brexit vote.  And when China comes back online after their holiday ends this weekend, expect the price to climb back up over $1300 as it regains all its losses imposed upon it from yesterday's gambit.

Sunday, September 4, 2016

As the world rushes to hoard cash, and gold supplies dwindle, what might a frenzy on gold buying look like?

Two interesting events are taking place right now in different parts of the world that threaten to create a frenzy not unlike the bank runs we saw in the 1930's and again following the bursting of the Housing Bubble in 2007.

Trust in banks have seriously eroded in places like Japan and Germany to the point where average people are making a run on home safes, and moving their cash out of financial institutions.  The root cause of course is the advent of negative interest rates and the growing fear that insolvent institutions will soon be forced to conduct bail-ins to stave off bankruptcy.

But it is not just a run on cash that is occurring in different pockets of the market.  Last week demands for delivery of physical gold were met with severe resistance, and this is a signal that most paper gold ETF's are not actually backstopped with physical gold, and which could soon bring about a run that would skyrocket the price to well over $5000 according to well respected metals analyst David Morgan.


Economist David Morgan of The Morgan Report is one of the world’s best known silver investors. In the following interview with Future Money Trends Morgan discusses his personal experiences during the last major run-up in gold, when it hit a price of $850 in early 1980. As Morgan describes it, there was significant panic buying during that time period, and should central banks and governments continue on their current course, we’ll see a similar endgame play out this time around: 
"What’s good for gold is the end of empire… And we’ve got governments that are failing… When these bond markets blow up further, that’s when you’re going to see a run to gold than we’ve already seen… 
Wait until the physical market freezes up, which could happen. I am not saying it would happen, but it could. With the worldwide demand and a failing currency across the world, where do you think people are going to go? They’re going to go to precious metals which have been trusted for thousands of years. 
If that were to occur, and I think it could happen… could you imagine the amount of money sitting on the sidelines in a panic mode that would go into the mining shares? It’s incredible. 
I saw it once… I saw what happened with gold and silver when it was a panic buy… My commodities broker was a woman. She worked for Dean Witter… She was very savvy… She would leave her office at lunchtime and go and buy gold at the local coin dealer… then after she closed her office she would stand outside her front door and sell gold coins to people who were lined up… believe it or not. 
That’s the kind of frenzy you get at the top of the gold market." - SHTFPlan

Friday, September 2, 2016

Duetsche Bank's failure to deliver physical gold from ETF request could become catalyst for price skyrocketing very soon

On Aug. 31, a German gold ETF known as Xetra Gold, and who's fund was underwritten by Deutsche Bank, sparked the first fail to deliver of promised physical gold since ABN Amro did so back in 2013.

