The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Showing posts with label great recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label great recession. Show all posts

Friday, April 14, 2017

As consumers find themselves broke, a proposal to Congress would sacrifice social security for more money to spend

When 9/11 hit, the Bush administration saw that the terror event could have serious ramifications on the economy as people naturally would pull back on spending out of fear of further geo-political and domestic crises.  And in the wake of this the President not only went on the air encouraging people to spend using the guise of 'Don't let the terrorists win', but he also got Congress to approve a tax rebate to filter billions of dollars into consumer's pockets so they would prime the pump to keep spending.

Then following the 2008 Financial Crisis and subsequent Great Recession, that decade of spending that was additionally fueled by near zero interest rates and a housing bubble which gave homeowners a virtual 'equity checkbook' came to an abrupt halt as job losses, foreclosures, and the realization of massive consumer debt put the economy into its worst environment since the Great Depression.

So the Fed then embarked on a new program called Quantitative Easing where they pumped $10's of trillions of dollars onto Wall Street and the Federal Government to facilitate the creation of not just one asset bubble, but multiple ones in housing, stocks, student loans, automobile loans, and the bond market.  And this provided the illusion of recovery, but only sustainable as long as the increased printing of money did not reach the point of diminishing returns.

But alas, that happened during 2015 where it takes at least $4 new printed dollars to equal $1 new dollar in GDP growth.

As we reach the end of the first quarter of 2017, the data is signalling the tipping point of all of these bubbles, and an end to consumers being able to borrow and spend beyond their means.  Retailers are closing stores and filing for bankruptcies at accelerating rates, and earlier this month credit card debt for Americans crossed over $1 trillion for the first time since prior to the 2008 crash.

So with consumer and government spending making up 80-85% of the nation's GDP, what is left for Congress and/or the Fed to scheme up to keep the economy from 'officially' spinning back towards an ever greater recession than nine years ago?

One proposal suggested by a Congressional lobbyist to legislators would be to cut or eliminate the Social Security tax paid by workers and business owners in favor of getting that money into the pockets of consumers so they can keep the ponzi scheme going for a few more years.

Image result for fed bush economy titanic
President Trump and his Republican colleagues are in a precarious position at the moment. They need to find ways to trim costs, yet not at the expensive of expanding the federal deficit. One idea being floated around Washington by a GOP lobbyist, according to Fox News, is one that would see the payroll tax drastically cut or eliminated entirely. 
In 2015, Social Security generated $920.2 billion in revenue, and the payroll tax accounted for 86.4% of that revenue. The payroll tax, which also funds Medicare, is a 15.3% aggregate tax on earned income. Overall, 12.4% goes to fund Social Security, and 2.9% funds Medicare. However, most workers are only responsible for half of this amount, with their employers covering the remainder. Thus, your responsibility as a worker is often 7.65% of your earned income (6.2% to Social Security and 1.45% to Medicare). Only the self-employed wind up paying the full 15.3%. 
Even then, Social Security's payroll tax has added exemptions. Earned income is taxed between $0.01 and $127,200, as of 2017. Any additional income above and beyond $127,200 is free and clear of taxation, which is a big benefit to the wealthy.
Under the Republican proposal, the payroll tax for Social Security (the aforementioned 12.4% tax) would be eliminated, while the Medicare tax of 2.9% would remain in place. 
Why eliminate this absolutely critical source of funding? Removing the Social Security payroll tax would add $3,100 to the pockets of the average Americans household earning $50,000 a year. Republican lawmakers have long believed that putting money back into the pockets of Americans is the best way to stimulate our consumption-driven economy. - Madison
With the government already borrowing over $1 trillion in deficit spending each year to simply make ends meet, the concept of borrowing the additional difference to cover Social Security payments should the tax be cut or removed from workers is not only in of the realm of possibiities, but has already been done back in the 1990's when President Bill Clinton replaced the $3 trillion cash surplus that was in the Social Security trust fund with U.S. Treasuries (debt) so they could spend the money elsewhere on the way to building the first great bubble, that of the Dot Com variety.

