The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Showing posts with label dow. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dow. Show all posts

Saturday, December 10, 2016

30 years later the Dow is at the same ratio to debt as it was in late 1987

Following the 1987 stock market crash, the Federal Reserve began a new course of monetary policy in which they would use a combination of debt and manipulated interest rates... not to protect the bond markets or inflation, but to boost up the stock markets.  And in the just over 29 years since this policy started under Alan Greenspan, an interesting parallel has occurred.

The ratio of the national debt is virtually the same as the increase in the Dow Jones average.

National Debt

Dow

In 1987 the United States ended the year with a national debt of $2.35 trillion, and the Dow ended the year at 1927.31.  However, before the Oct. 19 crash it was at 2246.73, or a ratio of 1:.956 Debt to Dow.  This ratio of nearly 1:1 is significant because it is the starting point for a trend where the Dow would begin to rise either in tandem, or in the same multiples as the debt.

When Bill Clinton took office in January of 1993, the debt was at $4.064 trillion and the Dow was at 3301.  And the increase of debt from 1987 to 1993 was virtually the exact same increase the Dow experienced (42% vs. 41.6%) during the same period.

Most mainstream pundits and economic analysts love to tout how Bill Clinton 'balanced the budget' and added few deficits that led to increases in the national debt.  But what they willingly or unwillingly fail to mention is how the Clinton administration raided the Social Security Trust of over $3 trillion and replaced the cash with Treasuries (debt).  And instead of borrowing the money from the Federal Reserve, which would have officially been added to the National debt number, he instead robbed Peter to pay Paul, and his total increase to the debt was over $4.6 trillion to finish out his term with the real debt between $8.6 and $9 trillion.

But there was a caveat that needs to be added to this era as it was also a time when Alan Greenspan lowered interest rates from 7.25% in late 1987 to a low of 3.25% when Clinton took office in 1993.  And because of this near doubling of overall debt coupled with the halving of interest rates, the Dow subsequently more than tripled during this era known as the Dot Com Boom.

Real debt increase from Jan. 1992 to Dec. 31 1999: 120%.  Dow increase from Jan. 1992 to Dec. 31 1999: 348%.  Interest rates halved from 7.25 to 3.25%.

Over the course of the fiscally irresponsible years from 2000 to 2016, where the national debt doubled first under George W. Bush to $9.5 trillion and again under Barack Obama to its current level of $19.8 trillion, the stock markets climbed nearly in tandem to the rise in debt outside the stock market crash and declines of 2008-2009.  And most astonishing is that as of Dec. 9, 2016, the ratio of Debt to the Dow is back where it began nearly 30 years ago at a virtual 1:1 equivalent.

Dec. 9:  Dow close:


Dec. 9: National Debt


$19.87 trillion to 19,756     Ratio 1:.994

Coincidence?  Now imagine what the stock markets would look like if the government had not borrowed so much money... or if they decide to finally shut off the spigot... or the spigot is shut off for them.

Are you willing to put your retirement trust in the hands of entities that will not grow or survive without more and more borrowed debt?

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Gold soars and stocks fall as markets now forecasting a Trump victory

For the first time since the early October beat down of gold, the precious metal crossed over $1300 per ounce as revelations from the FBI on re-opening the cast against Hillary Clinton has pushed the markets into believing that Donald Trump has a strong shot at becoming the next President of the United States.

In Monday's trading, gold rose over $10 and stocks fell to the point that the 18,000 level was breached on the Dow for the first time since August.  And in the pre-market today that trend is continuing as gold is up another $10 while stock futures are down another 39 points.

LA Times
In a study released last week the GFMS team at Thomson Reuters concluded that while a Clinton win would not have a dramatic impact on the gold price, a Trump triumph will put pressure on financial markets and the dollar, prompting investors to seek the relative safety of gold: 
According to GFMS a Trump victory could spark a rally to $1,400 and maybe even $1,500 in our view while a win for Clinton would likely see prices ebb lower. - Mining.com
Live New York Gold Chart [Kitco Inc.]

World stocks, the dollar and oil fell on Wednesday, while safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc rose as investors were rattled by signs the U.S. presidential race was tightening just days before the vote.
Investors were beginning to rethink their long-held bets of a November 8 victory for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton amid signs her Republican rival Donald Trump could be closing the gap, deepening the recent decline across major stock markets. - NBC News

Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Gold prices cheap in relation to stocks (Dow) and oil

In the financial world, technicals can sometimes carry far more weight than fundamentals do.  Ie... stocks right now on the S&P and Dow indices remain close to their all-time highs despite the fact that Wall Street just had one of its worst earnings seasons since the Great Recession.  Thus investors have been trading primarily on technical analysis and Fed intervention, and have thrown out nearly all fundamental data as irrelevant.

