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Showing posts with label bear market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bear market. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Demand for gold surging as paper gold in the GLD ETF running at levels not seen since 2011

2011 was the year gold reached its all-time high against the dollar when it climbed from $1325 at the end of January to over $1900 by early September.  And during that year investments in the GLD ETF were also at record highs.

Subsequently traders saw the gold price fall over the course of the next four years, ending its bear market run in January of 2016.  But as we enter into a new Presidency in January of 2017, and conditions looking very similar to what occurred last year in the gold markets following the central bank's first rate hike in over a decade, something else is occurring that is sure to spark a run in the gold price and it is happening once again in the paper gold market.

On January 17, the GLD ETF had risen 13 of the last 15 trading days, creating a scenario for gold not seen since it rose to its all-time high back in 2011.

Gold chart for September 2011 when it reached its all-time high 
The popular gold-tracking GLD ETF has risen in 13 of the past 15 sessions through Tuesday, the first time it has done so since summer of 2011. 
Gold has suffered a precipitous drop since peaking in mid-2016, with Donald Trump's election and the Federal Reserve's rate hike serving as two notable bearish catalysts. 
Each of the events sent the dollar surging and yields rising — both of which are bad news for gold. After peaking at nearly $1,380 per troy ounce in July, gold found itself below $1,130 per troy ounce in the middle of December. 
Since then, gold has staged a subdued but nonetheless persistent rise. In the 15 sessions since Dec. 22, gold has risen more than 7 percent. 
The last time the GLD rose as consistently was in the 15 sessions ended July 26, 2011, which similarly saw the ETF rise a bit less than 7 percent. 
To be sure, 2011 is not a year that gold fans remember fondly. The metal topped out just a few months later, in September, at $1,923.7. A gut-wrenching decline was ahead, and the value of the metal has pretty much been declining ever since. - CNBC
Gold price to date for 2017

Friday, February 12, 2016

JP Morgan can’t imagine a more ‘ugly morning’ as global markets imploding

Just one day after Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen spoke before Congress to answer questions on the state of the economy, global markets continued their acceleration downward as stocks, currencies, oil, and banks not only show signs of capitulation, but in the words of JP Morgan’s Adam Crisafulli, he can’t imagine a more ‘ugly morning’.
S&P 500 futures down 1.8% to 1814
Stoxx 600 down 3.4% to 304
FTSE 100 down 2.6% to 5525
DAX down 2.9% to 8760
German 10Yr yield down 7bps to 0.18%
MSCI Asia Pacific up 0.1% to 117
Hang Seng down 3.8% to 18546
S&P/ASX 200 up 1% to 4821
US 10-yr yield down 5bps to 1.62%
Dollar Index down 0.42% to 95.49
WTI Crude futures down 2.9% to $26.65
Brent Futures down 1.7% to $30.31
Gold spot up 3.5% to $1,242
Silver spot up 2.8% to $15.80

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Got Karatbars? As stocks fall into Bear market levels, and economies fall into recession, gold is moving once again

Ownership of gold has always meant different things to different people.  In India for example, it is not only an important part of everyday culture, it is also where most people hold their wealth in the form of jewelry.  In fact, it is estimated that Indian households own over 20,000 tons of gold, at an current value of around $950 billion.

But in the U.S. and Europe, gold ownership fell following its removal from currencies in 1971, and even the Internal Revenue Service categorizes physical gold simply as a collectible, and not as an investment or money.  And the mania that drove gold prices up to $1980 just a few years ago was built on fear of the financial meltdown that occurred in 2008 when stocks, bonds, and debt threatened to collapse the entire banking system.



Yet that philosophy is now changing, and especially since early 2015.  And with gold and even silver purchases exploding from hedge funds, banks, and a growing coalition of citizens, shortages have been created that have not only stabilized gold prices at a strong bottom, but have secured support to where these prices are beginning to rise despite the concerted effort of the government to depress them in the paper markets.  And as falling stocks, bonds, the fear of a global recession, and the failing confidence in central banks begins to accelerate, gold is once again becoming the one asset to own as wealth protection is now more important than chasing yields, or trying to invest in chaotic markets.
The $15 trillion rout in global equity markets since May is reawakening the lure of gold for investors seeking safety. 
Hedge funds and other large speculators more than doubled their net-long position in bullion last week, just three weeks after they were the most-bearish ever. Investor holdings of gold through exchange-traded products are expanding at the fastest pace in a year, and the value of the ETPs has jumped by $3 billion in 2016. - Bloomberg Business News

Ownership of precious metals have always been a mainstay of a diversified portfolio until brokers and money managers chose to eliminate this option and push investors and retirees into strictly paper based assets.  But the problem today is that all that paper is tied to the dollar, and what happens if the dollar itself is the thing to collapse as many analysts are predicting will happen in the coming months or years?  Because the collapse of the dollar would make all these investments and retirement accounts insolvent, worth zero, or at the very least lose 40-70% of their value as the replacing currency would have to be devalued to accommodate the massive amount of debt owned by Wall Street and the Federal government.