Saturday, June 4, 2016

June Fed rate hike chances crushed as new jobs collapse and uncounted non-workers soar

Over the past few weeks we have spoken alot on the Fed’s use of public announcements by its cadre of regional Fed Presidents to try to sway markets into believing that the central bank was sure to hike interest rates in either June or July.  And of course, inside most of this rhetoric is the single key component that is normally ignored by the computer algorithms that make up 75% of all trades, and that being the concept of data dependency.
Well in June 3, data dependency just went bye bye.
May’s non-farm payroll report just came out a couple hours ago, and it sent a shock through the entire financial system.  That is because the report printed a jobs number of just 38,000 new hires, which is the lowest single month since the height of the Great Recession back in 2010.
Read more on this article here...

Friday, June 3, 2016

Gold jumps $30 while dollar drops 100 bps as jobs report kills any chance of June rate hike

So much for the Fed sending out President after President last month to jawbone the central bank assuredly raising interest rates this month.  That is because on June 3 the newest jobs report came out, and it was perhaps the biggest blow to the long-standing meme that the economy was in total recovery.

In fact, the economy only created 38,000 jobs, which is the lowest number since September of 2010, and the smallest print since the height of the Great Recession.  But perhaps what is most chilling in all of this is that the report noted that 548,000 Americans simply vanished from the labor force, meaning they not only are out of work, but are also no longer counted by the government.

The worst jobs data since September 2010 has thrown ice cold water on The Fed's decision-making process and thrown a spanner in the market's narrative that everything is awesome. June rate hike odds crashed to 2% and July rate-hike odds plunged from 48% to 36%. The reaction to this sudden revelation of reality is striking as stocks plunge, gold soars, the US Dollar dumps and bond yields spike lower... - Zerohedge
In the meantime gold popped up $30 from the release of the jobs numbers and the dollar collapsed more than 100 bps now that the expectation of a rate hike for June has gone through the floor.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

It is getting well past the time to protect your retirement with gold as one of America's largest pension funds to cut benefits

In the aftermath of the 2008 credit crisis and subsequent fall of the stock markets by over 60%, many retirees who had their money in mutual funds, 401K's, and IRA's lost most of their wealth as we headed full on into what would become known as the Great Recession.  And while the Federal Reserve worked extremely hard at propping the equity markets back up to reach new all-time highs over the past seven years, the fragility of America's retirement system grew even greater as the debt bubble underlying it has now reached crisis proportions.

Which brings us to a new tribulation on April 20, and one that will become a domino effect for the majority of pensions across the country as one of the largest pension funds in America announced they are cutting benefits for hundreds of thousands of workers and retirees.


The Central States Pension Fund is currently paying out $3.46 in pension benefits for every $1 it receives from employers, which has resulted in the fund paying out $2 billion more in benefits than it receives in employer contributions each year. 
As a result, Thomas Nyhan, executive director of the Central States Pension Fund said that the fund could become insolvent by 2025 if nothing is done. The fund currently pays out $2.8 billion a year in benefits according to Nyhan, and if the plan becomes insolvent it would overwhelm the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (designed by the government to absorb insolvent plans and continue paying benefits), who at the end of fiscal 2015 only had $1.9 billion in total assets itself. Incidentally as we also pointed out last month, the PBGC projects that they will also be insolvent by 2025 - it appears there is something very foreboding about that particular year. 
As the Washington Post writes: 
Ava Miller, 64, and her husband, Ed Northrup, 68, could see their combined monthly pension income cut to about $3,000 from the nearly $7,000 they receive now, according to a letter they received from Central States in October.  
If the cuts go through, Miller, who worked as a dispatcher in Flint, Mich., said they will need to dip into their savings to help cover their $1,300 mortgage payment, heating bills and trips to visit her 84-year old mother. 
Northrup, a retired car hauler, has started applying for truck driving jobs that could supplement their potentially smaller pension payments.  
What makes the cuts more painful, Miller said, is that she took pay cuts so that the company could continue making contributions to the pension. "I did everything I was supposed to," Miller said, adding that she and her husband made extra payments on their car loan to cut down on their monthly bills after they received letters in October informing them of the potential cuts. - Zerohedge
There is little the Fed, Congress, or state and local governments can do to resolve the growing problem of underfunded pension systems, and unless individuals take control of their retirement programs, the results will be catastrophic for the tens of millions of Americans about to retire from the Baby Boomer generation.  But there is still a way to protect yourself, your retirement, and your wealth, but time if growing short, and the one asset that can save you is very quickly moving into a position of unaffordability...