With this in mind we will look at two interesting technical charts that compare stocks on the dow, as well as oil prices in relation to gold.

Gold versus the Dow:
This 50-year chart of the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial index from Macrotrends suggests otherwise. The graph tracks how many ounces of gold it would take to buy the Dow over any given month going back to 1966. 
In January of 1980 when gold in inflation-adjusted terms hit an all-time high of roughly $2,400 an ounce the ratio was 1.3 ounces and during the Great Depression it took 1.9 ounces to cover the Dow. 
That compares to highs around 40 between mid-1999 and mid-2001 when gold reached lows of $250 an ounce. 
When the nominal price of gold hit a record high above $1,900 in August 2011 the ratio was 6.4, but has now more than doubled to just under 15. 
That means despite the exceptional start to 2016 gold is still cheaper than it was for the 24 years between May 1972 and September 1996 and on a relative basis it's the cheapest since December 2007. - Mining.com
50 years of gold price vs Dow shows metal still a bargain

Gold versus oil:
The Golden Constant: The English and American Experience 1560-2007. In that work, Jastram finds that gold maintains its purchasing power over long periods of time, with the prices of other commodities adapting to the price of gold. 
Taking the broad lead from Jastram, my colleague, David Ranson, produced a study in April 2015 in which he used the price of gold as a long-term benchmark for the price of oil. The idea being that, if the price of oil changes dramatically, the oil-gold price ratio will change and move away from its long-term value. Forces will then be set in motion to move supply and demand so that the price of oil changes and the long-term oil-gold price ratio is reestablished. This is nothing more than a reversion to the mean. 
We begin our analysis of the current situation by calculating the oil-gold price ratios for each month. For example, as of May 24th, oil was trading at $49.24/bbl and gold was at $1231.10/oz. So, the oil-gold price ratio was 0.040. In June 2014, oil was at $107.26/bbl and gold was at $1314.82/oz, yielding an oil-gold price ratio of 0.082. The ratios for two separate periods are represented in the accompanying histogram - one starting in 1946 and another in 1973 (the post-Bretton Woods period). - Zerohedge
Two interesting technical ratios to watch in the market which can be signals as to which direction gold prices will eventually go.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Average Americans still haven’t returned to the stock market after 2008 collapse

When the stock market crashed in 1929, it took until the 1950’s for the Dow Jones to return to its former all-time high of 24 years earlier.  And it also took until the post-war and post-Depression decade before the average American felt secure enough in the equity markets to begin investing on Wall Street.
Over the past 60 years, both the Federal government, and the brokerage houses made it easier for everyday people to play in the stock markets, until the 2008 crash changed all that when equities declined by over 55%.
Yet unlike the 1987 crash, and the bursting of the Dotcom bubble in 2000, this crash appears to be long lasting as a new gallup poll out shows that only 52% of U.S. adults have ever invested in the markets, and that is the lowest percentage in more than two decades.
InvestInStocks1
Read more on this article here...

Sunday, January 10, 2016

It’s hard to spin the worst market week ever to begin a new year

Perhaps it was an omen that 2015 ended without a Santa Claus rally, and the final two days of trading were both in the red for most markets, but not many could have predicted that 2016 would start out with not only a continuation of the prior week’s trend, but end the week with a historic event for U.S. markets.
The worst week ever to begin a new year.
Not even in the Depression years of 1930 - 33 did the stock markets have a worse beginning to a new year, where on every single day at least 2 or 3 primary markets closed in the red.  And following the October crash of 2008, and the subsequent Great Recession that saw stock markets fall from 11,600 down to 6,600 at their trough, did either 2009 or 2010 begin worse than what took place this past week.

Read more on this article here...

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Fed publishes drastic fall in GDP forecasts, setting the stage for less than 2% growth for 2015

Recovery!  The mantra of the Federal Reserve and mainstream pundits parroting the party line.  But it appears that like poll numbers given prior to Presidential elections, when all the votes are counted, what was forecast for months leading up to the end of a cycle was much different than the actual outcome.
For most of 2015 the Fed and big bank analysts predicted an annual GDP growth rate between 2.5 - 3%.  But a new report published on Jan. 4 by the Atlanta Fed shows that not only is GDP growth looking to be below 2% for last year, but it will be as much as six bps below the dreadful number that ended 2014.

Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Fed publishes drastic fall in GDP forecasts, setting the stage for less than 2% growth for 2015

Recovery!  The mantra of the Federal Reserve and mainstream pundits parroting the party line.  But it appears that like poll numbers given prior to Presidential elections, when all the votes are counted, what was forecast for months leading up to the end of a cycle was much different than the actual outcome.
For most of 2015 the Fed and big bank analysts predicted an annual GDP growth rate between 2.5 - 3%.  But a new report published on Jan. 4 by the Atlanta Fed shows that not only is GDP growth looking to be below 2% for last year, but it will be as much as six bps below the dreadful number that ended 2014.

Read more on this article here...

Monday, January 4, 2016

Got Karatbars? WAR! What is it good for... absolutely everything especially gold

While many people were sleeping off their New Year's Eve revelries, the world became a little bit less secure not only internationally, but in the U.S. as well.  Beginning in the Middle East, where Saudi Arabia and Iran cut off diplomatic ties thanks to the Royal family issuing execution orders for 47 people, including an outspoken Shiite cleric, Iranian protesters burned down the Saudi embassy in Tehran.
Iranian protesters ransacked and set fire to the Saudi Embassy in Tehran on Saturday after Saudi Arabia executed an outspoken Shiite cleric who had criticized the kingdom’s treatment of its Shiite minority. 
The cleric, Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr, was among 47 men executed in Saudi Arabia on terrorism-related charges, drawing condemnation from Iran and its allies in the region, and sparking fears that sectarian tensions could rise across the Middle East. 
The executions coincided with increased attacks in Saudi Arabia by the jihadists of the Islamic State and an escalating rivalry between the Sunni monarchy and Shiite Iran that is playing out in conflicts in Syria, Yemen and elsewhere. Sheikh Nimr was an outspoken critic of the Saudi monarchy and was adopted as a symbolic leader by Shiite protesters in several Persian Gulf countries during the Arab Spring uprisings. - New York Times
Assuredly, these events will domino and escalate tensions all over the Middle East as seen this morning where Bahrain, Sudan, and the UAE also cut diplomatic ties with Iran, and are setting the stage for a new all-out war between Sunni and Shiite Muslims that is on top of the ongoing battle many are already waging against ISIS terrorists.

But escalations in the Middle East were not the only radical events taking place over the weekend.  In the United States, a splinter militia group headed by a brother of Bundy Ranch victim Cliven Bundy, launched an armed campaign in a Federal wildlife refuge up in Oregon, and forcefully took over a Federal building with the hope that other liberty and militia groups would join in on their crusade or worse, revolution.
Oath Keepers including founder Stewart Rhodes was the only organization to predict how Ammon Bundy's vague calls for action on the part of the Hammond Family would actually play out.  They received a lot of ignorant attacks in response, and yet, they were absolutely right. 
Ammon, apparently trying to recreate what cannot be recreated, is looking for another Bundy Ranch stand-off.  First, I would point out that such events can't be artificially fabricated.  They have to happen in an organic way.  Whenever a group of people attempt to engineer a revolutionary moment, even if their underlying motivations are righteous, it usually ends up kicking them in the ass (Fort Sumter is a good example).  Ammon's wingmen appear to be Blaine Cooper aka Stanley Blaine Hicks (a convicted felon), and Ryan Payne (who claimed falsely during the Bundy Ranch standoff that he was an Army Ranger and who worked diligently to cause divisions between involved parties on the ground).  This was the first sign that nothing good was going to come from the Hammond protest. 
I have watched extensive video from the event in Oregon and am privy to accounts from participants.  From the information at my disposal, it would appear that Ammon and team did NOT make clear their intentions to occupy the federal wildlife refuge building except to a select few, inviting protesters to "take a hard stand" without revealing what this would entail until they were already in the middle of it all.  OPSEC?  No, I think not.  Obviously the goal was to lure as many protesters to Oregon as possible to the event in the hopes that they would jump on board with the stand-off plan once they were more personally involved.  Numerous protesters were rightly enraged once they discovered the ultimate motives behind the event. - Alt-Market.com

The bottom line is that the people of every race, religion, and sects are becoming angry and are now willing to engage in radical actions to let their voices be known.  From the rise of outsider Donald Trump to the lead in this year's Presidential campaign, to a refugee crisis in Europe that has caused gun restricted countries like Switzerland, Austria, and even Germany to call for everyone to arm themselves, the frequency of society is rushing headlong into change, and by all accounts, that change will be a violent and deadly one.