Image result for gold if you don't hold it you don't own it
If you don't hold it, you don't own it
As Oliver Baron reports, those who ask for gold delivery at this moment, "could encounter difficulties." The reason is that according to Baron, a reader of GodmodeTrader "sought physical delivery of his holdings of Xetra-Gold. For this he approached, as instructed by the German Borse document, his principal bank, Deutsche Bank." 
At that point then he encountered a big surprise: the Deutsche Bank account executive informed the investor that "the service", is no longer offered, namely exercising physical delivery at Xetra-Gold, for "reasons of business policy" and therefore the order form provided by Clearstream Banking AG for exercising Xetra-gold is no longer available. 
Baron writes that since Deutsche Bank is no longer serving the physical exercising of delivery request of Xetra-Gold is remarkable, as Deutsche Bank is the "designated sponsor" as well as fiscal, principal and redemption agent of Xetra-Gold according to its prospectus, and as the explainer of how to exercise physical delivery also reveals. Even if one is a customer of another bank, Xetra-Gold should - at least on paper- guarantee delivery by way of Deutsche Bank, as the Deutsche Borse Commodities GmbH explains in its "process description for exercising units" - Zerohedge
But the question now that needs to be asked is, with so many investors buying into global gold ETF's at the same time others are buying physical metals, are these paper traded gold funds also vastly underfunded and subject to their own failures to deliver?  This assertion was brought up on Sept. 1 by Jim Rickards, author of The New Case for Gold and metals forecaster who believes that the gold price will one day soon climb to over $10,000 per ounce.
Last June, I visited Zurich and was able to meet with some of the most knowledgeable experts and insiders in the physical gold industry. In March, I visited Lugano where I met with the top executive of the world’s largest gold refinery. As a result of these visits to Switzerland, and other points of contact, I have been able to gather extensive information on the major buyers and sellers of gold bullion in the world and the exact flows of physical gold. 
This information about gold flows is critical to understanding what will happen next to the price of gold. The reason is that the price of gold is largely determined in “paper gold” markets, such as Comex gold futures and gold ETFs. These paper gold contracts represent 100 times (or more) the amount of physical gold available to settle those contracts. 
As long as paper gold contracts are rolled over or settled for paper money, then the system works fine. But, as soon as paper gold contract holders demand physical gold in settlement, they will be shocked to discover there’s not nearly enough physical gold to go around. 
At that point, there will be panicked buying of gold. The price of gold will skyrocket by thousands of dollars per ounce. Gold mining stocks will increase in value by ten times or more. Paper gold sellers will move to shut down the futures exchange and terminate paper gold contacts because they cannot possibly honor their promises to deliver gold. - Daily Reckoning
So, is the failure to deliver promised gold by Europe's largest bank, and one of the world's top financial institutions an anomaly, or the beginning of the end for the manipulated and fraudulent paper gold market that tells customers they are buying physical gold, but in the end only have paper promises that are only as good as the value of its ink and parchment?

As with all things in life, if you don't hold it, you don't own it.

Tuesday, August 9, 2016

London to open new LMEprecious ETF to sell paper gold futures contracts to customers (suckers)

As the new Gold Bull market continues to grab ever larger portions of both individual and fund investment monies, Wall Street and the City of London are rushing in with new products to try to ensure they can direct these investments into their paper ponzi schemes, rather than into actual physical gold bullion.



And on Aug. 9, the World Gold Council announced that the London Metals Exchange (LME), along with many Western banks such as J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs, are creating a new paper gold futures market called LMEprecious which will introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products for clients (err suckers) to put their money into.
The World Gold Council and the London Metal Exchange (LME), together with Goldman Sachs, ICBC Standard Bank, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, OSTC and Societe Generale, today announce their intention to introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products. 
Today’s announcement follows an extended process of engagement with major market participants and users, and the LMEprecious service has been designed based on extensive consultation with core market players. Advanced discussions are taking place with a number of other leading institutions that have indicated their strong support for this initiative. 
Aram Shishmanian, the Chief Executive of the World Gold Council, said: “This is another important step in the modernisation of the gold market. It will strengthen London’s position in the global gold market, enabling it to meet the needs of all participants, attract new players and satisfy the highest standards of regulatory compliance. 
”We are proud to have been the catalyst for this process, defining the new trading capabilities and driving market engagement. We are confident that the new offering will be successfully implemented and supported by the market.” 
LMEprecious will comprise spot, daily and monthly futures, options and calendar spread contracts for gold and silver. Future developments will include platinum and palladium contracts.  All trading will be centrally cleared on LME Clear, the LME’s cutting-edge, real-time clearing house, and leverage the London market’s existing delivery infrastructure. The new product suite will complement the bilateral over-the-counter (OTC) market, offering market participants similar levels of execution flexibility, including the ability to bring bilaterally negotiated (phone-based) trades into clearing. Market participants will also benefit from tight on-exchange price discovery and a product model designed to maximise capital efficiencies. - World Gold Council
The City of London has controlled gold prices for over 100 years through their daily 'Gold Fix'.  And as the creation of China's Shanghai Gold Exchange physical gold mechanism threatens the authority of the UK to continue in this capacity, the banks are working overtime to try to keep their lock on precious metal pricing, and by directing investors into their schemes of paper etf's it appears to be a last desperate act to hold onto this power.

