The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Showing posts with label consumer spending. Show all posts
Showing posts with label consumer spending. Show all posts

Friday, May 27, 2016

Switzerland just weeks away from a vote to bring about the ultimate in state welfare

Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders loves to push nations like Sweden and Denmark as being the ideal models of socialist economies.  Of course, he refuses to acknowledge places like Venezuela, which are now in the final bloody days of their own Socialist experiment.
And while a modicum of safety net benefits are necessary for any society to protect those who either cannot work, or are in transition between jobs and other hardships, the question has always been how much a government can spend on such programs before they affect both economic growth, and fiscal policies.
The nation of Switzerland however, could potentially become the ultimate pendulum swing as they are now just a few weeks away from a referendum which would create a system that would provide every man, woman, and child free money, whether they are employed or not, or whether they actually need it or not.
Helicopter-Draghi
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Mainstream wonders why consumers aren’t spending because they don’t actually look at the data

Many Americans by now know that the mainstream media is little more than a propaganda tool of the banks and government, and they rarely if ever report on actual data that could deter from their agenda of ensuring the public believes everything is fine.  This has been true in many facets, whether it is the whitewashing of the actual unemployment rate, or by having the President go on air and call anyone who doesn’t believe in a strong economy as being delusional.
Yet the economy in America today rests upon too shaky pillars of both consumer and government spending.  And despite the media’s continuous attempts to say buy stocks because the consumer is doing fine, the newest CPI report out on May 17 shatters this rhetoric by showing a rise in prices of over .3% in just the last month, and the highest move since 2013.

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Thursday, May 12, 2016

Keynsian shill blames the American people not spending as the reason behind slow economy

Forget the fact that inflation, higher costs for education, Obamacare taxes and premiums, and record rents are the primary reasons why Americans have shuttered their spending over the past eight years, and instead trust in journalistic propaganda that villifies consumers as the ones at fault for the slow economy.  Because this is the assessment of a so-called economic journalist for the Washington Post, who wrote on May 8 that if people just borrowed and spent, everything in the economy would be unicorns and rainbows.

broke

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Sunday, April 17, 2016

Consumer trust and hope in the economy falling

Late last week, the Atlanta Fed lowered their Q1 GDP expectations down for the third time in a week to .1%, yet the mainstream continues to dismiss any possibility that the economy is either moving into recession, or that it is already in one.  And at the core of their propaganda is the belief that the consumer is alive and well, and spending money assumed to have been garnered from lower oil prices.
But two new polls and surveys out on April 15 show that not only is this assumption a lie, but that trust and sentiment in the economy is falling rather than growing.
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Monday, March 28, 2016

Wonder why consumers have no money from lower oil prices? Thank Obamacare!

If you spend any time watching the business channels on cable you find that the litany of analysts they parade across the screen cite the false narrative that consumers (American people) will be the catalyst for economic recovery because they will have more money to spend thanks to lower oil prices that have occurred over the past 18 months.  But despite this fallacy that didn’t come to pass, and was validated yesterday in a 1.4% Q4 GDP revision, there is another reason why Americans have not been able to participate wholeheartedly in the economy, and that reason is Obamacare.
The increase in healthcare spending and the Obamacare tax was by far the number one spending item by consumers in 2015, and nearly double the second place item which was new vehicle purchases.
2015 consumer spending
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Saturday, January 30, 2016

GDP for 4th quarter comes in below 1%, and would have been negative without forced Obamacare tax

Although we have mentioned it several times, the primary factors that make up U.S. GDP are consumer spending, and government spending.  Combined these two categories within the Gross Domestic Product account for 85% of the total production numbers.
So when 4th Quarter GDP growth came in at less than 1% on Jan. 29 (.69%), it validated that sales over the holiday shopping season were incredibly dismal, and that consumers are close to tapped out when it comes to buying products in the economy.
q4 gdp
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Sunday, January 17, 2016

Walmart! Macy’s! When will they finally admit consumers are broke?

Only on CNBC, and in the research rooms of the big banks, could Ivy League analysts have the temerity to spin consumer spending and retail data to be a vision of unicorns and rainbows (and don’t forget the skittles).  But for those looking at information at face value, it is impossible to deny that the economy is in recession.
And one of the data points that practically assures this truth is what is happening to retailers just weeks after the end of the Christmas holiday season.