Perhaps just like it was for Europe, the Middle East (Ottoman Empire), and the U.S. 100 years ago.

Over the weekend, well known gold analyst Jim Sinclair penned an essay where he stepped far outside the bounds of his normal analysis and surprisingly spoke on the immediate need for people to become prepared... not just with gold and silver, but with every type of disaster preparedness needed to cover any form of emergency or crisis.  And judging by the reaction of markets on Monday, even Wall Street is feeling the effects of change in the air.

Shanghai Composite Chart


Dow Chart


Gold Spot Prices

Economic, financial, geo-political, and domestic events are all in play, and accelerating towards a nexus where no one can predict what their outcomes may be.  And the most important thing for you to do is to prepare yourself for whatever change is coming, and to be able to function where monetary systems may not be as readily available as they are today.

And you can do this with a company called Karatbars



Buying gold through Karatbars is one of the easiest things on the net.  In fact, the business model of Karatbars is to sell gold in affordable quantities, such as 1, 2.5, and 5 gram increments, and allow customers to get into the metal without having to shell out $1200+ for a single ounce coin.

And as added perks to signing up with Karatbars, as a customer or affiliate, Karatbars is working on a new e-wallet system that functions just like an offshore bank account, and is outside the authority of the banking system.  From there, you can take your fiat currency in any denomination... dollars, euros, yen, etc... and purchase physical gold which can either be delivered directly to you, or stored for free at one of Karatbar's vaults.

Additionally, any gold that you buy can easily be sold back to Karatbars, or any metals dealer, and if with Karatbars it is then exchanged for currency that is uploaded to you through a pre-loaded debit Mastercard which is connected directly to your e-wallet.  And as we know, MasterCard is recognized in nearly every country around the world, and usable in any currency that accepts it.

But perhaps the best feature with Karatbars is their affiliate program, where you can earn money off commissions from getting others to sign up and become a customer or affiliate.  Not only do you receive commissions from their purchasing of physical gold, but you also earn commissions from anyone who buys a commission package, with that money going directly into your debit MasterCard when you have enough units to cycle.

Imagine the ability to earn the money in which to buy your gold savings simply by purchasing a commission affiliate package one time, and then getting others to sign up and do the same thing.

How many businesses or entrepreneurs can build an infinite business with spending less than $400 of their own money?  And there is never a mandatory requirement to buy beyond what you desire, on your own schedule.  And there is nothing to lose, because you're using money (paper dollars) to buy gold (physical money) and in the end you don't lose a thing.


The global financial system, along with dozens of respected economists, are telling us that now is the time for the end of our current form of money, and the beginning of the transition into a new monetary system that is expected to be backed by gold.  And with banks, governments, and even Harvard professors mandating that central banks have no choice but to eliminate cash from usage by the people to stave off collapse, will you wait until it is too late to make a decision on how you will protect your wealth, and be able to function within the coming new monetary system?

To learn more about Karatbars, you can contact the individual who sent you this article, and click on their referral link to open a free account and begin buying, or building your own gold savings or business with the company of the future.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Dow hits first true Death Cross since 2011

There are two technical terms for when the 50 day moving average (50DMA) and 200 DMA cross paths.  When the 50 day indicator is rising, and crosses over the 200 DMA it is known as a Golden Cross, and is considered a very bullish indicator.  But when the 50 DMA has a downward path, and crosses below the 200 DMA it is known as a Death Cross and represents a bearish indicator for any given market, industry, stock, or asset.
With the Dow falling more than 200 points on the NYSE on Aug. 11, the indicie has now experienced a Death Cross, and one that has not been fully seen since 2011 when the stock market recovery began thanks to the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing.

Read more on this article here...

Monday, August 10, 2015

Welcome to 2008: Dow drops more than 1000 points from its all-time highs

Early this morning, the Dow reached an interesting number as the market has now fallen over 1000 points from its all-time highs reached in May of this year.  And while this decline represents only a 5% drop in the market over the past three months, it is eerily similar to what took place just eight years ago when a 1000 point drop from the previous all-time high led to a stock market crash the very next year, and ushered in a liquidity and credit crisis that we have yet to fully recover from.
From 18,351.36 on May 19th, The Dow (cash) is now at 17,345… -Zerohedge

Graph courtesy of Zeorhedge

Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

2008 Redux? S&P; falls below 1900 with Dow losing nearly 1000 in last 30 days

While a decline of 1000 points in a market that recently resided at new all-time highs is not a complete cause for alarm, when coupled with massive declines in Europe, Japan, and a wave of global deflation fears, we suddenly find that the table is set for a repeat of the great stock market crash of 2008.
As trading forges towards a close on Oct. 13, the Dow has now lost more than 800 points since Sept. 23, and the S&P has now fallen below 1900 for the first time since early August.  In both Europe and Japan too, levels on their stock markets have been in steady decline, with the Nikkei unable to hold key technical support at 15000 despite Bank of Japan intervention just last night.
Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Stock market euphoria: Dow crosses 16000 and S&P; goes over 1800

Quantitative Easing has reached its 2013 goals with more than a month to spare.  On Nov. 18, the Dow crossed over 16000 for the very first time, and the S&P 500 achieved 1800 as each exchange set new intraday records for stock prices.

