The Israel Deception

Is the return of Israel in the 20th century truly a work of God, or is it a result of a cosmic chess move to deceive the elect by the adversary?

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Gold price difference out of China now up to $5 more than in London or Comex

On Oct. 18 the spread in gold price between the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) and the London/Comex gold fix was a record $5 as the Eastern physical markets continue to ever so slowly pull away from the Western paper gold markets.

The SGE is the largest physical gold market in the world, and commenced declaration of its own gold price back in April of this year.  And over the course of 2016 they have intermittently increased the spread between themselves and the purely paper markets run out of London and New York.

Shanghai Gold Exchange fix times: 10:15pm est and 2:15am est 
London gold fix times: is at 5:30am est and 10am est 
Shanghai morning fix OCT 18 (10:15 pm est last night):  $1276.80 
Shanghai afternoon fix:  2: 15am est:  $1274.31 
Spread between each market at both fix times:  $5 difference – Silver Doctors
As this difference in price continues to expand, it will eventually create an price evaluation where gold miners will stop selling their products to the Comex or LBMA, and find it more affordable and profitable to ship their gold to Chinese markets..  Likewise, it will also eventually lead to an arbitrage where traders will buy all the gold up in both London and New York, and then sell it to Shanghai causing an asset flight from West to East.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

How much gold and silver should an individual or family have to protect their wealth?

For those who invest, save, or stack gold and silver, the question always arises on what kind, and how much should individuals or families have to protect themselves from a financial disaster, or to protect their wealth.  The answer of course is arbitrary since no two people live under the same circumstances, but there are some general rules to help in diversifying yourself from the cycles of economic chaos.

If there is anything the last 100 years have taught us is that either by greed, corruption, natural cycles or simple chance, economies and currencies will have periods of extreme decline.  And sadly for most people, no matter how many times the financial system fails, few prepare themselves for that one time the turmoil will come to effect them, or even their entire community.

In just the past 20 years we have seen two economies go into hyperinflation, and several others experience currency crises and deep depressions.  And while the United States and most of Europe has not fully collapsed into any of these scenarios, history shows that at some point all empires fall, and all monetary systems fail.

But will it be in our lifetimes?

If the financial crisis of 2008 proved anything it is that systems can seize up and collapse in a matter of days.  Yet unlike the phantom specters of events such as Y2K or even the more recent Brexit vote, people often don't have months or years to prepare for change and must learn to make monetary preparation a lifestyle choice.

So the question still remains... how much gold and silver should individuals or families accumulate to be solvent in nearly any crisis or financial cycle change that could take place?  We know in Venezuela right now that on the streets an ounce of silver will buy enough food for a family to last 3-4 months, and a gold ounce coin will buy a house.  But more than this, when the inevitable global financial collapse comes what will you need to be able to both survive, and set the foundations to thrive in what new system emerges.

The first thing one must do is change their mindset.  When determining the amount of precious metals to own the solution is not determined in price or value, but in the number of ounces.  This is important because their values change daily, and are different in relation to the hundreds of different currencies operational around the world.

Second you must do a real evaluation of your wealth, incomes, debts, and needs.  And from there it becomes much easier to figure out what goals to set in accumulating a stack.

Thirdly you must recognize what each form of precious metals does for your portfolio and how to allocate it.  The best rule of thumb is to see the metals and metal stocks in this light.

1.  Gold - Wealth protection
2.  Silver - Barter and also Investment
3.  Mining Stocks - Speculation

Each of these are also in the correct order of risk, with gold being the least risky and mining stocks being the most volatile.

Here is a good example of how much of each metal you would need if there were no longer cash or income from employment, and the economy had moved into an inflationary spiral.

Chart courtesy of Jeff Clark

But as with all financial crises, there are no cut and dry parameters or limits to be fully covered.  As I noted today in Venezuela, only three ounces of silver would cover your food needs for one year.

In times past brokers who actually believed in precious metal ownership suggested having 5-10% of your wealth held in both gold and silver, while another 5% might be dedicated towards speculation (mining stocks).  But this adheres to the premise of value vs. ounces, and since your would be holding the metals physically in hand, ounces are the most important determinant.

As I am not a Certified Financial Planner, I can only give suggestions and thoughts based on my experiences and prognostication of future events.  And with this in mind for myself as a single unmarried individual, my minimum stacks would be like this.

10 ounces (or equal grams) of gold bullion
500 ounces of silver
$500 - $5000 in speculative mining stocks

In the end this article is not meant to determine exactly for you how much gold and silver you would need to protect your wealth and hedge against financial crises or uncertainties.  But it is a beginning from where you can assess your own situations and set some short, medium, and long-term goals because the time for buying any type of insurance is always before the disaster strikes, not while it is happening when that insurance will be far beyond your ability to afford it.

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Former Goldman Sachs analyst who predicted 2008 crisis now telling investors to get into gold as we enter new recession

Despite the recent pullbacks in the gold price over the past month, one well respected analyst and investor stated in an interview on Oct. 19 that gold will not only go much higher during the next financial crisis that is inevitable because of negative interest rates and geo-political uncertainty, but that it is the most stable 'currency' to have your wealth stored as in what is to come.

Raoul Pal is a former Goldman Sachs analyst and trader who now owns a proprietary company called Global Macro Investor.  And while admitting he is and has never been a gold bug, he and many of his investment peers are all recommending gold as a necessity in the world's current and fragile monetary environment.

Mirror, mirror on the wall, which asset is most mispriced of all? According to a Goldman Sachs alum who predicted the financial crisis in 2008, it’s gold. 
The precious metal should be a lot more expensive when the likelihood of a global financial collapse and a move toward negative interest rates is accounted for, says Global Macro Investor founder Raoul Pal, who now sees a U.S. recession within 12 months. 
Uncertainty about Brexit and the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike triggered a rush into the dollar, which often moves inversely to the metal. (Higher rates can work against gold, but the metal becomes a safe haven if the economy slows.) 
“As we get to negative interest rates, gold is a good place to park your cash,” said Pal, who discussed his outlook with MarketWatch in a September interview and a follow-up conversation over email. 
“I’m not a gold bug,” the former GLG Global Macro Fund co-manager — who is also watching the dollar closely — “but this is the currency I would choose now.”
Pal, an economist and strategist, also co-founded Real Vision TV, which conducts interviews with prominent investors. Many of his recent guests share his enthusiasm for gold, according to Pal. 
“All the really serious thinkers are interested in gold,” he said. - Marketwatch

Monday, October 17, 2016

China's Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) initiates next step towards being a part in setting global gold prices

On Oct. 17 China's Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) announced they will be collaborating with other global markets to allow gold pricing in Yuan to be part of the price set for derivative contracts.

In his announcement on Monday, SGE Chairman Jiao Jinpu sought to initiate the next step for China to play a large role in setting the price for the precious metal that has long been under the control of London for more than a century.

Shanghai Gold Exchange Chairman Jiao Jinpu said on Monday that the bourse will collaborate with foreign exchanges and allow them to use its yuan-denominated gold price in developing derivatives products.  
"We would collaborate with various exchanges and authorise these external exchanges to start business outside China to use it as basis for development of derivatives products," Jiao told an industry conference through an interpreter.  
Jiao was referring to the Shanghai Gold Exchange's yuan-denominated gold benchmark, which it launched in April in an ambitious move to exert more control over pricing of the metal and influence in the global bullion market. - Economic Times.India Times
In addition to the SGE's goal of being a part of the global gold and derivative price determinations, the Singapore Bullion Market Association also reported on Monday their initiation of a joint study between themselves, the LBMA, and the Intercontinental Exchange Benchmark Association (IBA) on connecting the London gold price mechanism to Asia, where China and Singapore could then have a say in the pricing of precious metals in overnight trading rather than allow bullion banks and investors to hijack the markets when U.S. and European bourses are closed.
The Singapore Bullion Market Association, London Bullion Market Association and Intercontinental Exchange Benchmark Administration (IBA) will launch a joint feasibility study on the development of "LBMA pre-AM gold price at 2 pm Singapore time", Lim Hng Kiang, minister for trade and industry and deputy chairman of the Monetary Authority of Singapore, told an industry conference on Monday. 
The study "is an important first step towards establishing a U.S. dollar price discovery mechanism for gold during Asian business hours," said Lim. "When in place, it will facilitate the timely tracking of Asian demand and allow participants in Asia to settle their trades within the same business day." 
"We hope to make a reputable gold benchmark mechanism in London available to Asian users," the Singapore Bullion Market Association's chief executive, Albert Cheng, told Reuters. - Reuters

