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Showing posts with label liquidity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label liquidity. Show all posts

Thursday, January 26, 2017

With foreigners avoiding bonds, liquidity should move strongly into gold and silver in second half of the year

With foreigners for the most part selling bonds rather than buying them, signals are flashing that the 30 years bull market in bonds is just about over.  And with foreign economies around the world running into currency problems, slowing growth, and the threat of capital flight, economic Marc Faber believes that a huge portion of foreign capital will be moving into gold and silver in the second half of the year.

Economist Marc Faber, who is known in many circles as Doctor Doom for his oft gloomy forecasts, says that stock markets are overvalued, but stops short of saying that a crash is imminent. Though valuations are high and sentiment is dangerously optimistic, Faber argues in a recent interview with Fox Business that there are huge money flows still making their way into U.S. equities. 
And over the next three to six months Faber says much of that liquidity from foreign and domestic investors may start moving into precious metals and precious metals stocks:
[There won’t be a sell off] in the near future… but if you look at the valuation of stock they’re high. If you look at the valuation of the US dollar it is high… If you look at the money flows in the last few weeks a lot of money has flown into US equities, both from domestic investors and international investors… as a contrarian this is not a particular good sign. 
However, there is a lot of liquidity in the world… the liquidity will move into precious metals and precious metals stocks… so I would be long gold shares, silver shares, platinum and the underlying physical… 
I also think that sentiment is much too optimistic about stocks and far too pessimistic about bonds… - SHTF Plan

Monday, May 16, 2016

Major banks desperate for liquidity want you to open new accounts

An interesting thing happened along the way to insolvency for major banks dependent more upon zero interest rate borrowing from the Fed than from everyday depositors.  And that being, the banks now desperately want your money and are willing to pay for it.
Within the past few weeks, both Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank are offering between 1-5% yields for simple savings accounts when for the past seven years depositors were not only receiving less than 1%, but the days of free checking were now long over.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Peter Schiff: As JP Morgan predicts severe negative rates for all central banks, gold will profit extremely from it

On Feb. 10, JP Morgan forecasted that the world's primary central banks... ie... Bank of Japan (BOJ), European Central Bank (ECB), and the Federal Reserve will not only carry interest rates into negative territory, but move them down to extreme levels of between one and five percent.

Since the beginning of the year, the BOJ has already pushed interest rates negative and individual nations within the Eurozone have done so as well.  But more importantly, banks have not taken well to these moves and several are experiencing liquidity and credit problems that place their solvency at risk.
According to a just released report by JPMorgan, the answer is even scarier. In the analysis published late on Tuesday by JPM's Malcolm Barr and Bruce Kasman, negative rates could go far lower than not only prevailing negative rates, but well below gold storage costs as well. 
JPM justifies this by suggesting that the solution to a NIRP world where bank net interest margins are crushed by subzero rates, is a tiered system as already deployed by the Bank of Japan and in some places of Europe, whereby only a portion of reserves are subjected to negative rates. 
Which leads to the shocker: JPM estimates that if the ECB just focused on reserves equivalent to 2% of gross domestic product it could slice the rate it charges on bank deposits to -4.5%. Alternatively, if the ECB were to concentrate on 25% of reserves, it would be able to cut as low as -4.64%.  That compares with minus 0.3% today and the minus 0.7% JPMorgan says it could reach by the middle of this year as reported yesterday. 
In Japan, JPM calculates that the BOJ could go as low as -3.45% while Sweden’s is likely -3.27%. 
Finally, if and when the Fed joins the monetary twilight race, it could cut to -1.3% and the Bank of England to -2.69%. - Zerohedge
In response to these moves, the one true safe haven will be physical metals, and as Peter Schiff reported in a new interview this morning, negative rates will be as 'blood in the water' for gold.

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Got Karatbars? Fed's raising of interest rates actually beneficial for gold prices

When economists look at the comparison between gold prices and interest rates, most simply take a singular period of time and use that as the basis for their entire argument.  That period of course is the early 1980's when then Fed Chairman Paul Volker raised rates to a whopping 20% at the height of stagflation, and when gold had reached its prior all-time high of around $850 per ounce.

But in the chart below you can see that leading up to the that unprecedented interest rate hike, gold had been moving in relative lock-step with interest rates, and over the course of the 1970's, 90's, and 2000's, gold rose rather than fell when the central bank raised interest rates.