So how can you be assured in protecting your wealth and owning affordable physical gold in a way that protects you from all market chaos, and from any potential currency collapse?

You can do all of this with a company called Karatbars



Buying gold through Karatbars is one of the easiest things on the net.  In fact, the business model of Karatbars is to sell gold in affordable quantities, such as 1, 2.5, and 5 gram increments, and allow customers to get into the metal without having to shell out $1200+ for a single ounce coin.

And as added perks to signing up with Karatbars, as a customer or affiliate, Karatbars is working on a new e-wallet system that functions just like an offshore bank account, and is outside the authority of the banking system.  From there, you can take your fiat currency in any denomination... dollars, euros, yen, etc... and purchase physical gold which can either be delivered directly to you, or stored for free at one of Karatbar's vaults.

Additionally, any gold that you buy can easily be sold back to Karatbars, or any metals dealer, and if with Karatbars it is then exchanged for currency that is uploaded to you through a pre-loaded debit Mastercard which is connected directly to your e-wallet.  And as we know, MasterCard is recognized in nearly every country around the world, and usable in any currency that accepts it.

But perhaps the best feature with Karatbars is their affiliate program, where you can earn money off commissions from getting others to sign up and become a customer or affiliate.  Not only do you receive commissions from their purchasing of physical gold, but you also earn commissions from anyone who buys a commission package, with that money going directly into your debit MasterCard when you have enough units to cycle.

Imagine the ability to earn the money in which to buy your gold savings simply by purchasing a commission affiliate package one time, and then getting others to sign up and do the same thing.

How many businesses or entrepreneurs can build an infinite business with spending less than $400 of their own money?  And there is never a mandatory requirement to buy beyond what you desire, on your own schedule.  And there is nothing to lose, because you're using money (paper dollars) to buy gold (physical money) and in the end you don't lose a thing.


The global financial system, along with dozens of respected economists, are telling us that now is the time for the end of our current form of money, and the beginning of the transition into a new monetary system that is expected to be backed by gold.  And with banks, governments, and even Harvard professors mandating that central banks have no choice but to eliminate cash from usage by the people to stave off collapse, will you wait until it is too late to make a decision on how you will protect your wealth, and be able to function within the coming new monetary system?

To learn more about Karatbars, you can contact the individual who sent you this article, and click on their referral link to open a free account and begin buying, or building your own gold savings or business with the company of the future.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

IMF pumping out declines in global growth forecasts like central banks print money

On Jan. 19, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its forecast for global growth for the third time in less than a year, validating that the largest financial centers in the world have little idea on what is actually occurring within the global economy.
The IMF’s cut follows today’s announced decline in China’s GDP, and last Friday’s Atlanta Fed announcement that they were cutting estimates on U.S. GDP growth for the quarter ending December 2015.

Thursday, January 7, 2016

Got Karatbars? UBS finds a disturbance in the force as they advocate buying gold for the coming bear market

A few days ago, J.P. Morgan downgraded 21 out of 22 emerging market economies, citing that they had already moved into a recession.  And just a day later, another major bank issued its own warnings that the global economy is headed towards a bear market, and that investors should do something they haven't advocated in several years.

That is to buy gold.
UBS Technical Analysts Michael Riesner and Marc Müller warn the seven-year cycle in equities is rolling over. 
UBS expects S&P 500 to move into a 2Q top and fall into a full size bear market, with risk of a 20% to 30% correction into minimum later 2016 and worst case early 2017 
So if stocks are due for a 30% correction - what to do? Buy Gold... 
Gold has been trading in a cyclical bear market since 2011. 
In 2016, we expect gold and gold mines moving into an eight-year cycle bottom as the basis for the next multi-year bull market. 
Initially, we see gold profiting as a safe haven and as of 2017, gold could profit from the US dollar moving in a major top and starting a bear market. 
Tactically, over the last three years, we’ve tried playing bear market rallies in gold and gold mines several times. In 2013 and 2014, our targets were reached. 
In 2015, the bounce in gold was weaker than expected. However, in all these cases we made it clear that we just expect a bear market rally before resuming its dominant cyclical bear trend. Generally, our cyclical roadmap and our long-term call on gold of the last few years has not changed. 
A potential bottom in 2016 bottom could be a rather powerful bottom, since together with a four-year cycle low we have also an eight-year cycle low projection for this year. In this context we expect a potential 2016 low in gold to be the basis of a new multi-year bull market. - Zerohedge

