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Showing posts with label mining stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mining stocks. Show all posts

Sunday, March 5, 2017

How does J.P. Morgan's trading desk have 0 losses in two years? Short mining stocks then crash metal prices to cover

According to a recent report out by Zerohedge, J.P. Morgan's trading desk had one of the most incredible, and impossible win streaks ever seen on Wall Street.  In fact, not only did they not have a single losing trade in 2016, but between 2012 and 2016 they only had two singular losing trades out of billions if not hundreds of billions conducted in the HFT sphere.

Thus the question one has to ask of course is how is this possible since the the average win ratio for even the best individual trader is around 58%?  And in an interview on March 3 with Peak Prosperity's Chris Martenson, the long time financial analyst lays out one of the many scenarios used by the investment bank through their shorting of mining stocks, then crashing metals when the markets are closed by dumping billions of dollars of naked shorts on the Comex to skim the profits, and then cover their positions.

Image result for jp morgan manipulating silver market
Rory Hall:  I want to get back to something we we're talking about a moment ago, and that is silver.  And how do you see yesterday with this silver beatdown, and where silver was raped for better lack of the word, by more than 4%... there was something like $2 billion worth of digital contracts thrown at it in about a half an hour.  What's your take on that? 
Chris Martenson:  There is a fairly complex take on this, but let me make it simple here... it's fraud.  And it's not just in the silver market.  I follow silver and gold closely so I'm aware of this there, but I can tell you it happens everywhere now because the big banks long ago won the battle and captured the SEC under Mary Jo White, and it's been a complete disaster of lack of regulation. 
So here's is the focus on how and where this theft, this fraud is committed.  The big commercial banks that are out there... J.P. Morgan, HSBC, all the big bullion banks that are playing in this market.  They go out there and take the opposite side of this trade, and they are rapidly getting shorter, and shorter as the price of silver is going up.  And taking the other side of that bet are only people I can assume are named Charlie Brown, because they fall for it everytime.  And the banks have done this a dozen times over the past five years. 
But here's the tell... as silver was rising the last three days before that big smackdown, the miners... the silver miners in particular were very weak.  In fact, they were going down. 
So when you see the stocks going down at the same time the metal's are going up, you know that someone is aggressively selling those... they are shorting the stock, selling the stocks short. 
So they build a huge naked short position in the mining stocks, and within days BAM!  And the next thing you know the price of silver gets hammered... monkey hammered in the aftermarket.  After the physical London market is closed they always do it then, if not at 1:30 in the morning, and they just flood the market and crush the bid stack, driving the price down.  They they simply buy back and cover their shorts and skim the profits while leaving everyone holding the stock, or a futures contract, as the loser.

Thursday, December 29, 2016

Trump's new Budget Office candidate a huge proponent of gold, silver, and Bitcoin as being money

Less than a month ago we wrote about one of President-Elect Donald Trump's final candidates for the office of Treasury Secretary being a strong proponent for a gold and silver monetary standard.  And although John Allison did not make the final cut in his administration, a new sound money nominee is being set to run the Office of Management and Budget.

Trump's newest OMB selection is a Congressman from South Carolina who not only has spoken out on the virtues of gold and silver as money in the past, but he currently owns both as well as mining stocks and bitcoin.

The man in line to bring together President-elect Donald Trump's federal budget is a big believer in gold, according to financial disclosures. 
Mick Mulvaney, Trump's pick to lead the Office of Budget and Management, owns significant amounts of precious metals and gold-mining stocks based on financial disclosures compiled by Bloomberg. 
According to the filings, Mulvaney held $50,000 to $100,000 in precious metals at the end of 2015. In addition, the South Carolina congressman holds stock in numerous gold and silver mining corporations totaling $252,000 to $855,000, according to the filing. 
The heavy investments into gold is not surprising given past criticism by Mulvaney of the Federal Reserve. In a speech obtained by Mother Jones, Mulvaney told the John Birch Society, a group that believes the only legal forms of currency are gold and silver coins, that the Fed had "effectively devalued the dollar" and "choke[d] off economic growth." - Business Insider

Thursday, October 20, 2016

How much gold and silver should an individual or family have to protect their wealth?

For those who invest, save, or stack gold and silver, the question always arises on what kind, and how much should individuals or families have to protect themselves from a financial disaster, or to protect their wealth.  The answer of course is arbitrary since no two people live under the same circumstances, but there are some general rules to help in diversifying yourself from the cycles of economic chaos.

If there is anything the last 100 years have taught us is that either by greed, corruption, natural cycles or simple chance, economies and currencies will have periods of extreme decline.  And sadly for most people, no matter how many times the financial system fails, few prepare themselves for that one time the turmoil will come to effect them, or even their entire community.