Gold.

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Corporations defaulting on debt at levels not seen since the Great Recession

By now every real investor knows that stock markets are rigged not on fundamentals and technicals, but on Federal Reserve and ESF interventions.  And no greater example of this can be evidenced when Goldman Sachs, who reported a decline of 55% in last quarter earnings, saw their stock go up during today’s trading.
But underlying it all is a growing plague of debt and margin calls, and since the beginning of the year, 46 corporations have defaulted on their debt, which is the highest level seen since 2009, and the beginning of the Great Recession.
Read more on this article here...

Saturday, March 12, 2016

Economic recovery? Credit card debt for Americans nearly to $1 trillion

Wall Street pundits love to use the hyperbole of lower oil and gasoline prices to sell the idea that consumers now have much more discretionary cash to spend in the economy.  But a new report out on March 11 shows that not only is this a complete fallacy, but that Americans are so broke they are having to use credit card debt just to make ends meet each month.

And that debt is now reaching nearly $1 trillion, and putting Americans in the same insolvent positions they found themselves at during the 2007 Housing Bubble crash, and subsequent Great Recession two years later.


A new study from CardHub.com says credit card debt in the US has jumped by about $71 billion to $917.7 billion in 2015. The average American household with credit card debt now owes $7,879, which is the highest figure since the 2008 financial crisis.
CardHub.com says $7,879 is just $500 from an “unsustainable tipping point”, when the risk of mass defaults rises dramatically. 
The $71 billion debt ballooning last year is 24 percent higher than in 2014. The fourth quarter of 2015 alone saw credit card debt load surge to $52.4 billion. In the entire 2014 total credit card debt amounted to $57.4 billion. 
"With seven of the past 10 quarters reflecting year-over-year regression in consumer performance, evidence is mounting to support the notion that credit card users are reverting to pre-downturn bad habits," said CardHub.com CEO Odysseas Papadimitriou in a statement. “All of this has us wondering: Is 2016 the next 2008 for credit markets?” the statement added. 
According to the Fiscal Times estimates, if credit card debt in the US continues to grow at the current pace, American consumers would have to pay down their debts at a record rate to prevent escalated defaults and tightened credit availability. - Russia Today

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Goldman Sachs fined only $5.1 billion for causing 2008 financial crisis

It pays to know the right people when it comes to most things in life, and this axiom cannot be said any better for the financial institution known as Goldman Sachs.  Seven years ago, the bank that feeds executives into the highest levels of government and central banks should have gone bankrupt and disappeared like Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers.  But thanks to one of their own being in the position of U.S. Treasury Secretary, not only was the financial institution bailed out with taxpayer money, they also were the only bank to receive 100 cents on the dollar for their toxic assets tied with insurer AIG.
And now in 2016, regulators within the government have finally decided to make Goldman pay for their involvement in nearly bringing down the entire global financial system by quietly giving them a slap on the wrist, and imposing a meager $5.1 billion fine for their actions.

Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

China creating nearly three times more small businesses per year than the U.S.

Following the 2008 Credit Crisis, banking policies changed as lending to and for small businesses became a risk that these institutions decided was far too costly when they could simply borrow from the Fed, and arbitrage profits from the buying of Treasury Bonds.  And because their primary lending became directed more towards the investment side of their businesses, and to major corporations, small businesses that make up the bulk of America’s job market began to decline in record numbers.
But even as the U.S. was allowing its own general economy to collapse in favor of funding corporate stock buybacks, across the Pacific over in China, their expansion of small businesses began to take shape, and over the past seven years has seen the Far Eastern economy not only move to the top spot in global business expansion, but is now creating nearly three times as many new businesses per year than the U.S. is.

Read more on this article here...