Gold prices vs. interest rates 1970 - 1980

Gold prices vs. interest rates 1995 - 2007

You can see with these comparisons that for the most part, higher interest rates equate to greater moves into gold, and in higher gold prices as savings mechanisms appeal far more to investors than speculative ones like stocks.
It is widely assumed that the gold price must decline when the Federal Reserve is hiking interest rates. An example is given by thisrecent article on Bloomberg, which informs us that SocGen believes “gold will be a casualty of Federal Reserve policy”. Never mind that the assumption that the Fed will now be able to simply embark on a “normal” rate hike cycle is in our opinion utterly absurd. It will only do that if the inflation genie unexpectedly gets out of the bottle, and is guaranteed to remain “behind the curve” if that happens (more on this further below). 
It seems logical enough: gold has no yield, so if competing investment assets such as bonds or savings deposits do offer a yield, gold will presumably be exchanged for those. There is only a slight problem with this idea. The simple assumption “Fed rate hikes equal a falling gold price” is not supported by even a shred of empirical evidence. On the contrary, all that is revealed by the empirical record in this context is that there seems to be absolutely no discernible correlation between gold and FF rate. If anything, gold and the FF rate exhibit a positive correlation rather more frequently than a negative one! 
So the gold price is falling when the Fed hikes rates? Not in the 10 years depicted above, when it did the exact opposite. It rose by 2,350% over the decade, and the vast bulk of the increase happened while the FF rate rose sharply. Gold did however plunge by almost 50% in a mid cycle correction from late 1974 to mid 1976 - while the FF rate actually went down. -
Taking all this historical data into account, we must also look at the fact that the Federal Reserve has signaled their intentions to raise rates two to four more times between now and the end of 2016, making the potential for gold to break out of its long-standing doldrums a very strong possibility.  And this can be validated in a recent interview over the weekend by Andrew Maguire who reported that after last week's rate hike, dealers were hit with massive buying in both London and Asia, so much so that a liquidity drain is occurring in all the major gold markets.
Andrew Maguire:  “Eric, now that we have the well-anticipated Fed rate hike out of the way I wanted once more to focus upon the unprecedented, game-changing liquidity drain out of London into Asia. This is evidenced by the increasingly illiquid LBMA fixes. I don’t see this discussed anywhere else and given the pace of this liquidity drain, this will become the catalyst for the inevitable forced cash reset in the highly leveraged unallocated London gold markets… 
Maguire continues:  “The global gold market structure has so radically altered that the physical markets have migrated and continue to migrate away from the LBMA conduit into Asia, leaving massive embedded naked-short mismatched lease obligations on the books of the central banks, which are largely shuffled onto the books of the agent bullion banks, the same insider bullion bank’s that are privileged to have gold accounts with the Bank of England. 
As liquidity drains away from London, fix painting — forcing gold down into the fix at the expense of the captive producers who are forced to sell at market — has become far too visible. Liquidity is draining because producers are increasingly able to access non-predatory alternative non-LBMA financing and selling conduits. The longstanding collusive game of paper market fix painting is unsustainable without an increasing amount of synthetic market supply to offset these liquidity outflows. This is simply no longer available in enough size to keep this game going for much longer. - King World News

No one knows for sure why the Fed has chosen to raise rates at a time when the economy as a whole is in a deflationary rather than inflationary period, but it appears likely that this is now being done to save the credibility of a central bank that has been jawboning recovery and a strong economy for more than four years.  And if the course has now been set for higher interest rates for the foreseeable future, how can you best protect your wealth and profit from the historical trend that forecasts a rise in gold prices?

You can do this with a company called Karatbars

Buying gold through Karatbars is one of the easiest things on the net.  In fact, the business model of Karatbars is to sell gold in affordable quantities, such as 1, 2.5, and 5 gram increments, and allow customers to get into the metal without having to shell out $1200+ for a single ounce coin.

And as added perks to signing up with Karatbars, as a customer or affiliate, Karatbars is working on a new e-wallet system that functions just like an offshore bank account, and is outside the authority of the banking system.  From there, you can take your fiat currency in any denomination... dollars, euros, yen, etc... and purchase physical gold which can either be delivered directly to you, or stored for free at one of Karatbar's vaults.

Additionally, any gold that you buy can easily be sold back to Karatbars, or any metals dealer, and if with Karatbars it is then exchanged for currency that is uploaded to you through a pre-loaded debit Mastercard which is connected directly to your e-wallet.  And as we know, MasterCard is recognized in nearly every country around the world, and usable in any currency that accepts it.

But perhaps the best feature with Karatbars is their affiliate program, where you can earn money off commissions from getting others to sign up and become a customer or affiliate.  Not only do you receive commissions from their purchasing of physical gold, but you also earn commissions from anyone who buys a commission package, with that money going directly into your debit MasterCard when you have enough units to cycle.

Imagine the ability to earn the money in which to buy your gold savings simply by purchasing a commission affiliate package one time, and then getting others to sign up and do the same thing.

How many businesses or entrepreneurs can build an infinite business with spending less than $400 of their own money?  And there is never a mandatory requirement to buy beyond what you desire, on your own schedule.  And there is nothing to lose, because you're using money (paper dollars) to buy gold (physical money) and in the end you don't lose a thing.

The global financial system, along with dozens of respected economists, are telling us that now is the time for the end of our current form of money, and the beginning of the transition into a new monetary system that is expected to be backed by gold.  And with banks, governments, and even Harvard professors mandating that central banks have no choice but to eliminate cash from usage by the people to stave off collapse, will you wait until it is too late to make a decision on how you will protect your wealth, and be able to function within the coming new monetary system?

To learn more about Karatbars, you can contact the individual who sent you this article, and click on their referral link to open a free account and begin buying, or building your own gold savings or business with the company of the future.

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Cyber attack warning: Banks beginning to delay payrolls and have extended electronic outages

On Sept. 16, a former head trader with the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) issued a new warning that a cyber attack on the banking system is a real and probably threat in light of the many recent electronic outages and delays in payroll processing.  Known under the pseudonyms V and the Guerrilla Economist, this high level insider has warned of  impending cyber attacks meant to mask liquidity and financial problems that threaten the entire banking system.

Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Moody's may downgrade Spanish bank ratings

Late yesterday, Moody's rating agency said that they might be downgrading more Spanish banks as their solvency in the Euro Zone falls.

Moody's on Monday placed eight Spanish banks and two holding companies on review for possible downgrades due to expectations of increased losses stemming from their commercial real estate exposure. The move was prompted by Moody's reassessment of all Spanish banks which indicated a projected decline in earnings generation capacity due to a weaker growth outlook for the Spanish economy. - Marketwatch

Frankly, isn't it about time they were all downgraded enmasse, since liquidity and solvency for the majority of them is a smoke and mirrors over-leaveraged sham.