In addition to J.P. Morgan and UBS making disturbing forecasts for global economies, another well known investor is pushing the bear market and financial collapse tune, and that is George Soros, who on Wednesday said that market conditions now are the same as they were in the 2008 crash.
Speaking an economic forum in Sri Lanka's capital Colombo, he told an audience that China is struggling to find a new growth model and its currency devaluation is transferring problems to the rest of the world, according to media. He added that a return to rising interest rates was proving difficult for the developing world. 
The current environment reminded him of the "crisis we had in 2008," The Sunday Times in Sri Lanka reported on Thursday morning. "China has a major adjustment problem," he added, according to Bloomberg. "I would say it amounts to a crisis." - YahooFinance

All one has to do is look at global stock markets since the beginning of the year to realize that something big is taking place.  And while no one knows for sure if this is a big event, or simply a cyclical pullback, the big money is buying physical gold, and you can too to protect your wealth and be in a good position for no matter what is coming on the horizon.

And you can do this with a company called Karatbars



Buying gold through Karatbars is one of the easiest things on the net.  In fact, the business model of Karatbars is to sell gold in affordable quantities, such as 1, 2.5, and 5 gram increments, and allow customers to get into the metal without having to shell out $1200+ for a single ounce coin.

And as added perks to signing up with Karatbars, as a customer or affiliate, Karatbars is working on a new e-wallet system that functions just like an offshore bank account, and is outside the authority of the banking system.  From there, you can take your fiat currency in any denomination... dollars, euros, yen, etc... and purchase physical gold which can either be delivered directly to you, or stored for free at one of Karatbar's vaults.

Additionally, any gold that you buy can easily be sold back to Karatbars, or any metals dealer, and if with Karatbars it is then exchanged for currency that is uploaded to you through a pre-loaded debit Mastercard which is connected directly to your e-wallet.  And as we know, MasterCard is recognized in nearly every country around the world, and usable in any currency that accepts it.

But perhaps the best feature with Karatbars is their affiliate program, where you can earn money off commissions from getting others to sign up and become a customer or affiliate.  Not only do you receive commissions from their purchasing of physical gold, but you also earn commissions from anyone who buys a commission package, with that money going directly into your debit MasterCard when you have enough units to cycle.

Imagine the ability to earn the money in which to buy your gold savings simply by purchasing a commission affiliate package one time, and then getting others to sign up and do the same thing.

How many businesses or entrepreneurs can build an infinite business with spending less than $400 of their own money?  And there is never a mandatory requirement to buy beyond what you desire, on your own schedule.  And there is nothing to lose, because you're using money (paper dollars) to buy gold (physical money) and in the end you don't lose a thing.


The global financial system, along with dozens of respected economists, are telling us that now is the time for the end of our current form of money, and the beginning of the transition into a new monetary system that is expected to be backed by gold.  And with banks, governments, and even Harvard professors mandating that central banks have no choice but to eliminate cash from usage by the people to stave off collapse, will you wait until it is too late to make a decision on how you will protect your wealth, and be able to function within the coming new monetary system?

To learn more about Karatbars, you can contact the individual who sent you this article, and click on their referral link to open a free account and begin buying, or building your own gold savings or business with the company of the future.

China stock markets halt completely after Yuan devaluation

It appears that the new Chinese circuit breakers came at just the right time as the Shanghai equity markets triggered a halt on Jan. 7, leading the Far Eastern power to close down the markets altogether after just 30 minutes of trading.  This is the second circuit breaker halt in three days for China, which implemented the market protection at the start of the new year.
What appears to have been the catalyst for this market collapse was a devaluation of the Yuan, which was dropped by the PBOC the most since last August.

Thursday, October 1, 2015

It appears that the Fed is now done propping up markets as S&P; 500 hits its Death Cross

It has been 10 days since the now famous Federal Reserve interest rate announcement, with the markets having reacted as if Janet Yellen had not said a word.  For in the past when the Fed spoke of raising interest rates, a decision to keep them near zero had always resulted in a new sweep of buying that brought the markets to new all-time highs.  But after equities reached their apex in back mid-May, more than 2000 points have dropped from the Dow index alone, and the S&P 500 on Sept. 28 crossed down below the dreaded Death Cross which may have signaled that the central bank ‘Yellen Put’ may have finally ended in the bank’s policy of propping up stocks.


Read more on this article here...

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Dow hits first true Death Cross since 2011

There are two technical terms for when the 50 day moving average (50DMA) and 200 DMA cross paths.  When the 50 day indicator is rising, and crosses over the 200 DMA it is known as a Golden Cross, and is considered a very bullish indicator.  But when the 50 DMA has a downward path, and crosses below the 200 DMA it is known as a Death Cross and represents a bearish indicator for any given market, industry, stock, or asset.
With the Dow falling more than 200 points on the NYSE on Aug. 11, the indicie has now experienced a Death Cross, and one that has not been fully seen since 2011 when the stock market recovery began thanks to the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing.