Friday, July 29, 2016

Gold rises and investors lose complete faith in central bankers following the Fed and BoJ's failed guidance

Gold prices have recovered from recent pullbacks following this week's less than insightful messages from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.  In fact, faith in the central banks has dropped to a near record low, and investors are becoming extremely wary that the monetary controllers will be unable to do the right things for interest rates and increased stimulus as the economy moves closer towards another crisis.

On Wednesday the Federal Reserve gave a lukewarm message and chose not to raise rates despite high job numbers from the May report.  And last night, the markets completely rejected Kuroda's promises of new stimulus, sending gold higher, and the Yen back towards 102 to the dollar.

Individual investors like Kudo drove a 60 percent jump in sales of the precious metal in June from May at Tanaka Holdings Co., the operator of Japan’s largest bullion retailer, as the yen’s rebound against the dollar made it more affordable. While Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s ruling party scored a convincing victory in July 10 upper house elections, confidence in his economic policies is flagging. A July 2-3 Asahi newspaper poll showed 55 percent of those surveyed support a new direction versus 28 percent for maintaining course. 
Strong Yen 
The yen’s 17 percent gain this year is a reflection of Japanese investors fleeing from overseas markets due to pessimism about global growth rather than confidence in their own economy. Gold sales more than tripled at Tanaka’s shops on June 24, when the Japanese currency jumped to an almost three-year high against the dollar after the U.K. decided to exit the European Union. Japan’s Topix stock gauge dropped the most in five years the day after the Brexit referendum, while 10-year sovereign bond yields tumbled further below zero. - Bloomberg

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