But all every gold and other precious metal owner needs to remember... if you don't hold it, you don't own it.

Friday, May 13, 2016

Comex cupboard so bare that a run on gold in their vaults would collapse the market

Entering into April, the number of paper contracts per ounce of physical gold held by the U.S. Commodities Exchange (Comex) was at an all-time record of 542 to 1.  And while this receded a touch during most of the month of April, by the end of the period it was not only back to 542 to 1, but it is now much higher from recent saturations and naked shorting.

Over the past two years, the Comex has seen its inventory of physical gold drop from several million ounces to now less than one million, and any real run on the vaults, or demand for delivery, would instantly collapse the gold markets, both in the paper realm and in physical.

And perhaps what is most astonishing is that for the first time in several years, the mainstream is now publishing news of this fraud.

Then starting in 2014 and trending to mid-2015, the number of registered “owners” moved strongly up, to about 100 per ounce, and then 300 per ounce. Note that this was also a period when Comex sold down significant amounts of physical inventory, from several million ounces in vaults to well under 1 million ounces. 
By late 2015 and now into 2016, registered “owners” against Comex gold spiked to a nosebleed level of 542-to-1. Thus if even one claimant shows up for an ounce of yellow metal, the cupboard will be bare — and there are 541 other claimants as well! 
“Uncovered” speculation has gone exponential. There’s lots of “paper” gold and almost no “real” gold, which makes for a high-risk scenario — certainly if you don’t hold gold. It’s high return if you do hold gold. 
The cupboard is so bare for gold that Comex could collapse into the equivalent of a “run” on vaults. If that happens — rather, “when” that happens — watch gold prices spike. On that golden day of reckoning, you’ll see more than a buying frenzy or even a panic. It’ll be utter pandemonium.  
When this bomb explodes, gold prices will melt upward in ways we can scarcely imagine. Instead of a few dollars up or down on the ticker, you’ll see hundred-dollar moves in a matter of minutes. Of course, it’ll be a good day for investors who own physical metal and a strong hand of mining shares. - Business Insider

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Gold buyers still ignorant of physical market as traders pile into S&P; paper gold at record levels

When a paradigm belief is strong, very little will ever change the minds of those held within its thrall.  And a great example of this is how U.S. and Western investors continue to trust in paper assets rather than trading in physical commodities that have real tangible value.

Last month the Shanghai Gold Exchange ushered in a new era for gold by declaring the first new price discovery mechanism in over 100 years.  And while the SGE established itself upon a foundation of physical gold, record numbers of investors in the West continue to buy paper gold through stock market ETF's rather than buying physical gold which they can be sure is in their hands, and not under the authority of known criminals and convicted manipulators.


Investors are piling back into gold, and they're coming in droves. 
Holdings in SPDR Gold Shares, the world's largest exchange-traded fund backed by gold, surged 20.8 metric tons on Monday, the biggest one-day expansion since 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show. 
About $7.1 billion in new money poured into SPDR Gold this year, the most of any ETF tracked by Bloomberg around the world, as holdings soared to the highest since 2013. - Salt Lake Tribune
Perhaps the most substantial difference between paper gold owners, and those who own physical gold, is that they choose to ignore the incredible manipulation that takes place by the bullion banks in the paper gold market.  In fact, last month Deutsche Bank publicly announced they were guilty of manipulating gold prices through the London Gold Fix, and the U.S. Comex has little actual gold, with more than 500 paper contract demands tied to every individual ounce of gold held in their vaults.

Which means that investors own meaningless paper, and simply a promise to deliver gold, rather than actual gold itself.