Sunday, October 16, 2016

The only real option if you offshore your money is to keep it in gold

If you take into consideration all the extreme monetary policies and capital controls instituted by governments and central banks over the past six years you would come to the realization that offshoring some or a large portion of your wealth is no longer a luxury, but a necessity.  But in many of these controls that several governments have created to try to monitor, tax, and even confiscate one's wealth if they try to protect it from devaluation, the only real option is to transfer it into some form of asset that is outside the banking system.

And more than any other facility possible, that option is gold.

Under current U.S reporting laws, if you own gold offshore in an individual name, it is not a requirement that you report it to either the IRS or the U.S Treasury. However, if the title of the gold is held in the name of a legal entity, it must be reported but if it is held in your offshore account, it is reportable. So, owning and holding gold in an offshore account is completely legal. 
There are several reasons why people use offshore accounts to own and store gold. These include offshore confidentiality, protection, tax planning, privacy, and investment diversification among other things. A carefully planned and executed offshore account can assist you with each of the areas mentioned above. By transferring your gold to an offshore account, you are also protecting your asset to the fullest extent. 
It is easy to have some or all of your gold in an offshore account waiting for you when you need it. If in the event of a price movement you want to sell it, you can always hire a local lawyer and instruct them to act on your behalf. Considering that many countries, especially those in Asia, view gold as something in demand or money, it is often easy to sell and fetch better prices in Asian countries. 
If you choose to store your gold in a private vault facility, you also add a unique layer of privacy to your asset. This is because precious metals held in non-bank facilities, and more so gold, are not subject to government reporting. From Switzerland and Singapore to Austria and Hong Kong, there are many gold storage facilities in these privacy-friendly countries. - SMHPA
The financial system stands on the cusp of its next great crisis, with several banks this week forecasting collapse in multiple markets and infrastructures.  And whether it is in Germany with Deutsche Bank, Italy with their faltering banks, or the realization that the Fed, ECB, and Bank of Japan are out of options, the threat of bank bail-ins are now very real, as is the institution of even greater capital controls that will limit your ability to protect your wealth in the very near future.

Friday, October 14, 2016

Got gold? Today the new SEC rule goes into effect allowing the government to move your non-invested cash into Treasuries

Back in 2014 the SEC passed a rule that now goes into effect on Oct. 14 where investors and pension funds who do not have their money in a security can summarily have their cash reserves moved into U.S. Treasuries rather than money market funds.

While designating this mechanism to only be used during extreme 'adverse conditions', the fact that the global financial and banking systems are teetering on another 'Lehman Moment' means that the government could co-opt your money at any time, and is a backdoor way into moving your retirement and pension assets into Treasury debt instruments to help fund the government.

Image result for government wants your retirement and pensions
The big day has finally arrived: starting today, as previewed repeatedly over the summer, the SEC's 2a-7 money fund reform adopted in 2014 officially require many prime money market mutual funds (those that invest in non-government issued assets such as short-term corporate and municipal debt) to float their net asset value. More importantly, these prime MMFs are allowed to delay client withdrawals under adverse market conditions. 
The rule aim to prevent the sort of chaos that hit the money market after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s 2008 bankruptcy, which helped spark the financial crisis. The goal is to give investors a way to monitor a fund’s health by tracking its fluctuating net asset value, and to contain the fallout that could be caused by many investors cashing out at once, the SEC wrote in the final rules. 
As as result, many Prime MMFs are and have been converting their assets to government funds, not buying CDs anymore and moving into Treasurys and agencies. As the chart below shows, nearly $1 trillion in assets have rotated out of prime money markets into government funds, as a result sending Libor rates through the roof, to the highest level since the financial crisis, with consequences that have yet to be determined. - Zerohedge
But this scheme gets even more diabolical as the new SEC rules also allow for the government to DELAY in giving you or your broker the cash funds moved into Treasuries, thus making it so you no longer have control over your own money.
Take the case of Simon Gore, treasurer of budget carrier Spirit Airlines, who has had a relatively simple job over the past several years when he took tens of millions of dollars of company cash and parked it in money-market funds. Gore told the WSJ he has moved money out of some funds and is considering his options for depositing the more than $1 billion of cash and investments on Spirit’s balance sheet. 
Gore had previously put almost all of Spirit’s cash in prime money-market funds. Now, he has shifted most of it to money funds that invest in debt issued by the federal government or agencies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which aren’t affected by the new rules. He said the prospect of a floating net asset value - which also means client withdrawals can be delayed - caused him to think twice about prime funds. Besides facing the risk of losing money under the new rules, companies would have to record changes in the value of their cash, creating accounting headaches.
Ever since the 2008 financial crisis the government has been seeking ways to co-opt the nearly $17 trillion in individual retirement, pension, and mutual fund monies, and this, like Barack Obama's MyRA scheme, is just another backdoor way for them to do so.

