Over the weekend, two well known hedge fund managers spoke on the potential for the U.S. government to soon implement a wealth tax against producers that could lead to a run on cash where they would seek to get their money out of Western institutions. And as a solution for what both Kyle Bass and Grant Williams see coming is to buy gold as a hedge against these and other possible actions.
Kyle Bass: "I think this is where the academics are kind of clashing with the practitioners. I think on paper negative rates make a lot of sense if you're running academic models, but in reality they make no sense. Having seven or eight trillion dollars of debt trading at negative rates, having thirty year JGB's trading at fifty basis points is absolutely ludicrous. This experiment that's going on we all know will end poorly at some point in time, I just don't know when that time is."
"I think that one of the fears that they have is a run on cash. If they told you and I that they're going to tax your deposits by a hundred basis points, well it's better to put it in a safe or under your mattress. And that's why you see a resurgence in gold. The more they move to negative rates, the more gold is gonna take off because there's no carrying cost." - ZerohedgeAnd here is Grant Williams at the Mauldin Strategic Investment Conference...
"I don't buy gold, I own it. I don't buy gold at $1,100 because I think it's going to go to $1,200. I buy it for what it does, not what the price is, the price is the last consideration for me. I think the way the picture has been developing over the last eight years, it's like when you take a polaroid, you take a picture and you sit there and you watch this thing and it slowly comes into focus, and that's what it's been like for me watching gold, we're watching this picture slowly develop."
"We're getting to the point where people are going to be able to see the picture, and at that point gold is the answer. It's not just an asset anymore it's the answer to a lot of people's questions. When that happens, I think the most important stage of this completes itself and that is the resolution between the paper price and the physical asset. I think when we get to that point where people want to own gold, ETF's won't suffice anymore.
A promise to deliver three months hence is not going to be sufficient anymore, people are going to want to own the asset. At that point you realize that there are multiple hundreds of claims per ounce, and those claims won't be worth anything anymore it's going to be the asset, and that's the end game."
"The picture is becoming clearer, and everything the central banks are doing is bringing that day forward a little bit." - Zerohedge