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Monday, December 7, 2015

Fed trapped on rate hike decision as U.S. is in recession no matter how you spin the numbers

On Dec. 5, two interesting data points that are indicating that the U.S. is now in a recession has the Federal Reserve trapped by their own rhetoric and deceptions.  First, exports by U.S. companies dropped to a three year low as they fell ‘unexpectedly’ due to a stronger dollar and less consumerism from country’s already in their own economic downturns.  In addition, a new forecast by J.P. Morgan Chase put recession at a 76% probability, despite the so-called low unemployment numbers and near record stock market values.
Thus for the central bank, to raise rates now pushes an economy already in recession into much greater straits as there is no current indication that we have any asset inflation of note, and a rate raise would be a meaningless gesture since very little of the Fed’s trillions in Quantitative Easing (QE) ever went towards growth and real economic recovery.

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Thursday, November 19, 2015

Forecast for holiday retail sales down as American’s spending most of their money on rent and Obamacare

We have already seen 3rd quarter retail numbers crash on Wall Street as companies like Macy’s, Fossil, and Nordstrom’s came in with double digit revenue declines, leading many analysts to forecast a bad holiday retail season leading up to Christmas and the end of the year.  But the reality is that the consumer is spending much less on things like apparel and other discretionary items because they are being bogged down with much higher costs in both rents and healthcare.
The Fed loves to discount inflationary numbers that are tied to consumers and the general economy, and instead prop up deflation within the sphere of Wall Street assets and commodities.  And if the real rate of inflation was correctly reported for the entire economy, it would not be languishing at the 2% number the Fed is using to justify their monetary policies, but along the lines of 8-10% per month in vital areas such as food, education, healthcare, and housing.

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Monday, November 9, 2015

Walmart greeters +378,000, student loan ridden Millennials 0

It’s that time of the month again when the Hopey and Changey economic recovery gets to spin the jobs numbers for more political points.  And with today’s massive blowout over what most analysts forecast for new jobs created on Nov. 6, the world is right once again, and there is nothing to worry about in the economy.
Well, perhaps not so fast.
When we take a look at October’s job numbers, which came in at a whopping +271,000, we see a scary dichotomy that is sure to make student loan ridden millennials cry in their sleep.  That is because not only did the majority of new jobs (378,000) go to workers in the age range of over 55, but workers in the current generation lost 35,000 jobs making it a zero sum game for those ever wanting to pay off their loans and one day even dream of buying a home.
Graphic courtesy of Zerohedge
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Thursday, September 24, 2015

Retail sales in U.S. fall back to recession levels

The U.S. is no longer a manufacturing economy, and is instead a consumer based one where over 70% of the annual GDP is tied to consumer and government spending.  So when this single component drops by even a small amount quarter to quarter or year to year, it creates a huge impact on the overall growth for America.
Which is why new data from Johnson-Redbook shows that consumer spending growth has fallen to levels not seen since the Great Recession (2009), and forecasts for the upcoming holiday season are expected to be the weakest in five years.

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Sunday, September 13, 2015

The last weekend before the Fed makes their most important decision of the last five years

It is now less than six days before the Fed will announce perhaps its most important decision of the last five years… whether to raise interest rates or keep rates where they are.  And while analysts have been making predictions on this potentially game changing event, very few actually know what the results will be because whichever choice is made will have detrimental consequences for the economy.
What has really been the catalyst for the divergence in the Fed simply jawboning that they will raise rates for nearly a year is the fact that nearly all economic data points have been either manipulated or reported as outright lies which have skewed the belief that the economy is in recovery and strong enough to stand on its own if interest rates began to rise.  And for all the propaganda behind consumer spending, unemployment, gdp, and corporate earnings being ‘very good’ as the wombats on CNBC promote each and every day, the U.S. central bank has to know the truth behind all of these ponzi schemes and it makes acting in accordance to their own rhetoric very difficult when the reality of the data is both in opposition to their words, and in some cases even worse than before 2008.

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Friday, May 29, 2015

Revisions to Q1 GDP show U.S. in negative growth as number falls to -.7%

When the initial GDP growth numbers came out at the end of April, the U.S. had achieved a barely positive result of just .2% for the first quarter of 2015.  But on May 29, the final revisions were announced and the market’s worst nightmare unfolded as revised GDP for Q1 was actually negative, and fell to -.7%.
Two consecutive quarters of negative growth are the determining factor for a recession, and with corporate revenues falling, and declines in consumer spending being the catalysts for the revised growth numbers, the probability that the U.S. is already in a slump is extremely likely, considering that the largest spending component over the past six months has been in the arena of healthcare premiums.
 
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