The only numbers that matter today are 16000, 4000 and 1800: those are the Fed’s closing targets for the Dow Jones, the Nasdaq and the S&P. Following last night’s Chinese euphoria which saw the Shanghai Composite surge by 2.87%, or up 61.4 to just under 2,200 on renewed hopes for Chinese reform by 2020, the Fed’s price targets should all be quite easily achievable. - Zerohedge


Read more on this article here...

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

How now down dow

Forward.  That is the new motto of the Obama administration.  Of course, forward slogans were the key rallying cry for Mao and other communist leaders, so the progressives in America appear more than happy to borrow it for their vision of the country.

However, it appears forward is not the rallying cry of the stock markets post-Obama re-election, as the Dow, S&P, and AAPL cry out in terror after breaking key levels.


DOW


S&P 500


2 Month Apple Chart

It seems like only last night everyone was celebrating more hope, if not much change. Now comes the hangover. The Dow Jones intraday drop is now 2.23% (and rising), greater than the biggest drop so far in 2012 record on June 1. The last time the market plunged as much: literally one year ago, or November 9, 2011. Sadly, it appears that one can't have their Dow Jones Industrial Average and redistribute it too. - Zerohedge

Forward!  To infinity and Beyond! That appears to be the no-win mantra of Fed Charman Bernanke and the hope and change of those who still own paper in the Wall Street casino.

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

It is Halloween yet for Wall Street? Paranormal occurrances in stock markets do exist!

In one of the strangest and illogical occurrances taking place on Wall Street over the past few days, massive selling in Mutual Fund holdings has been countered by an INCREASE of the Dow by more than 250 points.

How is this possible?  Mutual Funds arent selling stocks, even though the equity markets are bracing for a huge bear market fall.

Because these same mutual funds, despite having record low cash holdings, continue to refuse to sell their stock holdings and replenish cash. The only reason we can attribute to this is that slow money managers keep hoping Bernanke will pull something out of his sleeve and create another Hail Mary market rush into year end, saving quite a few P&Ls, not to mention careers. Alas, with stocks where they are it is increasingly looking like Operation Twist may be the only thing they will get for 2011 - Bernanke needs the S&P in triple digits to have a strong case for a $1-2 trillion LSAP. As such funds find themselves in no man's land, where they will be redeemed at the end of the year unless stocks soar for whatever reason, but will refuse to sell before they absolutely have to, which will be end of December, or whenever the Nash equilibrium fails. - Zerohedge
Maybe... we now have a strong reason for the massive selling taking place in gold and silver.  Dump the profitable stocks to accumulate cash as a buffer to stave off mutual fund holders until Uncle Ben swoops in with QE infinity.

CNBC rumor mill - October 5th

And for the second day in a row, the DOW jumps over 100 points in the last hour on.... wait for it...

anothter rumer at the House of Fed, better known as CNBC.

  • GASPARINO SAYS MS CEO TELLING INVESTORS EVERYTHING IS 'OK'
  • GASPARINO SAYS MS CEO TELLING EXECS 3Q RESULTS TO BEAT GOLDMAN
  • FOX'S GASPARINO SAYS MORGAN STANLEY CEO SAYING 3Q LOOKS 'SOLID'  - Zerohedge
Does anyone not find it strange that two banks would 'drop' info on their quarterly earnings well before earnings season is to begin?

Obviously not in the Bizzaro world of CNBC, where fundamentals and technicals have no place in the markets of HFT and RUMORS.

Buy on rumor, sell on rumor... truth is for God to worry about.

Friday, September 23, 2011

Caption Contest - September 23rd

In lieu of yesterdays nearly 400 point drop on the dow, we felt it applicable to bring back that wonderful 'hope and change' construct known as the Titanic to demonstrate the difference between Wall Street analysts, investors, and those who actually see reality.

Give us your best caption.  The picture is courtesy of partyusa.com