Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Growing spreads between London and Shanghai means that very soon China will take control over gold pricing

Two weeks ago, Deutsche Bank publicly admitted that they and several other banks have been manipulating the price of both gold and silver for several years now.  And yet despite these admissions, both London and the Comex have been smashing down the price of each to the point now where the markets can no longer even facilitate a break even cost for companies producing the metals.


“The analysis of FCF breakeven price suggests that 50% of the gold miners generate free cash flow below $1,150/oz gold with an average FCF breakeven gold price of US$1,135/oz for 2016E,” BMO said. “Excluding dividends, the FCF breakeven gold price for the miners declines to $1,070/oz in 2016E. 
Silver miners may be “less prepared,” however, after enduring a deeper correction in the price of silver relative to gold, BMO said. Three out of 11 companies report FCF breakeven costs for 2016 that are estimated below $15 an ounce, BMO said. - Kitco
As of Dec. 20, the current spot price for gold in London was $11.25, which according to the above study means that the manipulated 'fix' price at the Comex is now $10 below the average cost necessary for 50% of the miners just to break even.

However, as noted in an article published over the weekend here, spot prices out of Shanghai are at least $50 more than what is set in either London or New York, and premiums for metals are even higher than this when purchased in large quantities by investors, stackers, or speculators.

This dislocation in prices between Eastern and Western markets is now creating a nexus point where according to long-time bullion analyst Jim Sinclair, as well as by the CEO of Matterhorn Capital out of Switzerland, China is growing ever closer to being the primary market for determining gold and silver prices, and leaving London and New York with little metal to back their paper contracts.
For those distraught over the COMEX paper futures price of gold plunging towards $1,000/oz, Switzerland’s Egon von Greyerz has some information for you: 
I am not upset because I know one day, COMEX will default. The futures market will default. The banks will not be able to deliver the paper gold they have issued. One day people will come in and try to get their gold, and there won’t be any gold when they ask for it. How can you be nervous (holding gold)? The truth will eventually come out, and that truth will be very painful for all the paper holders of gold.” - Greg Hunter via Silver Doctors

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