Monday, June 27, 2016

Gold will continue to soar because of global financial conditions that go beyond Brexit

Both investors and those people worried about protecting their wealth need to realize that the outlook for gold goes far beyond Friday's Brexit results.  In fact, the referendum for Britain to leave the European Union is more like a Bear Stearns event rather than the 'Lehman Moment' theme saturating the media since it represents the actions of a single entity rather than the overall domino effect that Lehman Brothers was to the global banking system.

And when you couple in the fact that gold had been rising since the very first days of 2016, and is the best performing asset this year in all markets, the expectation for gold to rise much greater is still there because the underlying problems within the global financial system have not gone away simply because of the Brexit.

Expectations for more rallies in gold aren’t just borne from the Brexit news. What happens in other markets, including equities and currencies, will impact gold’s outlook more directly. 
Brexit is “a global monetary event, with destructive effects in individual economies,” said Brien Lundin, editor of Gold Newsletter. 
‘If everyone is trying to depreciate their currency, including the U.S., what can they depreciate it against?’ 
“The standard central-bank prescription is to ease, to depreciate their currency,” he said. 
“But if everyone is trying to depreciate their currency, including the U.S., what can they depreciate it against?” 
“Only gold will stand tall during the turmoil. And over the long term, it won’t because it’s supposed to be a ‘safe haven’, but because it’s the only safeguard against fiat currency depreciation,” said Lundin. - Marketwatch
Prior to Friday's Brexit vote, there was more than $10 trillion in bonds worldwide that have a negative yield, and this will only continue to grow.  This means that trying to find a safe haven in bonds will leave you with less money than you started with at maturity, and opposite the effects if you instead moved your cash into gold.

No, last week's Brexit vote is simply one big warning sign on the road to the next global financial crisis, and just like from 2007-2011, the barometer for this will be the price of gold and not the stock markets, currency markets, or other asset classes.  And if you want to see what the people in the line of fire are choosing, just look at the Brits who are trying to buy gold hand over fist, but are quickly realizing that supplies are quickly becoming unavailable in their local markets.
A British gold broker says sales are at an all-time high since UK voters decided to leave the EU. 
"There has been record online sales on the GoldCore website . . . the phones are ringing off the hook," says GoldCore founder Mark O'Byrne in a news release
On the day Brexit results were announced spot gold popped $70 per ounce peaking at $1,330
Other gold sellers like BullionVault, CoinInvest.com and The Royal Mint all reported a surge in sales
On the same day the Brexit results were announced, "buy gold" Google searches soared 400% in the United Kingdom, according to Google Trends. - Mining.com

0 comments:

Post a Comment