Sunday, September 4, 2016

As the world rushes to hoard cash, and gold supplies dwindle, what might a frenzy on gold buying look like?

Two interesting events are taking place right now in different parts of the world that threaten to create a frenzy not unlike the bank runs we saw in the 1930's and again following the bursting of the Housing Bubble in 2007.

Trust in banks have seriously eroded in places like Japan and Germany to the point where average people are making a run on home safes, and moving their cash out of financial institutions.  The root cause of course is the advent of negative interest rates and the growing fear that insolvent institutions will soon be forced to conduct bail-ins to stave off bankruptcy.

But it is not just a run on cash that is occurring in different pockets of the market.  Last week demands for delivery of physical gold were met with severe resistance, and this is a signal that most paper gold ETF's are not actually backstopped with physical gold, and which could soon bring about a run that would skyrocket the price to well over $5000 according to well respected metals analyst David Morgan.

Economist David Morgan of The Morgan Report is one of the world’s best known silver investors. In the following interview with Future Money Trends Morgan discusses his personal experiences during the last major run-up in gold, when it hit a price of $850 in early 1980. As Morgan describes it, there was significant panic buying during that time period, and should central banks and governments continue on their current course, we’ll see a similar endgame play out this time around: 
"What’s good for gold is the end of empire… And we’ve got governments that are failing… When these bond markets blow up further, that’s when you’re going to see a run to gold than we’ve already seen… 
Wait until the physical market freezes up, which could happen. I am not saying it would happen, but it could. With the worldwide demand and a failing currency across the world, where do you think people are going to go? They’re going to go to precious metals which have been trusted for thousands of years. 
If that were to occur, and I think it could happen… could you imagine the amount of money sitting on the sidelines in a panic mode that would go into the mining shares? It’s incredible. 
I saw it once… I saw what happened with gold and silver when it was a panic buy… My commodities broker was a woman. She worked for Dean Witter… She was very savvy… She would leave her office at lunchtime and go and buy gold at the local coin dealer… then after she closed her office she would stand outside her front door and sell gold coins to people who were lined up… believe it or not. 
That’s the kind of frenzy you get at the top of the gold market." - SHTFPlan