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Showing posts with label bull market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bull market. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Gold and silver hitting tough resistance at key levels of $1260 and $18.50

Following the Fed's move two weeks ago to raise interest rates by a mere quarter point, the Dow has fallen seven days in a row, the dollar has dropped over 250 bps, and gold and silver have risen by several percentage points to levels not seen since last November following the Presidential election.  And while the two primary metals have experienced hardly any days of losses since March 15, they are now running up against hard resistance points at $1260 and $18.50 respectively.

Gold traded through one trend-line (August-present) it struggled with just a few days prior, but came very near another trend-line (off the July high). Also, it failed from just above the 200-day MA and below the late February peak. Risk is heightened of a decline from the area between here and 1264. 
Silver is trading very near the July-present trend-line and right around the 200-day MA. Bearish price action has yet to present itself (i.e. - key reversal bar, engulfing bar, etc.), but the stance is neutral to bearish at this juncture with resistance at hand in both gold and silver, along with support for the US dollar. - Daily FX
Should both metals be able to break through these hard resistance levels then it appears technically there will be relatively smooth sailing to $1300 for gold, and potentially $21 for silver as they will both have crossed above their 200 day moving averages.

Right now gold and silver are back to working in tandem against movements from the U.S. dollar.  And if the U.S. currency, which came close to falling below its own 200 day moving average on Monday morning at 98.62, should break through that level with strength, then it will most likely lead to both gold and silver soaring past these hard resistance levels and open up the Bull Market to investors who have been waiting for this to happen on their technical charts.

Thursday, January 26, 2017

With foreigners avoiding bonds, liquidity should move strongly into gold and silver in second half of the year

With foreigners for the most part selling bonds rather than buying them, signals are flashing that the 30 years bull market in bonds is just about over.  And with foreign economies around the world running into currency problems, slowing growth, and the threat of capital flight, economic Marc Faber believes that a huge portion of foreign capital will be moving into gold and silver in the second half of the year.

Economist Marc Faber, who is known in many circles as Doctor Doom for his oft gloomy forecasts, says that stock markets are overvalued, but stops short of saying that a crash is imminent. Though valuations are high and sentiment is dangerously optimistic, Faber argues in a recent interview with Fox Business that there are huge money flows still making their way into U.S. equities. 
And over the next three to six months Faber says much of that liquidity from foreign and domestic investors may start moving into precious metals and precious metals stocks:
[There won’t be a sell off] in the near future… but if you look at the valuation of stock they’re high. If you look at the valuation of the US dollar it is high… If you look at the money flows in the last few weeks a lot of money has flown into US equities, both from domestic investors and international investors… as a contrarian this is not a particular good sign. 
However, there is a lot of liquidity in the world… the liquidity will move into precious metals and precious metals stocks… so I would be long gold shares, silver shares, platinum and the underlying physical… 
I also think that sentiment is much too optimistic about stocks and far too pessimistic about bonds… - SHTF Plan

Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Investors, traders, and analysts expect gold to be higher in forecasts for 2017

Gold has been validated to currently be in the next leg of a Bull Market and investors, traders, and analysts all see the price going much higher in 2017.

In a poll conducted by Reuters on Oct. 28, 35 Wall Street participants confirmed that the gold price will go up next year, with the average price range being about $1331 per ounce.

Gold is expected to post its highest average annual price in four years in 2017, a Reuters poll showed on Friday, after bottoming out this year following three straight years of decline. 
The poll of 35 analysts and traders conducted over the last two weeks returned an average gold price forecast for 2017 of $1,331 an ounce. That would be the highest average since 2013, when the metal plunged 28 percent year on year. 
Respondents predicted an average gold price this year of $1,270 an ounce, slightly above the current average of $1,258. That reflects a stronger expected performance in the fourth quarter, when prices are expected to average $1,300. - Reuters
On a side note, the estimated price range of $1331 from Wall Street participants does not take into consideration geo-political or financial black swans, which like with Brexit, could send gold skyrocketing well above their current forecasts and closer towards gold's all time highs.

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Both foreign buyers and bank analysts see recent price declines in gold a fantastic buying opportunity

With gold prices falling below $1300 per ounce for the first time since July this week, many mainstream analysts who hate the monetary metal jumped on the bandwagon to say the Gold Bull Run was over, and to expect prices to decline much more than where they closed out the week.  However, this analysis is not proving itself out in the physical market where buyers of both gold and silver are using this pullback as a great buying opportunity.

In fact, several gold and silver businesses saw single day sales of several million dollars, with the U.S. Mint selling at least 1.4 million coins to dealers this week alone.

How fast things can change in the PHYSICAL markets when paper prices are smashed.
Gold Eagles, Gold Maples, Krugerrands, Phils, and even private mint 1 oz gold bars are now ALL on 1-2 week delays at the wholesale level in the US after this week’s massive rush to physical. 
Same Story In Silver: 
Wholesale premiums jumped .30 - .50 on 90% Junk Silver Coins this week, with similar increases passed on at the retail level. - Silver Doctors
Reports on tremendous buying of physical gold this week were not limited to bullion dealers as analysts from both Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch agreed that the recent pullback of nearly $100 will quickly be filled by foreign buyers in both China and India, as well as those who continue to see financial conditions deteriorate.
Investors should use the recent drop in gold prices as a buying opportunity, as increased volatility in the market ahead of a potential Fed interest rate hike could lead investors to seek refuge in the precious metal, according to Francisco Blanch, head of global commodities and derivatives research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. 
"Gold is really thriving on uncertainty, and frankly, on the end of the U.S. [rate] cycle whenever that happens," said Blanch. 
The commodities expert believes that once the U.S. central bank decides to raise interest rates, potentially causing equities to sell off and the dollar to rally, investors will see gold prices stabilize and eventually trend higher. - CNBC
As you can see from the chart below, immediately following the 2008 financial crisis gold prices fell from over $1000 per ounce down to $740, only to begin their next leg up to over $1900.


Don't let the pullbacks in gold be a deterrent to sell, as the long term trends of a gold bull market, as well as financial instability, have not changed in a week's time.  And instead look at this pullback as a buying opportunity, just as it was in 2009 before the central banks began their six year programs of zero interest rates and quantitative easing.

Friday, August 19, 2016

Financial analyst known as the 'Wall Street Whiz Kid' says mother of all gold bull markets is just beginning

Following the 2008 Credit Crash, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stated that "I wish I'd been omniscient and seen the crisis coming."  Of course, this is also the academic who claimed the central bank didn't see the United State in a recession when we were already a year into one.

And despite the fact that Bernanke had access to historic data going back to the beginning of the nation's history, and hundreds of Ivy League economists working for him at the Fed, it was not the man whom the U.S. relied primarily upon for determining monetary policy that accurately called out the crash in 2008, but a Wall Street analyst who would become known as 'The Wall Street Whiz Kid' who did so a year in advance.  And his track record speaks for itself since he also correctly predicted the 1987 stock market crash, and the ending the dot com bubble in 2000.

So when Peter Grandich speaks on a coming market trend, the world definitely listens.  And on Aug. 18, the Wall Street Whiz Kid wrote on his blog that we are just starting in the 'Mother of all gold bull markets'.

There are many reasons to believe that “the mother of all bull markets has only just begun” for gold. 
So believes Peter Grandich, the market analyst dubbed the “Wall Street Whiz Kid” whose track record speaks for itself. He called the Wall Street Crash in 1987 and subsequent sharp stock market recovery, the end of the bull market in stocks in 2000 and the global financial crisis in 2008. 
I’m not going to write some long dissertation but rather just highlight some of the reasons I personally believe gold is in the earliest stages of what can turn out to be its biggest bull market ever. 
The bullish fundamentals for gold ownership grow almost daily. Again, I could write pages of why, but I will just point out a few key ones: 
1 - The severe gold correction literally wiped away every ounce of bullishness. It had come to last one out of the bullish camp, please turn off the lights. While bullishness is off the canvas now, we still see little or no interest in gold overall while its main rival, financial assets, are now in a full bullish blow-off mode. Being a supporter of gold is like being the “Maytag Repairman” when compared to what most investors and professional are loaded to the gills with (financial assets). 
2 - We’re now just about 180 degrees where we were in 1980. Back then, financial assets were called “dead” and investment “war rooms” preaching gold ownership were widespread. Gold is the ultimate contrarian play and on a valuation basis compared to stocks and bonds, relatively cheap. 
3 - Whether its debt bombs all around the world, paper currencies being debased faster than “Grant took Richmond”, or Central Banks getting ready to launch funny money from helicopters in a last futile attempt to correct their quantitative easing failures, take your pick on the inevitable ignitor that will lead to a blow up of financial systems. It’s not if, but when! - Goldcore