How much longer can you trust your future to Wall Street or elected officials who have proven themselves to be some of the most fiscally irresponsible entities in history?

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Analysts believe gold demand will continue higher as price expects to hit $1400 by end of year following pullback

The recent pullback, or slam down in the gold price over the past two weeks has done little to stop the demand for gold... as seen by the huge buying of physical metal, as well as ETF paper in the period following gold going down to $1260 from $1330.  And many analysts concur that the manipulated smash in the gold spot price will only continue to fuel this demand, and bring the price to over $1400 before the end of the year.

Gold prices are on the move again, settling at $1,260 per ounce at market close on Monday, according to Apmex
That's after gold prices fell 5% last week, the largest decline in the metal of Midas since 2013. "Gold prices are quite appealing after the recent correction," notes Richard Xu, portfolio manager at China-based HuaAn Gold. "In China, what we see today is that there is some demand to buy gold following its dip." 
Former U.S. Congressman Ron Paul concurred with that assessment in an appearance on CNBC last week. A healthy economy "will be fundamentally good for gold," Paul said. 
Paul says that an ongoing low-interest rate policy by the Federal Reserve will boost gold prices and that the volatile U.S. presidential race, no matter which candidate emerges victorious, won't substantially impact precious metal prices. - The Street

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Sharia law standards for Muslim gold ownership expected to be completed by end of the year

One of the biggest and perhaps most under reported events in the gold spectrum is very close to completion as on Oct. 11, the Accounting and Auditing Organisation for Islamic Financial Institutions (AAOIFI) announced the primary draft that would allow for gold ownership by Muslims under the stricture of Sharia Law.

Worldwide there are around 1.6 billion Muslims, many of which follow Sharia Law in their cultural and financial lifestyles.  And for centuries gold ownership was limited to both jewelry and currency, as any investment in the precious metal carried the potential of earning interest above the value of the metal, especially in areas such as futures and other paper gold markets.

But now the AAOIFI has laid out new guidelines that will become the standard under Sharia Law, and are expected to become fully functional by the end of 2016.  And with this new opportunity opening up for a significant portion of the Islamic world, expectations are that both the gold price and demand could skyrocket as nearly 25% of the world's population would have access to gold ownership and investment for the first time.

The Accounting and Auditing Organisation for Islamic Financial Institutions (AAOIFI) plans to finalize several new standards by the end of the year, as the standard-setting body works through a revamp of its guidance for the $2 trillion industry.
Bahrain-based AAOIFI has published a draft sharia standard for gold-based products with a one month consultation period ending Nov. 9, the industry body said in a statement. The project was started last year by the World Gold Council, a London-based market development body. 
AAOIFI issues guidelines that are followed wholly or in part by Islamic financial institutions globally, a sector that has grown fast but remains fragmented across its core centers in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. - Reuters

Monday, October 10, 2016

Following four bank bail-ins last year, most Italians are hiding their cash outside of banks and buying gold

With the global shock that the Cyprus bank bail-ins did to depositor psyches back in 2013, the media has gone out of its way to hide any news of bank insolvencies that might lead to runs on the banks.  And this includes four little reported bail-ins that took place in Italy just last year.