In just the past 20 years we have seen two economies go into hyperinflation, and several others experience currency crises and deep depressions.  And while the United States and most of Europe has not fully collapsed into any of these scenarios, history shows that at some point all empires fall, and all monetary systems fail.

But will it be in our lifetimes?

If the financial crisis of 2008 proved anything it is that systems can seize up and collapse in a matter of days.  Yet unlike the phantom specters of events such as Y2K or even the more recent Brexit vote, people often don't have months or years to prepare for change and must learn to make monetary preparation a lifestyle choice.

So the question still remains... how much gold and silver should individuals or families accumulate to be solvent in nearly any crisis or financial cycle change that could take place?  We know in Venezuela right now that on the streets an ounce of silver will buy enough food for a family to last 3-4 months, and a gold ounce coin will buy a house.  But more than this, when the inevitable global financial collapse comes what will you need to be able to both survive, and set the foundations to thrive in what new system emerges.

The first thing one must do is change their mindset.  When determining the amount of precious metals to own the solution is not determined in price or value, but in the number of ounces.  This is important because their values change daily, and are different in relation to the hundreds of different currencies operational around the world.

Second you must do a real evaluation of your wealth, incomes, debts, and needs.  And from there it becomes much easier to figure out what goals to set in accumulating a stack.

Thirdly you must recognize what each form of precious metals does for your portfolio and how to allocate it.  The best rule of thumb is to see the metals and metal stocks in this light.

1.  Gold - Wealth protection
2.  Silver - Barter and also Investment
3.  Mining Stocks - Speculation

Each of these are also in the correct order of risk, with gold being the least risky and mining stocks being the most volatile.

Here is a good example of how much of each metal you would need if there were no longer cash or income from employment, and the economy had moved into an inflationary spiral.

Chart courtesy of Jeff Clark

But as with all financial crises, there are no cut and dry parameters or limits to be fully covered.  As I noted today in Venezuela, only three ounces of silver would cover your food needs for one year.

In times past brokers who actually believed in precious metal ownership suggested having 5-10% of your wealth held in both gold and silver, while another 5% might be dedicated towards speculation (mining stocks).  But this adheres to the premise of value vs. ounces, and since your would be holding the metals physically in hand, ounces are the most important determinant.

As I am not a Certified Financial Planner, I can only give suggestions and thoughts based on my experiences and prognostication of future events.  And with this in mind for myself as a single unmarried individual, my minimum stacks would be like this.

10 ounces (or equal grams) of gold bullion
500 ounces of silver
$500 - $5000 in speculative mining stocks

In the end this article is not meant to determine exactly for you how much gold and silver you would need to protect your wealth and hedge against financial crises or uncertainties.  But it is a beginning from where you can assess your own situations and set some short, medium, and long-term goals because the time for buying any type of insurance is always before the disaster strikes, not while it is happening when that insurance will be far beyond your ability to afford it.



Thursday, September 22, 2016

Gold price and gold miner ETF both spike following Fed's confused position on economy following another failed FOMC meeting

Immediately following the Fed's announcement that once again they would not be raising rates in September, gold shot up over $20 as continuing confusion from the U.S. central bank is driving investors into the best safe haven.

But gold bullion was not the only precious metal asset to benefit from the Fed's remaining at the status quo as the primary market index for gold miners, the GDX, also rose 7% on Wednesday signalling that expectations of much higher prices to come will encapsulate stocks tied to the precious metal.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), which tracks the spot price of gold, jumped 1.5% through the close. The ETF recaptured its 50-day moving average for the first time since Sept. 8. It had come under pressure from uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move on interest rates. 
Higher rates tend to weigh on gold, a nonyielding haven asset, while lifting the dollar in which it is globally priced. 
VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) vaulted 7.1% on the stock market today. Mining companies are widely regarded as a leveraged play on the price of gold. 
Silver and silver-backed mining ETFs also flew higher in big volume, with iShares Silver Trust (SLV) breaking through resistance at its 50-day moving average and closing at the top of the day's range. - Investors Business Daily
With the Fed nearly assured of propping up equities into the foreseeable future, investing in well positioned mining stocks has become a great addition to buying physical gold as many have risen by more than 100-500% since the beginning of the year.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Ron Paul’s golden portfolio

Have you ever wondered what Ron Paul invests in, and keeps in his portfolio?  If you guessed gold, you would be correct.  If you guessed physical gold and gold mining stocks, you could be Ron Paul’s financial planner.
On Aug 20, a report was published on former Congressman Ron Paul’s stock holdings, and other investment assets.  And as many can guess, Paul’s portfolio is made up of primarily silver and gold mining stocks, with a smattering of real estate and cash.
 
Read more of this article here...