Gold: If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

Thursday, April 28, 2016

The big gold short: More paper gold is traded in London everyday than all available physical gold in the world

In the movie The Big Short, banks were buying and selling derivatives on mortgage bonds at rates of hundreds if not thousands of times the actual number of houses tied to those bonds.  In fact, it was the advent of the Synthetic CDO (collateralized debt obligation) that turned a housing crisis into a global financial collapse.

Yet because global governments didn't unwind these trades when the need for a bailout came, and jail the bankers who created the environment for global collapse, they simply gave the criminals on Wall Street and London the motivation to keep committing fraud and manipulation in not only the housing market, but in every market.

Following the decision to keep interest rates down to near zero, and initiating a program of money printing that was labeled as 'Quantitative Easing', central banks desperately needed to keep the price of gold down so that the true value of the dollar, euro, and yen would not be realized by the public or general economy.  And they did this by removing all protections to the gold market and allowing paper derivative contracts to dictate the physical markets.  And now five years later, that manipulation has reached levels where more paper gold contracts are traded everyday in London than the total amount of physical gold that is available in the entire world.


Currently, the number of contracts on the COMEX represents 300 times as much paper gold as there is physical metal in the COMEX vaults. Moreover, this number has ballooned at a faster pace over the past two years or so. The 300:1 ratio of contracts to physical ounces is propped by powerful restrictions. The COMEX forbids delivery of gold on the ramps to satisfy a gold contract, under threat of banning the party from participation and entry in the door. Almost nobody takes actual delivery of their metal, except for the big Wall Street banks which steal gold from other depositors. These banks also routinely rig the windows to enable removal of investor gold in the GLD Exchange Traded Fund, and silver from the similar SLV fund. Imagine a gold futures contract with no delivery possible. How absurd! But it has been the reality since June 2012. 
The situation is perhaps even more frightening in the London Bullion Market Assn (LBMA). This market sees $trillions worth of gold trades every day. The activity is truly baffling. On individual trading days, more gold changes hands within contract trading (paper shuffling) across the London market than all the available gold in the world. Yet no metal moves anywhere, in a grand charade. These are merely paper transactions, with almost no actual metal ever in movement. The staggering leverage and dilution should not make any sense to the rational observer. However, in sharp contrast, the Eastern nations are accumulating gold in large volume. - Dr. Jim Willie, Silver Doctors
And now you see why the new gold price mechanism initiated at the Shanghai Gold Exchange will soon be the most powerful change agent the world has seen in perhaps 100 years.  Because not only will it allow gold prices to finally break away from their paper restricted manipulations, but it will eventually force all assets to be laid bare when gold is once again the underlying foundation of all money.

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Asian countries buying gold hand over fist as central banks dump paper to drop price

Since last Friday, the gold spot price fell more than 9% as central banks dumped up to 500 tons of paper gold onto the markets.  These actions dropped gold from $1500+ to a low of $130 on April 15.

But even as the Western central banks work to manipulate paper gold prices, Asian countries such as China, Austrailia, and Japan are using this price drop to purchase tons of physical gold, at discounted prices.


Australia:
Gold sales from Perth Mint, which refines nearly all of the nation’s bullion, have surged after prices plunged, adding to signs that the metal’s slump to a two-year low is spurring increased demand.
“The volume of business that we’re putting through is way in excess of double what we did last week,” Treasurer Nigel Moffatt said, without giving precise figures. “There’s been people running through the gate.”
“There’s been significant sales made as people see this as great value,” Mr Moffatt said. “Gold owners are very reactive to significant market movements.”

China:
Beijing gold store two hours to sell 20,000 grams of gold bullion trading volume of nearly 200 million

Japan:
Japanese individual investors doubled gold purchases yesterday at Tokuriki Honten, the country’s second-largest retailer of the precious metal.

In the U.S., many gold and silver dealers such at Kitco have been experiencing buying so great, they have run out of stock, and hiked premiums by more than 50% on physical ounces.  And according to many analysts, this may be the last time to get physical gold and silver before it either runs out, or becomes to price restrictive to purchase.