The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Showing posts with label data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label data. Show all posts

Friday, August 5, 2016

Markets soar to new all-time highs as they realize the Fed will never raise rates on completely manipulated good news

The monthly job report came out for July today, and the massive higher than expected number is sending markets soaring to new all-time highs.  In fact, for the first time in 16 years the Nasdaq has equaled its previous all-time high and could close with a new record.

But underlying all of this is a fantastic dichotomy in fiscal and monetary policies that Wall Street has finally caught on to...  and that is, the government will continue to report bogus manipulated better than expected data, and the Fed will simply ignore it and keep going forward with zero interest rates.


This of course is the signal for speculation to now go all out in equities.
One week ago, the BEA admitted that it had "found a problem" when it comes to calculating GDP numbers. Specifically it blamed "residual seasonality" adjustments for giving historical GDP numbers a persistent optimistic bias. This came in the aftermath of last week's shocking Q2 GDP report which printed at 1.2%, less than half of Wall Street's consensus. 
Today, seasonality made another appearance, this time however in the much anticipated July number, which unlike the woeful Q2 GDP number, was the opposite, coming in far higher than expected. In fact it was higher than the top Wall Street estimate. 
As Mitsubishi UFJ strategist John Herrmann wrote in a note shortly after the report, the "jobs headline overstates" strength of payrolls. He adds that the unadjusted data show a “middling report” that’s “nowhere as strong as the headline" and adds that private payrolls unadjusted +85k in July vs seasonally adjusted +217k. 
We leave it up to readers to decide just why the government may want to represent what would otherwise have been a far weaker than expected report, into a blowout number, one which merely adds to the economic "recovery" narrative, which incidentally will come in very useful to Hillary's presidential campaign. 
Yet even assuming the market has no doubts about the seasonally adjusted headline number, as appears to be the case, the other problem that has emerged for the Fed is how to ignore this strong number. As Bank of Tokyo's Chris Rupkey writes, “Let’s see Yellen get out of this one and find something in the data to once again not raise rates in September.” (We assume he did not see the unadujsted numbers.) 
As he adds, slowing 2Q GDP growth of 1.2% took Sept. rate hike “off the table” and now “the million dollar question” is whether 255k payroll jobs in July, 292k in June put it back on.  As a reminder, Yellen speaks exactly in three weeks time at Jackson Hole on Aug. 26; “let’s see if she provides some guidance." But while rate hike odds may have spiked after today's report, it is almost certain that, as we said last night, the Fed will not dare to hike the rate in September and potentially unleash market turmoil in the most sensitive part of the presidential race. 
As for a December rate hike, there are 4 months until then, and much can happen: who knows, maybe the BLS will even undo the significant seasonal adjustment boost that send July jobs soaring. - Zerohedge


Just remember, there are no markets anymore, only interventions, and for investors the axiom that was created in 2010 is still applicable today...

Don't fight the Fed. 

Saturday, February 27, 2016

Brazil ready to become first country to create new communications network bypassing the U.S.

Edward Snowden and Julian Assange are not just whistleblowers in the global war to protect data and information, they are catalysts which are forcing many nations to look at the United States differently as the undisputed nexus for communication command and control.  And no longer is Washington considered a benefactor to global security as they were seen as during the tumultuous Cold War years, but instead with the revelations that the U.S. is data mining everyone’s global communications, including those of world leaders, the rush to isolate America and find new ways of direct data transit between nations is underway.
On Feb. 25, Brazil announced a new $250 million project to install communication lines directly to Europe which would bypass the U.S. and the world’s primary information super highway, and instead create their own channel that would act as a firewall against NSA and other agency spying mechanisms.
Read more on this article here...

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Technocrats vote to allow your financial data shared with all nations

The current structure of the European Union is run not by elected sovereign leaders, but by intellectuals, elites, and bankers otherwise known as ‘Technocrats’.  The technocrat is likened to the Head of DHS, or the EPA, where heads of state appoint un-elected officials to offices and give them vast power of persons, property, and policy.

So when a group of 34 of these technocrats came together recently to discuss how to make all personal and public data transparent, they voted overwhelmingly to allow your individual financial records be open and available to all nations and databases around the world.


Read more on this article here...

Friday, August 2, 2013

How to become wealthier at the press of a button

Like prior Presidential administrations, growing pressure on Barack Obama forced the Commander in Chief to change the data modeling of how GDP was determined, and to make it look like the economy was improving well above its actual levels.  In fact, the data stream that was changed in the GDP model was...

How much money you (American people) make as income!

Because of these new changes to the GDP formula, and not the actual real jobs and production data, America suddenly became $300 billion richer, and accordingly, the stock markets responded by reaching new all-time highs.



We are delighted to advise Americans everywhere that you are all now making some $300 billion more than you were before the 8:30 AM revision. At least that's what the Bureau of Economic Analysis says: according to the quarterly revision, the revized annualized Disposable Personal Income is really some $300 billion higher compared to the pre-revision number. You are all richer!

What's that? You don't feel a dollar richer compared to this morning? That's irrelevant: everyone is now making about 2.4% more. A revised number in an Excel spreadsheet on a government computer said so, so it must be true. - Zerohedge

America!  Time to go out and feel richer even if you aren't actually richer.  Your government has printed you more income, out of thin air!

As a reality check however, the REAL reason the government made these formula changes was so that THEY could borrow more money, and artificially lower the debt to GDP ratio that was nearing an all-time record of 110%.