Tuesday, August 9, 2016

London to open new LMEprecious ETF to sell paper gold futures contracts to customers (suckers)

As the new Gold Bull market continues to grab ever larger portions of both individual and fund investment monies, Wall Street and the City of London are rushing in with new products to try to ensure they can direct these investments into their paper ponzi schemes, rather than into actual physical gold bullion.



And on Aug. 9, the World Gold Council announced that the London Metals Exchange (LME), along with many Western banks such as J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs, are creating a new paper gold futures market called LMEprecious which will introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products for clients (err suckers) to put their money into.
The World Gold Council and the London Metal Exchange (LME), together with Goldman Sachs, ICBC Standard Bank, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, OSTC and Societe Generale, today announce their intention to introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products. 
Today’s announcement follows an extended process of engagement with major market participants and users, and the LMEprecious service has been designed based on extensive consultation with core market players. Advanced discussions are taking place with a number of other leading institutions that have indicated their strong support for this initiative. 
Aram Shishmanian, the Chief Executive of the World Gold Council, said: “This is another important step in the modernisation of the gold market. It will strengthen London’s position in the global gold market, enabling it to meet the needs of all participants, attract new players and satisfy the highest standards of regulatory compliance. 
”We are proud to have been the catalyst for this process, defining the new trading capabilities and driving market engagement. We are confident that the new offering will be successfully implemented and supported by the market.” 
LMEprecious will comprise spot, daily and monthly futures, options and calendar spread contracts for gold and silver. Future developments will include platinum and palladium contracts.  All trading will be centrally cleared on LME Clear, the LME’s cutting-edge, real-time clearing house, and leverage the London market’s existing delivery infrastructure. The new product suite will complement the bilateral over-the-counter (OTC) market, offering market participants similar levels of execution flexibility, including the ability to bring bilaterally negotiated (phone-based) trades into clearing. Market participants will also benefit from tight on-exchange price discovery and a product model designed to maximise capital efficiencies. - World Gold Council
The City of London has controlled gold prices for over 100 years through their daily 'Gold Fix'.  And as the creation of China's Shanghai Gold Exchange physical gold mechanism threatens the authority of the UK to continue in this capacity, the banks are working overtime to try to keep their lock on precious metal pricing, and by directing investors into their schemes of paper etf's it appears to be a last desperate act to hold onto this power.

But all every gold and other precious metal owner needs to remember... if you don't hold it, you don't own it.

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Gold crosses a milestone that historically guarantees another 40-412% in price growth

Before the advent of central bank intervention into the markets, most investors relied upon fundamentals and technical analysis when researching the future of a company stock, or the potential growth in resource commodities.  And while past history does not always guarantee future trends, the likelihood of certain benchmarks being crossed places the probability of such moves in the 75-95% range.

This week, technical analysis for gold reached one of those historical milestones, and in all past bull markets for the metal, the upside once reaching that benchmark has always been between 40 and 412%.
Strategically, it’s been even longer since we updated our longer-term framework for gold.  In fact, it’s been three months since we did that in this post.  In that May piece we suggested the metal continued to track favorably vs. our bullish expectations, but in the near-term it faced a major test having rallied nearly +25% off its Dec-15 low, a historical demarcation point whereby cyclical retracement rallies were either snuffed out with a resumption of a secular bear beginning afresh, or, the same moves continued higher, indicative of a new secular bull being underway.
Where do we now stand vs. that +25% demarcation point? 
As of month-end today, gold is up over 27% from its Dec-15 lows. 
This a major milestone - any time gold has managed a move of at least 25% off a major low, it has continued higher every single time with incremental gains ranging from 21%-412%, with the average totaling 175%. - Only Prices Matter


Chart courtesy of Only Prices Matter.com

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Recent gold manipulation by the banks may actually be a good thing for the gold price and bull market

In any market, the worst thing that can happen is for a particular asset to rise or increase too fast because this normally indicates that the move is either speculative or bubble driven.  And quite often when assets like stocks or gold move up too quickly, price movement down can be just as volatile as market forces seek to 'fill the gap' between buyers and sellers.

For years gold and silver owners have lamented the obvious and brutal manipulation that has suppressed metal price and values to protect the dollar and other central bank created fiat currencies.  But in the case of gold price manipulation over the past month, it might actually be a good thing, and will ensure that the gold bull market continues forward in the months and years to come.

The manipulators are making it easier for us to accumulate gold at a cheap price.  Every time they hit gold I buy. 
I exchanged emails with Dr. Paul Craig Roberts yesterday about the  sell-off of the price of gold this week caused by the obvious “invisible” hand of the Fed.  Note this was a week in which Japan was supposedly going to drop $100 billion in helicopter money at Ben Bernanke’s behest - an announcement which should have sent gold soaring: 
Me:   I agree this was a manipulated take-down of the price but,  you know as well anyone, markets never go straight up except the Dow/S&P 500 when the Fed wants to make those indices go straight up - like now.    Gold was overdue for a trading correction. I agree there’s some idiots out there who think the Fed is powerless now over gold - that’s ignorance or sensationalism. 
Dr. Roberts:   Is there such a thing as a trading correction when the price is controlled and manipulated? Is it a trading correction when the bullion banks dump, as we have shown numerous times, massive paper shorts in the futures market? 
Me:  I agree with your point there - but to be honest, I like to see any market pullback after it has the type of run that gold has had since early February. Should it be pulling back from a much higher price platform? Yes.  But gold was on the verge of going parabolic, which is never healthy in any market. The Fed is doing us a favor. I have been moving a lot of money from my checking account into my Bitgold account this week every morning. If gold was not being pushed down, I might not have added any. 
The other interesting aspect of your point there is the amount of paper the Fed is needing to throw at gold to keep the price down. The open interest has been more or less at an all-time high on the Comex for a few weeks now. The last time the open interest was this high was when gold was pushing $1900. 
In other words, it is requiring a much bigger relative effort for the Fed to prevent the price of gold from spinning out of its control now than it did when gold was about to launch over $2000. - Dave Kranzler, Investment Research Dynamics

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Gold rally to continue as higher prices will spark new buyers to jump in the already tight market

A new report out on July 12 suggests that the ongoing gold rally will not only sustain itself going forward, but will spark much higher prices as new buyers come into the already tight market.

Analysts from both UBS and Credit Suisse are in agreement that the gold bull market has barely begun to move because the amount of investors and buyers have been very limited so far.  And they assess that once the price breaks through a certain point, it will spark an unlimited amount of buyers who see gold as a much more secure bet in today's environment of negative interest rates and helicopter money.

Gold Rebound Linked to Fall in Interest Rates
It’s been a stellar six months for gold investors. The yellow metal has surged 28 percent year-to-date, its best first half of the year since 1974, and there are signs that the rally is just getting started. That’s the assessment of analysts from UBS and Credit Suisse, who see gold entering a new bull run. According to UBS analyst Joni Teves, gold could climb to $1,400 an ounce in the short term on macroeconomic uncertainty, dovish monetary policy and lower yields. 
“These factors,” Teves writes, “justify strategic gold allocations across different types of investors” and should encourage hesitant investors to participate. 
Joining UBS in forecasting further gains is Credit Suisse, which sees gold reaching $1,500 by as early as the start of next year. As Kitco reports, Credit Suisse analyst Michael Slifirski writes that “the surprise Brexit vote has solidified and intensified macro and political uncertainty and extended the time frame for a negative real rate environment in the U.S. and potentially abroad.” 
This is precisely what I told BNN’s Paul Bagnell this week, using Canada as an example. The Canadian 10-year yield is sitting just below 1 percent, while inflation in May came in at 1.5 percent. When we subtract the latter from the former, we get a real rate of negative 0.5 percent—meaning inflation is eating your lunch. Like negative bond yields, negative real rates have in the past accelerated momentum in gold’s Fear Trade. - Forbes

Friday, July 1, 2016

Gold rises over $20 as the second half of 2016 begins just like the start of the year

As the second half of 2016 began today on July 1, gold moved up and continued the trend set back in early January of this year.  In fact, with the gold price closing up over $20 to end the week at $1342.90, it solidified the bull trend upward and closed out above four year old resistance levels.

Live New York Gold Chart [Kitco Inc.]
Gold futures continue to see more inflows as we start the second half of the year. Both technical buyers and hedge funds put new money to work in a busy pre-July 4 Friday.
We had been worried about about a rally in gold futures causing a rush for a wing vol, a way out of a call with high volatility. The upward spike in gold futures prices on Friday (to a high of $1,344.30 for the August contract traded at the Comex) kept implied volatility of options muted as some market participants sold call options against the underlying length. That meant that traders sold calls against futures that they already purchased 
Futures contract trading volume on the Comex on Friday was equivalent to 20 million ounces, and volume in front month call options are picking up. 
The GCQ $1360 calls have been the main option interest with close to 2,000 contracts being bought and sold down .5% vol. - The Street
In addition to gold spiking higher, the one asset class that did much better was its brother metal, silver.  In fact, just as gold spiked by more than $100 on Brexit day last week, silver rose by nearly $2 over the past two days as expectations of central bank money printing and historic short covering rocketed the white metal to nearly over $20 an ounce.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Investors jump on gold price pullback as ETF's climb by 25% in past two weeks

While The Daily Economist has never advocated owning paper gold as either an investment or insurance, just the fact that more and more Americans are waking up to the understanding and need for gold in any capacity is a good thing.

And while gold bugs have seen the need for patience over the past month following the cartel's crushing of the gold price once it crossed over $1300 per ounce, this short term pullback has not scared away buyers as interest in the gold ETF's have skyrocketed over the past two weeks, and have increased by 25% in that same time.

Live New York Gold Chart [Kitco Inc.]
The great gold rush of 2016 is gathering pace. Holdings in exchange-traded funds have now surged by a quarter, with investors taking advantage of lower prices over the past two weeks to enlarge stakes on rising concern about central bank policy making worldwide. 
The holdings have increased to 1,822.3 metric tons, the most since December 2013, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, after bottoming at a seven-year low in January. In the past two weeks, as prices lost 1.6 percent, ETFs swelled 63.2 tons, rising every day. 
Gold is the best-performing major metal this year after silver amid rising concern over negative rates in Europe and Japan and whether the Federal Reserve will be able to tighten further. Demand jumped to the second-highest level ever in the first quarter, according to the World Gold Council, and billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer has said gold’s rally may just be beginning. Investors are being driven to gold on a structural shift in investment demand, according to Bernard Aw, a strategist at IG Asia Pte. - Bloomberg
In fact, not only has the likes of J.P. Morgan and billionaire hedge fund managers publicly called the new Bull Market for gold, but the moves since January have occurred with little more than 1% of Americans actually owning the precious metal.

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Despite recent pullback and consolidation, J.P. Morgan and Hedge Fund Manager validate gold bull market

Ever since gold briefly crossed $1300 per ounce last week, the price of the precious metal has fallen due to profit taking, and a massive effort by the central banks to suppress the price through shorting the market with near record naked contracts.  But this has only led to a consolidating of the market around $1250, and a removal of most weak hand investors during the last run-up.

And it is because of the strength of this consolidation that on May 11, a well known hedge fund manager along with bullion bank J.P. Morgan both announced validation that gold is well into, and definitely in the next Bull Market.

gold
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer said that gold’s best quarter in 30 years is probably just the beginning of a rebound as global investors -- including Stan Druckenmiller -- weigh the ramifications of unprecedented monetary easing on inflation. 
“It makes a great deal of sense to own gold. Other investors may be finally starting to agree,” Singer wrote in an April 28 letter to clients. “Investors have increasingly started processing the fact that the world’s central bankers are completely focused on debasing their currencies.” - Billionaire Paul Singer, Bloomberg
And J.P. Morgan's assessment...
Gold prices are surging this year, and that has one of Wall Street's largest banks flocking to the yellow metal. 
"We're recommending our clients to position for a new and very long bull market for gold," JPMorgan Private Bank's Solita Marcelli said Tuesday on CNBC's "Futures Now." After seeing three back-to-back years of losses, the precious metal has rallied 20 percent in 2016. And that's just the start of the next leg higher, according to Marcelli. "$1,400 is very much in the cards this year." - CNBC

Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Gold vs. Stocks: Trend ratios looking exactly like 2007 just prior to financial collapse

Contrary to the year of the financial EVENT in 2008 that changed the global economy forever, the circumstances behind the Credit Crisis started in 2007 with the collapse of the housing bubble, and the apex of the six year equity Bull Market.  And one thing it also triggered was the beginning of the next leg of the Bull Market in gold, which would move from the $700's to a new all-time high of over $1900 in a short period of time.

There are many things that act as warnings and signposts for future events, and one of these has occurred since the beginning of the year which parallels 2007, and the beginning of events that led to a worldwide financial collapse.

The ratio between gold growth and stock market declines.


As you can see on this chart, the 2016 performances of both gold and the S&P 500 are exactly the same as the performance of each back in 2007.
Gold is enjoying an incredible year, surging 22 percent as the S&P 500is barely positive. What's rare is for the yellow metal to outperform the market so dramatically in a year when stocks are up. 
In fact, going back to 1980, there has been only year in which gold has outperformed the S&P by 20 percent or more while the latter was positive on the year: 2007. 
Both gold and the fear-measuring CBOE Volatility Index surged in the second half of that year, even as stocks maintained their footing. The crash, of course, came in 2008. - CNBC

Sunday, May 1, 2016

Gold ends April up 4 percent, and at 15 month high

When gold began to move in early January, many thought it was simply a knee-jerk reaction from equity sellers moving into the metal as a safe haven because bond yields offered almost infinitesimal returns.  However, with gold not only withstanding the paper onslaughts by the cartel in both February and March, its recovery and explosion upward in April has proven that gold is now in the next leg of a Bull Market.

Gold closed on April 29 at $1293 per ounce, which means that it rose by 4% over the course of the month, and ended on the last trading day at a 15 month high.

Gold and silver futures rallied Friday, posting the highest settlements since January 2015, as a slump in the greenback to its lowest level in about 11 months lured investors into dollar-denominated commodities. 
June gold GCM6, +2.25%  jumped $24.10, or 1.9%, to settle at $1,290.50 an ounce, marking a fifth straight day of gains. The settlement was the best since late Jan. 2015. Prices ended roughly 4.4% higher for the month, based on the most-active contracts, and were up over 5% on the week. - Marketwatch
Heading into May, the most important thing to watch is the U.S. dollar, which closed on Friday just barely over 93 on the index.  And if it begins to slide next week when the markets re-open, then chances are very good it will collapse into the 80's very quickly, and the gold price will skyrocket towards $1400 with little resistance.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Gold price reaches most important point of resistance that could send it to $1400 or higher

A few weeks ago I wrote on the major resistance point for gold that the cartel has gone out of their way to protect since the beginning of this new bull market, and until now, each time the price has crossed over $1280 it has been pushed down hard with naked paper shorting.

But as we have seen at least three times since the beginning of the year, the bit is in the mouth of the precious metal, and we are once again at the most important point of resistance that if broken through, could send gold easily to $1400 within days.
As we see the gold/silver ratio approach support at 70 we would once again favour gold over silver, both from the expectation that a continued rally in silver will be difficult without the support from gold but also as an insurance policy should the rally once again run out of steam. During a correction silver is likely to take a bigger hit than gold. Not least considering the speculative net-long positioning which has reach record levels.

Gold has been range bound since February but now once again challenging resistance at $1,285/oz.
Spot Gold
Source: SaxoTraderGO

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Paper traders helping to keep gold prices going higher as market fully into bull run

As many gold holders know, the paper markets are much greater than the physical and can have extreme effects on price and direction.  But with gold in 2016 having its strongest start since Americans were allowed to once again own the precious metal back in 1974, an interesting synthesis is starting to emerge.

And that is the paper traders, particularly those in the options market, are moving en masse into the Bull camp and helping to keep gold going higher even as the Fed seeks to depress the price in order to protect the dollar.

Amid gold's best start to a year since 1974, options traders continue to bet on more gains.



Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Whether it is physical gold or paper gold ETFs, everyone is jumping on the bull market bandwagon

Here in the alternative media, when it comes to gold we try to advocate one important point... if you don't hold it, you don't own it, and thus we always cite the importance of owning physical gold rather than futures contracts or equity based ETF's.

But most Americans still don't have a true understanding of the power of physical gold, and instead trust in their brokers to provide them good information for both investing, and wealth protection.  And as the price of gold has moved into bull market territory, even brokers who have dissuaded their clients in the past to refrain from buying gold are now changing their tune to recommend gold as an asset in the paper markets.
Yesterday marked the 40th day in a row that total known holdings of Gold in ETFs rose. Not since January 6th has the precious metal seen a reduction in holdings. This is the longest streak of increased holdings since ETFs were born...

The expectations that gold will once again become a recognized form of money are growing, but this time when it does it will no longer be restricted to a price determined by governments, but instead by the market which will use it as a checks and balance against paper fiat currencies.
(GB) Do you think that gold and silver are actual money? 
(PS) They are not actual money now. Right now we have pieces of paper that used to be redeemable in gold and silver but are now not redeemable in anything as money. I think gold and silver would be used as money if we had a free market, but unfortunately we don’t. I think that when the collapse in the dollar occurs, there will be a widespread return to using gold and silver as money, or at least having other currencies backed by gold and silver as money again. With today’s technology the transition will be much easier than if we had tried to do this in the 80’s or 90’s. 
(GB) That said, do you recommend people to buy physical precious metals? 
(PS) Absolutely. If anyone has been following me for any time they should know that I do not put a lot of faith in fiat currencies. While there are some currencies that are relatively better than others, the reality is that all currencies are fiat at the end of the day and therefore subject to fall all the way to zero. I personally think the dollar is the most dangerous currency of all because of what the Federal Reserve has been doing for years at unprecedented levels. Gold and silver offer the only protection from outright currency collapse and bank failure. What we saw in 2007-2008 was just small taste of what is to come. Gold and silver are the only assets which can offer you protection from such an event and actually increase your wealth. I recommend putting anywhere from 5- 20% of your liquid net worth in gold and silver. - Peter Schiff interview via Silver Doctors

Saturday, March 5, 2016

Gold prices are up over 20 percent against nearly all major currencies since beginning of the year

Yesterday I wrote about how gold had moved into a Bull Market since its lows back in December of 2015.  The definition of a bull market is when an asset increases by at least 20% from its low.

But a new report out by Mark O'Byrne at Goldcore is showing that gold has not only moved up by more than 20% in the U.S., it has also become a bull market against nearly every major currency including the Euro, the British Pound, and the Yen.

So to put it in perspective, the entire world is now rushing into gold... as an investment, as a safe haven, and because it is the best performing asset in 2016.

Gold has surged another 4% this week to bring year to date gains to 20% in dollar terms, 19% in euro terms and 24% in sterling terms. We were interviewed by PickingAlpha.com yesterday afternoon and looked at what is currently driving gold prices higher in all currencies. 
The sudden rise of gold prices and whether it is sustainable was considered. As was the British economy in the run up to Brexit referendum and the vulnerability of sterling due to the second largest current account deficit in the UK's post war history and London's property bubble. 
The impact of the Chinese slowdown and the 1% rise of the Indian Duty tax, followed by country’s numerous jewelers’s strike and the outlook for Chinese and Indian demand were also looked at. 
Gold is the strongest currency in the world so far this year. Gold prices began the year at $1,062.25/oz, €974.32 and £716.36 per ounce.  Prices have surged in all currencies internationally and today's AM fix was $1,271.50, €1,158.67  and £898.93 per ounce. Or to put it more correctly, fiat currencies are being devalued and again losing value versus gold ...  as they do over the long term. - Zerohedge

Friday, March 4, 2016

Gold makes it back to Bull Market status

It has been a long five years, but for the first time since it reached an all-time high of $1940 in 2011, gold has officially returned to a bull market on March 3.

Gold prices have climbed 21% since their December lows, and last week moved over its Golden Cross technical.

This move into bull market territory has also not been lost on the mainstream, where J.P. Morgan issued a Buy call for gold yesterday as well, and to diversify out of stocks into the precious metal.