But with the growing threat of even more Italian banks becoming insolvent, and the Damocles Sword of Deutsche Bank threatening the entire European financial system, depositors in Italy are not waiting around for the next crisis to take place, and over the past year have been taking out their cash to hide in their 'mattresses' and buying physical gold as a hedge for what they believe is coming very soon.

People in Cyprus had to find this out the hard way in early 2013. People awoke on an otherwise normal Saturday morning to the shock that the money in their bank accounts had been taken by a bail-in to recapitalize the banks. 
Not surprisingly, many Italians aren’t just waiting around to get “Cyprused.” 
I recently spent weeks on the ground in Italy investigating the ongoing banking crisis. I spoke with a prominent lawyer who told me that most Italians are now distrustful of the banks. They’re keeping a substantial portion of their savings in cash under their mattresses. They’re also buying lots of gold. 
I’ve been to Italy numerous times over the years. But this time, I saw something new. 
There were signs everywhere advertising gold bullion, like the one below. 
I think it indicates a strong demand for gold and a strong distrust of the banks. It seems to me like a slow motion bank run is already happening. This is the last thing Italy’s banking system needs. It’s further bleeding the capital in the banking system. 
I only see the situation getting worse… 
Italians are rightly afraid of bail-ins. That fear is leading them to withdraw their savings as cash and also to buy gold. This further drains the banks’ capital, making it more likely they’ll need to do a bail-in to remain solvent, which fuels even more withdrawals. It’s like a self-fulfilling prophecy. - International Man

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Recent gold take down may be part of a gambit involving China seeking to buy Deutsche Bank's gold derivative book

Last week while China's financial infrastructure was primarily closed for their annual Golden Week holiday, one or more entities slammed the gold price down by dumping billions of dollars worth of contracts on at least three separate occasions.  And without opposing buy pressure from the usual counter-parties in Asia, the price was pushed down from a high of $1317 on Oct. 3 to an inter-day low of $1246 on Friday.

1 Week Gold Prices - Gold Price Chart

However, most of the trades that created the drop of $70 over the course of four days occurred almost instantaneously, with billions in contracts being dumped onto the market in less than a minute each time.

So what was the cause and reason for this attack on the gold price, especially since there was no news or events at all during the week that would spur traders to divest their holdings in such quantities?  Speculation has been rampant in the alternative media, but nothing conclusive as to why...

until now.

On Oct. 6, well known and respected statistician and analyst Dr. Jim Willie gave an interview with Perpetual Assets to discuss the current state of the economy, and in particular events such as Deutsche Bank's insolvency and the recent takedown in gold.  And during his over two hour interview, Dr. Willie laid out a scenario regarding China's desire to buy Deutsche Bank's gold derivative book, and the pressure put on the German bank by London and the U.S. to counter the move by forcing them to sell their contracts onto the market, even at a loss.
Dr, Jim Willie: What is Deutsche Bank's biggest problem right now, outside the law? 
Will Lehr:  Their derivatives book? 
JW: It's cash.  I don't mean where they are in trouble, but rather what is their challenge.  Cash.  They are having liquidity nightmares.
So what I am hearing is that the Chinese are coming forward, and remember they are off all week for some holiday, and that's one reason that gold got slammed.  But the Chinese have offered cash... I've heard they've offered something on the order of $100 billion.   
And I go WHAT?  Just for Deutsche Bank?  And my source said no, no no, they aren't interested in the whole bank... they are interested in their gold derivatives book. 
Because what we're hearing in the buzz among bankers... you know, New York, London, and European centers is that indeed China is looking to buy their gold derivative book, and the word has it that the derivative book involves more gold than is in the Comex.   
More than what's traded in the Comex in a year. 
It's bigger than the Comex by an order of magnitude. 
Ok, so Deutsche Bank is interested in the Chinese deal, but what they're experiencing from what I'm hearing, is that the Deutsche Bank officials are being forced by London and Wall Street, to dump their derivative book.  And I don't know if it's at a loss, and I have the feeling the Wall Street and Londoners don't care whether it's at a loss, they just want this derivative book to slowly be dissolved and sold off so that the Chinese don't get it.
Fast forward to 31:20 in the video below to hear the entire story behind the Chinese gambit, and the pressure by the Western gold consortium to force Deutsche Bank to dump their derivatives onto the market to keep it out of China's hands.